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Wall Street Extending Research into Private Companies
Bloomberg
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2 days ago
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News
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00:00
And this all comes back to the idea that there aren't as many publicly traded companies
00:03
as there used to be. And companies are choosing to stay private for longer. They can get enough
00:08
funding on their own. Absolutely. Let's dive right in. Look at the stats. Companies on average,
00:13
the median age of a company, say 20 years back, was a private company, was seven to eight years.
00:18
Today, that's about 14 years. In the startup world, being valued at over $1 billion, being
00:24
a unicorn, was a badge of honor. Today, there are 1,600 unicorns. The combined value of those
00:31
companies is at roughly $6.5 trillion. That itself has grown tenfold, more than tenfold,
00:39
in the last decade. So a lot more institutional capital is being funneled into that space. So
00:44
if you're a research analyst and your biggest user base is paying so much more attention to private
00:50
markets, it behooves you to devote your resources to private markets for two reasons. A lot of these
00:55
people are investing in private markets, and they're also interested in seeing how their public
01:00
market investments are being affected by these companies. Oh, interesting. So if you combine those
01:04
two factors, look at the shift to capital, look at the broad change in the investing landscape,
01:10
it's a no-brainer. You have to spend more and more time researching private companies. What does that
01:15
research look like, though? They're not going to be able to publish buy, hold, sell ratings on private
01:19
companies, right? So the first challenge, you'll rightly point out, right? It's not about buy,
01:24
hold, or sell, but even the more fundamental stuff. If you don't have complete financials,
01:29
how do you model stuff? How do you provide useful insights? At the same time, that is also a positive.
01:35
You will have access to corporates. Companies would want a greater segment of the investing society to
01:42
understand them better, so they will spend time with analysts, and that's where you actually have a value
01:46
add, because today, the other threat for analysts is from artificial intelligence. Right. If you have
01:52
all the financials out there, if you have all the information about a company out there, a machine
01:56
will be able to generate insights that rival and experience analysts' insights. However, a machine
02:02
cannot walk into a meeting necessarily with a private company executive and try and understand
02:08
different market forces right now. That's where there will be a value add. And look, at the end of the day,
02:14
an analyst is not just an island on to themselves, right? They have to think about it as one part of
02:20
building relationships with the company, and that will automatically lead to other business
02:25
or for their firm with these private companies. Right.
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