Skip to playerSkip to main content
  • 4 days ago
Transcript
00:00we have set a target of two percent inflation three percent inflation is too high and it's not
00:08you can't oh let's that's close enough let's be done no we we as a body made a sacred promise
00:16that we're going to get inflation back to two percent now that said if the through line is
00:24improving and in 2023 inflation way too high i came in in january of 23 inflation way too high
00:35mostly it's coming down all of 23 and mostly it's coming down for all of 24. now it seems to have
00:44kind of stalled out and if anything given warnings of going the wrong way so that makes me a little
00:51uneasy that said before we got into the bout of tariffs and inflation going the other way
01:00i am one of the people who believes that rates can go down a fair amount that basically
01:06we're at something like stable full employment with an unemployment rate in the low fours which is
01:15kind of where we would think it would settle that prices are sort of we're on their way back to two
01:23percent and so i said i thought rates could go down a fair amount i still basically think that
01:31but with the addendum it's kind of like at one point i i was younger but i i hired a trainer
01:39and the trainer said well what are your goals and i said well could you think i could get a six pack
01:46if i did enough wait listen can i get a six pack the trainer said blightly
01:52we all have a six pack of muscle underneath and and the message was it's not about how many
02:02how much weight your muscle can lift it's about what's on top of those muscles um and i feel a
02:10little bit like that here we've got a series of geopolitical and policy shocks that have come in
02:20that are masking in my in my view this underlying the economy is pretty strong and i feel like
02:28eventually we are going to be back to rates can come down a fair amount but in the near term i'm a
02:34little uneasy front loading too many rate cuts and counting on this will be transitory and inflation
02:44will go back down
Be the first to comment
Add your comment

Recommended