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JPMorgan's Aiyengar on Increase in M&A Deals in 2025
Bloomberg
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3 months ago
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00:00
First, M&A dealmaking, $3.4 trillion in the last nine months.
00:06
And historical average has been about $4 trillion.
00:09
So even if you have a trillion dollars, we are looking at 10% higher,
00:14
but it's probably right now we are tracking to about 30% higher year-over-year.
00:18
And this is after having a pause for about four weeks or so
00:23
when it looked like dealmaking was going to look very different.
00:27
You talked about record highs in S&P and NASDAQ,
00:30
but yet, Jenny just talked about it, the importance of scale,
00:35
which is driving companies to do larger and larger deals.
00:40
49 mega deals, larger than $10 billion.
00:44
49, just in nine months,
00:46
contributing to about a trillion dollars of volume.
00:49
Because the correlation between valuation and scale is at an all-time high.
00:55
And so you see every strategic who is saying,
01:00
yeah, if I want to do an M&A deal, how do I do a bigger and bigger deal?
01:04
But yet, at the same time, there's about 20% of the S&P 500,
01:10
which is trading at a discount,
01:13
and a meaningful discount to their 52-week highs.
01:16
So there's plenty of opportunities as well,
01:18
which is why you see deals like these LBO deals happen.
01:21
So there we are.
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