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  • 16 hours ago
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00:00What did you learn in the last month?
00:02Not much, other than we have all this uncertainty.
00:06Some preceded the new administration, like we had large deficits, interest rates going
00:11up, inflation going up, and some are tariffs and things.
00:15And of course, the geopolitical situation is very tense, very difficult and hard to resolve.
00:20Okay, so if you forget projections, numbers, what's your hunch?
00:23Is the U.S. going to go into recession or not?
00:25Look, I'm going to defer to economists who give it about a 50 percent chance.
00:29I think all these things are probably inflationary a little bit more and slowing down the economy.
00:35If there's a recession, I don't know how big it'll be or how long it'll last.
00:39Hopefully we'll avoid it, but I wouldn't take it off the table at this point.
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