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There Is No Bubble in Private Credit, Koch Says
Bloomberg
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3 hours ago
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00:00
In recent years, the private credit market has arisen, and that is a market where you're getting
00:04
higher interest rates but higher risk, and that market is not really regulated by the federal
00:10
government. Are you worried that when interest rates go up or down at some point or there's a
00:15
credit squeeze, the private credit market may not do as well as people think it will?
00:20
I don't think there's a bubble in private credit, which would require some massive
00:25
imbalance of demand and supply. I think those are largely in line. We know demand's rising,
00:30
and we know that supply will continue to come because the banks can't finance in the way that
00:35
they used to. I do think that there is the potential of some dislocation in that market,
00:41
and I think that there could be some accidents because we've put so much money out so quickly,
00:46
and we are seeing a deterioration in underwriting standards. So more pick interest, higher leverage
00:53
in the part of the portfolios, we're seeing more extensions. And so there's probably going to be
00:58
some incidents. And what you're going to see is manager dispersion, which you haven't seen in a
01:02
long time. But we continue to think people should be allocated to it and just be thoughtful about
01:06
where they're committing capital. Do you worry that if there is a dislocation of private credit,
01:11
the federal government will come in and say, we're going to regulate private credit,
01:14
or you're not that worried about that?
01:15
I actually think that if it becomes larger, it likely will have more regulations on it.
01:24
I'm not sure that that's something I worry about. It's just something I expect to happen,
01:27
and we have a long history of investing in regulated markets.
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