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Meta, Oura Continue Consumer Tech AI Overhaul
Bloomberg
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14 hours ago
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00:00
What's the biggest news? What do you think we should first pay attention to?
00:04
So I'm just going to ignore everything you guys said. I listened well, don't worry.
00:09
But I actually just got something a few minutes ago. These are the Meta Ray-Ban displays. These
00:15
are Meta's first display glasses. I haven't set them up yet. They just came into the office.
00:21
These are the first mainstream smart glasses with a screen and the lens. We've talked about
00:26
them significantly. And then it has what's called the neural wristband. You put this around your wrist
00:31
and that allows you to track your finger movements and your motion in order to navigate the user
00:37
interface of the glasses. So I'm actually really excited to diving into these a little bit later
00:43
today, really using them and eventually publishing my review. They're $800. They went on sale yesterday
00:49
at some Ray-Ban and LensCrafter stores, Best Buy stores. So excited to dive into these.
00:54
What's the learning curve using this, Mark? Do you have to be trained to use it? Do you have
00:58
to do a demo to use it? Can you just use it out of the box? Is it going to be easy for consumers?
01:03
Yeah, they think that you need this crazy demo. And so they're not letting anyone buy it who
01:07
doesn't get the demo. I got the demo at Meta's headquarters a few weeks ago. So they were pretty
01:12
comfortable with me just getting one out of the box. There's probably going to be some sort of,
01:16
they tell me, a video that plays on the glasses that, you know, when you first do the first boot,
01:20
tells you how to use the thing. There's a little bit of a learning curve, 15, 20 minutes or so
01:26
on the learning curve as well. And so it's going to take a little bit of time to get used to it if
01:31
you're new to it, to get it up and running. But I think people will eventually like this technology.
01:37
My hope is eventually it moves to a hand and eye tracking like setup. So you don't need the neural
01:43
wristband, something similar to how the Vision Pro is operated. But definitely, I think this is a
01:49
category that's going to take off. Unbelievable. I know when you talked about this last time,
01:54
I mean, kind of, I think both of us were blown away and looking at your video that was on the
01:59
Bloomberg about how to use it. Learning curves, you know, there's these videos to kind of have,
02:05
you know, we figure out how to use things. But when I think about learning curves, Peloton,
02:10
I feel like is still on a learning curve. And the stock has swung. I think it's like a 10 to 12%
02:16
swing, Mark, from high to low today. They're upping prices. Explain this to us. And is this
02:25
the way forward for this company? So it's a it's a mixed bag, right? The stock is down probably
02:31
because of the changes in pricing. They hiked prices between a couple hundred bucks and 700
02:38
bucks on the high end, depending on which bikes or treadmills you're looking to purchase. They hiked
02:44
subscriptions between a couple bucks and five bucks, depending on which subscription you're
02:48
getting. So Wall Street doesn't like that because that's going to lead to regression, even more
02:53
regression in terms of user numbers. It's going to lead to people leaving their subscriptions. It's
02:58
going to lead to people maybe not wanting to buy the devices themselves because of the higher price
03:03
points. And so, you know, Wall Street usually likes a price hike. But in terms of Peloton, they
03:07
really seem to despise it. On the other side of the coin, I think the hardware that they rolled out
03:12
today is extraordinarily impressive. This new CEO has been in the building for a little bit less
03:18
than 10 months. Actually, I think maybe 10 months to the day today. And they've got five or six new
03:24
hardware devices under the prior CEO who was there two and a half years or so. They did basically
03:29
nothing in terms of new product launches or innovation. So I think they deserve a lot of
03:33
credit for working overtime and really fast to get this new equipment out. And so we'll see what
03:38
really happens with these user numbers based on these price increases. But clearly, Wall Street is
03:41
terrified. Okay, let's move on to another wearable in the Aura Ring, a $500 version of its smart ring.
03:49
This one's ceramic. We should remind everyone, a lot of this stuff coming out right now because this
03:53
is the holiday season. This is when people do holiday shopping. We traditionally get a lot of
03:57
new devices and gadgets out during this time mark. This new Aura Ring, I was surprised that Aura has
04:02
such a high valuation now. It raised money. Bloomberg News reported on this in recent weeks. What can you
04:07
tell us about this ring and what it does for the business or could do for the business?
04:12
I think it's going to do nothing for the business. This is absolutely the same ring that I launched,
04:17
I think it was last October. It's the Aura Ring 4. It's just coming out in a new finish. That's $100
04:23
more expensive. So it's the ceramic finish. I have the ceramic blue one arriving at the office tomorrow.
04:27
So looking forward to taking that for a spin as well to see if there's anything more meaningful
04:31
about it. But this is just probably a marketing lever and maybe raise ASP slightly. $500 for a
04:38
smart ring. Interesting price point. Let's see what happens. Aura is a really fantastic business. But
04:44
the problem is that they're $10 billion in terms of the valuation right now. So they're too expensive
04:50
to get acquired, right? And they're not worth enough to be like some major hardware company.
04:59
But they're getting there. They need more types of devices. They need to expand beyond rings into
05:03
other types of hardware. Yeah, I was going to say, when it comes to things like this, technology
05:08
devices, consumer tech, Mark, I mean, are we that easy? You know, you just put a different finish on
05:12
and we're like, yeah, I'm going to spend the money. We're not that easy, are we?
05:16
Depends. Sometimes. Maybe. I don't know. We'll see. I don't think people are going to buy the
05:21
ceramic version. I think it's going to be super niche. I think people are more into the couple
05:24
hundred dollar version. The reason these are doing so well is because of like FSA, HSA, whatever
05:29
accounts. People are using that to buy these devices. And then a lot of people, maybe not a lot
05:35
of people, but some people have the Amex Platinum. Yes. And the Amex Platinum, they just did their big
05:40
price increase. And as part of that, there's like a $200 annual Aura ring credit on there now.
05:44
Unfortunately, they should change this. That doesn't work with the subscription. You have
05:48
to pay like six or seven bucks a month to use an Aura or $70 a year. But the $200 a year you get
05:53
from Amex, it's kind of a scam because you need to buy the new hardware. And Aura doesn't come out
05:57
with new hardware every year. That's neither here nor there, but that might be driving some purchases
06:02
too. Is this Aura? I mean, and you wrote the story just a couple of weeks ago about the
06:08
multi-billion dollar valuation. Is this a hardware company or is it a software company,
06:13
software as a service? Well, it's both. They would be kind of, they'd be fine if they didn't
06:19
have this subscription, but it's really the subscription and the annual subscription in
06:23
particular that I think is driving things. You know, they always say hardware is hard.
06:27
Hardware is very bad margin wise. It's not a good business. But when you're able to put a
06:32
software product on top of it that has a 90% margin, you're in pretty good shape. This
06:39
is why Apple shifted to services almost a decade ago now, because they knew that hardware sales
06:44
were flatlining. They knew margins could potentially go down. They knew they would have to adjust
06:47
prices. And the way to create recurring revenue is putting something on top that's necessary.
06:52
And Aura and Whoop and some others have, Peloton, of course, is the poster child of this,
06:57
have figured out this hardware plus software business model.
06:59
And it seems like they're building that hardware blessing to the Physi-Montology model.
07:00
So, if you're looking for an svincash platform, then I think the bare burner obviously
07:03
hasлючened profitable Victimh vision. There is a commercial компании that wanted to
07:06
give a more power from any usage when that puts keeping up the ebenfalls.
07:08
Therefore, keep saying it and ensure that there is an어친ic
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