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00:00In terms of the flows of capital into your region, the Middle East and North Africa,
00:05and before we get on to the fourth fund and the opportunities you see,
00:08just talk to me about those international flows.
00:09Are you seeing a material pickup in international flows of capital into your region?
00:14We are. So last year the region across MENA had about $2.4 billion of venture funding,
00:19of which 52% was international.
00:22So those are international VCs investing in the region or international LPs coming into funds in the region
00:26and really fueling that venture growth.
00:28So there is an opportunity there.
00:30When you compare that with seven years ago, it was about 20% of a much smaller number.
00:34So there is that huge appetite.
00:36What are the catalysts for that increase in international flow?
00:38Part of it is that the region has become a technology hub.
00:41So the UAE has become a technology hub.
00:43Saudi Arabia is growing as a global hub for growth markets.
00:47When you take a look at both countries, their GDP growth rate this year was about 6%,
00:51which puts it way up there in terms of growth markets, emerging markets.
00:54And the other thing is that the UAE has indeed become an innovation hub,
00:57thinking what's happening in AI, in blockchain.
01:01The government's very avant-garde in regulating these industries.
01:04What is the AI proposition then in the MENA region, in the Middle East and North Africa region?
01:08What is the standard?
01:09What are the startups in your portfolio and those that you're looking to invest in doing differently
01:13that will differentiate them in the AI space?
01:15So part of it is the infrastructure in Arabic.
01:18So Arabic LLMs for healthcare that are being used by government.
01:22When you take a look at healthcare as an industry, we have one doctor per thousand people.
01:25Europe has four doctors per thousand people.
01:27So if you take that same concept that we had in fintech, which is we're not going to bank people using banks,
01:32we're going to use fintech.
01:33We're not going to provide access to healthcare and other industries in the traditional way.
01:37We're going to use tech.
01:38So what's the best way to bring tech in or AI in right now to accelerate that?
01:41So if you can have an Arabic LLM for healthcare, that becomes a first port of call for access to care
01:47that JS is now using, which is in the UAE, and companies and governments of that nature.
01:52Then you end up in a way where you're leapfrogging.
01:53So you're using AI technology to leapfrog industries and to create new industries rather than trying to emulate old ones.
01:59So it's an accelerant of access to healthcare, financial services, education across the board.
02:05How can we accelerate access for the population?
02:06And you touched on a number of sectors there.
02:08Is that where you're raising this new fund, so fund four?
02:11Yes.
02:11Which segments of the capital structure are you aiming at,
02:14and what different segments and sectors of the tech ecosystem are looking most attractive to you right now?
02:19So right now we think fintech, health tech are very attractive,
02:24but we're also very focused on supply chain tech and agrotech.
02:26Food security is a big thing.
02:27We still import 85% of our food.
02:29We don't think that will be the case five or ten years from now.
02:32So as we think about which sectors, those are very exciting.
02:34At the same time, we take a look at the continuum of capital.
02:37There's many funds in the Series A and under.
02:40We are one of the largest.
02:41We have the largest Series A fund across the region, which was our Fund 3.
02:44And then when you take a look at the 50 or 100 million or $500 million tickets
02:47that people are happy to write in the region,
02:49and make the front page every day, those are available.
02:53But when founders go to raise $20 to $30 million, that Series B gap is very acute.
02:57It's similar to where Europe was seven years ago.
03:00So we've come into the market now raising a fund that is focused on Series B.
03:03When companies have $30 million of revenue,
03:05they're usually about EBITDA positive in the region
03:07because of the lack of capital in the region for the region.
03:09And so we come in and we back those winners.
03:12They're already established winners,
03:13and it's really about accelerating their growth with rocket fuel.
03:15Okay, so you're looking to fill that gap.
03:18What is that increase in capital flow that we touched on
03:20at the top of the interview doing to valuations in the region?
03:24It's not really changing them much.
03:26In Saudi Arabia, we do have some valuation inflation.
03:29In the UAE, what you've had a lot of is talent coming in.
03:32So the UAE has really taken down its talent borders over the last five or 10 years.
03:36So you have many second and third-time founders coming into the UAE,
03:39setting up their next companies there,
03:40being able to attract and hire whichever talent they want in the world.
03:43And then off the back of that,
03:45their earlier financial backers are also coming in
03:47and supporting them and funding them with very reasonable valuations.
03:50So I don't think there's a regional valuation hype.
03:52I think there's an AI valuation hype,
03:54but I don't think that's specific to the region.
03:55It's more sector-specific.
03:56We've been talking this morning about the IPO pipeline starting to pick up in Europe.
04:02What are the conditions that are in place in the Middle East right now
04:05when it comes to IPOs,
04:07the clearest path to exit for your portfolio companies?
04:09So last year we had a record number of IPOs in the region,
04:12which was 30% higher than the year before.
04:14We had 54 IPOs last year in the tech sector in the region.
04:16So our IPO windows have actually stayed open
04:19and we've had an increasing number of IPOs over the last few years.
04:22Do you think that momentum continues?
04:23I think it does continue.
04:24I think it does continue.
04:25We have two companies in our portfolio that are looking to IPO in the next 12 to 24 months.
04:30One just had a $4.5 billion valuation.
04:33So that exists in the region.
04:35They're not as common as other parts of the world,
04:36but I started the firm seven years ago
04:39and if you had told me back then to imagine where we would be today,
04:42I would not have expected the industry to grow six-fold,
04:44the number of IPOs to grow as they have
04:46and I expect the same going forward for the next six years.
04:49What are the biggest constraints to the region then?
04:52I mean, you're touching on metrics that show that there is momentum,
04:55there's real growth, the capital flows are there,
04:57the IPO environment is there,
04:59you're talking about the talent that's being attracted to the region.
05:01What are the constraints at this point?
05:02I mean, right now, I'm going to say the biggest constraint
05:04is a Series B funding gap.
05:05So as companies get to scale and they really want to just reflect
05:08and they are profitable because of lack of capital in the ecosystem
05:11compared to other ecosystems.
05:13So, you know, great numbers,
05:14but me and I last year had $2.4 billion of funding.
05:17The world had just over $300 billion.
05:19So when you take a look at this market of 400 million people
05:21with such a small amount of funding,
05:23yes, the numbers growing are great,
05:25but the quantum of capital is still not that great.
05:29So as we think about this Series B gap
05:31and really funding that gap,
05:33that will allow that continuum of capital to grow
05:34and then those $50 and $70 million tickets
05:36will have a much stronger pipeline
05:37and you'll have more and more IPOs.
05:39That's the only real constraint that we're seeing right now.
05:42And you've mentioned Saudi Arabia a number of times.
05:44So is Saudi Arabia the key kind of nation
05:49within the Middle Eastern region
05:50that is a key driver of this activity?
05:54How widespread is this and how dispersed is it?
05:56Or is much of the activity focused on Saudi?
05:59How important is Saudi to this story?
06:00It's one of three markets that we are very excited about.
06:03So Saudi is important for Saudi.
06:05We see lots of innovation there.
06:06We have a company there called Hakabao,
06:08which has now had CNBC and Statista,
06:10have it as one of the top 10 fintechs in the world.
06:12We've had a company there called Tabi,
06:14which is the first BNPL or one of the largest in the region.
06:17And that's important because it's the first line of credit.
06:19So we're still less than,
06:21I want to say like 80% credit card penetration in the region.
06:24So when we think about that,
06:25that's really solving a problem.
06:27When we think about the UAE,
06:29that's breaking barriers
06:30because in the UAE you have lots of companies
06:32that are building globally.
06:33So it's innovation at its best
06:35with the world's best talent.
06:37That's where the UAE plays.
06:38Egypt builds for the region.
06:39So those are the three markets.
06:40Each one has a different story.
06:41No, fantastic.
06:42Thank you very much indeed for your insights on the region.
06:44And the capital flows, of course, North, Swede.
06:45Thank you for having me.
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