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Global Ventures' Sweid on Bloomberg TV
Bloomberg
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15 hours ago
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00:00
In terms of the flows of capital into your region, the Middle East and North Africa,
00:05
and before we get on to the fourth fund and the opportunities you see,
00:08
just talk to me about those international flows.
00:09
Are you seeing a material pickup in international flows of capital into your region?
00:14
We are. So last year the region across MENA had about $2.4 billion of venture funding,
00:19
of which 52% was international.
00:22
So those are international VCs investing in the region or international LPs coming into funds in the region
00:26
and really fueling that venture growth.
00:28
So there is an opportunity there.
00:30
When you compare that with seven years ago, it was about 20% of a much smaller number.
00:34
So there is that huge appetite.
00:36
What are the catalysts for that increase in international flow?
00:38
Part of it is that the region has become a technology hub.
00:41
So the UAE has become a technology hub.
00:43
Saudi Arabia is growing as a global hub for growth markets.
00:47
When you take a look at both countries, their GDP growth rate this year was about 6%,
00:51
which puts it way up there in terms of growth markets, emerging markets.
00:54
And the other thing is that the UAE has indeed become an innovation hub,
00:57
thinking what's happening in AI, in blockchain.
01:01
The government's very avant-garde in regulating these industries.
01:04
What is the AI proposition then in the MENA region, in the Middle East and North Africa region?
01:08
What is the standard?
01:09
What are the startups in your portfolio and those that you're looking to invest in doing differently
01:13
that will differentiate them in the AI space?
01:15
So part of it is the infrastructure in Arabic.
01:18
So Arabic LLMs for healthcare that are being used by government.
01:22
When you take a look at healthcare as an industry, we have one doctor per thousand people.
01:25
Europe has four doctors per thousand people.
01:27
So if you take that same concept that we had in fintech, which is we're not going to bank people using banks,
01:32
we're going to use fintech.
01:33
We're not going to provide access to healthcare and other industries in the traditional way.
01:37
We're going to use tech.
01:38
So what's the best way to bring tech in or AI in right now to accelerate that?
01:41
So if you can have an Arabic LLM for healthcare, that becomes a first port of call for access to care
01:47
that JS is now using, which is in the UAE, and companies and governments of that nature.
01:52
Then you end up in a way where you're leapfrogging.
01:53
So you're using AI technology to leapfrog industries and to create new industries rather than trying to emulate old ones.
01:59
So it's an accelerant of access to healthcare, financial services, education across the board.
02:05
How can we accelerate access for the population?
02:06
And you touched on a number of sectors there.
02:08
Is that where you're raising this new fund, so fund four?
02:11
Yes.
02:11
Which segments of the capital structure are you aiming at,
02:14
and what different segments and sectors of the tech ecosystem are looking most attractive to you right now?
02:19
So right now we think fintech, health tech are very attractive,
02:24
but we're also very focused on supply chain tech and agrotech.
02:26
Food security is a big thing.
02:27
We still import 85% of our food.
02:29
We don't think that will be the case five or ten years from now.
02:32
So as we think about which sectors, those are very exciting.
02:34
At the same time, we take a look at the continuum of capital.
02:37
There's many funds in the Series A and under.
02:40
We are one of the largest.
02:41
We have the largest Series A fund across the region, which was our Fund 3.
02:44
And then when you take a look at the 50 or 100 million or $500 million tickets
02:47
that people are happy to write in the region,
02:49
and make the front page every day, those are available.
02:53
But when founders go to raise $20 to $30 million, that Series B gap is very acute.
02:57
It's similar to where Europe was seven years ago.
03:00
So we've come into the market now raising a fund that is focused on Series B.
03:03
When companies have $30 million of revenue,
03:05
they're usually about EBITDA positive in the region
03:07
because of the lack of capital in the region for the region.
03:09
And so we come in and we back those winners.
03:12
They're already established winners,
03:13
and it's really about accelerating their growth with rocket fuel.
03:15
Okay, so you're looking to fill that gap.
03:18
What is that increase in capital flow that we touched on
03:20
at the top of the interview doing to valuations in the region?
03:24
It's not really changing them much.
03:26
In Saudi Arabia, we do have some valuation inflation.
03:29
In the UAE, what you've had a lot of is talent coming in.
03:32
So the UAE has really taken down its talent borders over the last five or 10 years.
03:36
So you have many second and third-time founders coming into the UAE,
03:39
setting up their next companies there,
03:40
being able to attract and hire whichever talent they want in the world.
03:43
And then off the back of that,
03:45
their earlier financial backers are also coming in
03:47
and supporting them and funding them with very reasonable valuations.
03:50
So I don't think there's a regional valuation hype.
03:52
I think there's an AI valuation hype,
03:54
but I don't think that's specific to the region.
03:55
It's more sector-specific.
03:56
We've been talking this morning about the IPO pipeline starting to pick up in Europe.
04:02
What are the conditions that are in place in the Middle East right now
04:05
when it comes to IPOs,
04:07
the clearest path to exit for your portfolio companies?
04:09
So last year we had a record number of IPOs in the region,
04:12
which was 30% higher than the year before.
04:14
We had 54 IPOs last year in the tech sector in the region.
04:16
So our IPO windows have actually stayed open
04:19
and we've had an increasing number of IPOs over the last few years.
04:22
Do you think that momentum continues?
04:23
I think it does continue.
04:24
I think it does continue.
04:25
We have two companies in our portfolio that are looking to IPO in the next 12 to 24 months.
04:30
One just had a $4.5 billion valuation.
04:33
So that exists in the region.
04:35
They're not as common as other parts of the world,
04:36
but I started the firm seven years ago
04:39
and if you had told me back then to imagine where we would be today,
04:42
I would not have expected the industry to grow six-fold,
04:44
the number of IPOs to grow as they have
04:46
and I expect the same going forward for the next six years.
04:49
What are the biggest constraints to the region then?
04:52
I mean, you're touching on metrics that show that there is momentum,
04:55
there's real growth, the capital flows are there,
04:57
the IPO environment is there,
04:59
you're talking about the talent that's being attracted to the region.
05:01
What are the constraints at this point?
05:02
I mean, right now, I'm going to say the biggest constraint
05:04
is a Series B funding gap.
05:05
So as companies get to scale and they really want to just reflect
05:08
and they are profitable because of lack of capital in the ecosystem
05:11
compared to other ecosystems.
05:13
So, you know, great numbers,
05:14
but me and I last year had $2.4 billion of funding.
05:17
The world had just over $300 billion.
05:19
So when you take a look at this market of 400 million people
05:21
with such a small amount of funding,
05:23
yes, the numbers growing are great,
05:25
but the quantum of capital is still not that great.
05:29
So as we think about this Series B gap
05:31
and really funding that gap,
05:33
that will allow that continuum of capital to grow
05:34
and then those $50 and $70 million tickets
05:36
will have a much stronger pipeline
05:37
and you'll have more and more IPOs.
05:39
That's the only real constraint that we're seeing right now.
05:42
And you've mentioned Saudi Arabia a number of times.
05:44
So is Saudi Arabia the key kind of nation
05:49
within the Middle Eastern region
05:50
that is a key driver of this activity?
05:54
How widespread is this and how dispersed is it?
05:56
Or is much of the activity focused on Saudi?
05:59
How important is Saudi to this story?
06:00
It's one of three markets that we are very excited about.
06:03
So Saudi is important for Saudi.
06:05
We see lots of innovation there.
06:06
We have a company there called Hakabao,
06:08
which has now had CNBC and Statista,
06:10
have it as one of the top 10 fintechs in the world.
06:12
We've had a company there called Tabi,
06:14
which is the first BNPL or one of the largest in the region.
06:17
And that's important because it's the first line of credit.
06:19
So we're still less than,
06:21
I want to say like 80% credit card penetration in the region.
06:24
So when we think about that,
06:25
that's really solving a problem.
06:27
When we think about the UAE,
06:29
that's breaking barriers
06:30
because in the UAE you have lots of companies
06:32
that are building globally.
06:33
So it's innovation at its best
06:35
with the world's best talent.
06:37
That's where the UAE plays.
06:38
Egypt builds for the region.
06:39
So those are the three markets.
06:40
Each one has a different story.
06:41
No, fantastic.
06:42
Thank you very much indeed for your insights on the region.
06:44
And the capital flows, of course, North, Swede.
06:45
Thank you for having me.
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