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Bonnell: France Is a 'Good Deal' to Do Investment
Bloomberg
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16 hours ago
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00:00
Was this a success? Where is France in terms of where it wants to be and where the president
00:05
would like it to be versus the reality of where it is? There's always been a lot of
00:09
criticism of France over the last few years in terms of labor standards and what's been
00:13
going on in terms of the economy. Was last night a reset for the French president and
00:19
the French economy? Well, first of all, it was a success because if you look at the amount
00:26
of investment, as you said, $40 billion announced last night versus $2 billion in 2017, definitely
00:35
we are growing every year. For the sixth consecutive year, France is the most attractive country
00:42
in Europe for foreign investment. So there is no doubt about the success of it. And all
00:47
the criticism are concerning the logical of business. Sometimes some deals don't go through.
00:53
We all know this. But the percentage of those are really small compared to the ones that
00:57
are really going through. So I believe that we're seeing the power of the economical
01:04
politics of France, which is a mix of stabilization of the economy, simplification, which is still
01:11
a problem. And of course, we can see that we'll need some more protection. So the idea of investing
01:18
in Europe and in France is going to be critical for a lot of foreign companies is the political
01:24
scene in France stable enough now to deliver the kind of investment that you're looking
01:28
for. You know, if I look at the worldwide, I mean, we just heard the person from Qatar.
01:36
I mean, the big concern of the world is the political instability with some erratic decision
01:42
made by great leaders, where we some, of course, desperate conflict everywhere. So in this kind
01:49
of mist, I think that Europe and France more specifically, is probably a good deal. Because even though we do have
01:57
our kind of Gaelic issues where we fight all the time, we all agree that France has to stay one of the leading
02:05
countries for investment in the coming years. So instead of being short sighted and seeing just like the almost
02:12
daily political issues, on the long term, decarbonized energy, solid implantation of location, sorry, for
02:23
companies and for factories, a lot of talent, massive, massive pool of talent. So all those things are to be
02:31
considered as solid and able to reinsure any investment in France.
02:37
Bruno, it's Creedy in London. Let's talk about some of the mechanisms that perhaps other countries are using to
02:42
generate that kind of investment in the long term. Things like tax cuts. It's a very popular theme in the States dealing with the same
02:49
deficit issues that France is dealing with as well. Subsidization very much on the table. You talk about the talent
02:55
pool. A big part of that is things like other incentives and credits. What more can France do, perhaps using some of those
03:01
mechanisms to bring that investment onto French territory?
03:06
So first of all, we do have the plan I'm in charge of, which is 54 billion euros of investment in innovation. And this can go through
03:15
subsidies, through loans or through capital. That's really a kind of de-risking operation that's worth it. And talking about all the
03:25
announcement on the tax cut, looking at the other changes in the U.S. in kind of the mentality and the stability of the government right
03:33
now, I would probably wonder if they're going to last. So so the idea that that that we have a long term and stable
03:41
initiative with the support of this company and the talent, as I said before, is probably an interesting
03:49
advantage compared to some other countries. That's how I would phrase it.
03:54
Bruno, thinking about competition for those investment dollars or those investment euros,
03:59
we see that Germany is, of course, embarking on a big investment drive that covers infrastructure, defense.
04:05
And there seems to be some excitement from international investors about that prospect.
04:09
Do you fear that France, in the eyes of international investors, could be sidelined by those German opportunities?
04:17
Definitely, I think that that the decisions that that Germany is making right now is interesting
04:23
because they make it with a wheel, a strong wheel of reestablishing the the strong collaboration
04:30
between France and Germany. So I think that there is a benefit to to each other to share experiences.
04:36
We went through a very hard time in France with the deindustrialization, a lot of problem with
04:43
refocusing of technologies on specific sectors. Of course, Germany right now is facing all this energy
04:50
crisis due to the Russian gas and the choices, the energy choices back back in the beginning of the century.
04:59
So I would really consider that sharing our experiences and power is probably the way the
05:06
same way we did France 2030 plan to reestablish some massive strategic sectors at the French level.
05:13
Europe should probably focus, as Mr. Draghi says, on reestablishing European power on those sectors by
05:20
combining talent, strength and budget.
05:25
OK, so some focus there on the sectors that really matter for the future for Europe.
05:30
What about the expectations we should have about the trade deal between Europe and the United States?
05:37
Is there a conversation in France that goes along the lines of, look, 10% seems to be a good outcome
05:43
for other countries. Maybe we need to accept we'll end up with 10% tariffs. Or do you think Europe should
05:49
hold its nerve and go for for lower tariffs than that?
05:51
Well, in any negotiation, it takes two to tango. So the whole thing is what kind of steps,
05:59
what are the next steps that the U.S. are going to take? Because if we start, you know, accepting
06:05
like short term deals, nothing guarantees that in a couple of months or weeks or days,
06:12
their attitude in the U.S. will be another once more will change again.
06:17
So I would probably go sector by sector and see what are the sectors in need of, you know,
06:24
closed deals and remain some other deal open because the competition is still on.
06:29
And there is a necessity for the U.S. to
06:31
to accept some products that are coming from other countries. So I believe that the negotiation is
06:38
actually just beginning and setting some dates and then take it or leave it. I don't know the
06:44
art of the deal so well, but I'm telling you, it's not the way that diplomatic deal is going to play.
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