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00:00Novartis has agreed to buy Avidity Biosciences in a $12 billion biotech deal,
00:06the biggest acquisition for the Swiss drug maker in more than a decade.
00:10Joining us now is Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Pharmaceutical Analyst Sam Fazeli.
00:14Sam, thanks for joining us on the show.
00:16What does this deal tell us about potential M&A activity across the pharma space?
00:22Well, good morning to you.
00:24So this is, by my count, we keep a tally of this, of course, Bloomberg.
00:28Look, this will be the 21st deal for 2025 where large pharma companies are buying a biotech.
00:36Of course, there's many more deals when biotechs are buying biotechs.
00:39We saw one a couple of weeks ago for GenMap.
00:42Here, this is Novartis, which needed to do a deal to bring in assets that would help them to keep their growth momentum post-2029, post-2030,
00:52after one of their drugs, Cosentix, is going off-pipend.
00:55If you look at our MODL function, you'll find that the revenue for Cosentix, a big drug, $7.4 billion by 2029,
01:03is beginning to decline from that point because there's biosimilars coming.
01:08So the company needed, and this is a really good fit for Novartis.
01:11And as I said, this becomes the 21st deal where large pharma is buying small biotechs.
01:17And it's really helped.
01:19These spate of deals has helped the biotech sector take off.
01:24Well, how well received is that, Sam, when it comes to some of these major kind of pharmaceutical companies
01:29that are looking to perhaps make these acquisitions globally and, of course, in the United States,
01:33in the face of always the tariff threat that seems to be looming over every sector's head?
01:38Just kind of connect the dots for us here.
01:39Yeah, so I think what you might notice is that since kind of the end of the summer,
01:46the spate of deals, biotech biotech and large pharma biotech has picked up a little bit.
01:52And I think that's because we've got some levels of certainty now into some levels of certainty
01:57into the conversation with regards to the most favoured nations, tariffs they've got to reprieve on.
02:04So I think the whole setup here, as the companies are doing more and more deals
02:08on those pricing conversations with the administration in the U.S.,
02:12has given them confidence to be able to go and do this and not feel overexposed in terms of risks.
02:20And one thing to note here also is that the deal that Novartis is doing is for assets that we call for rare diseases.
02:26So they are orphan drugs, which are often much less scrutinized in terms of pricing and regulation
02:35and maybe the Inflation Reduction Act impact than standard drugs of large diseases.
02:44So here, this is also another advantage for the deal between Novartis and Avidity.
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