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  • 2 months ago
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00:00saints bucks i will just say this for those of for for people on new orleans
00:04new orleans saints are doing an excellent job staying in games and giving you almost it feels
00:09like no chance to cover the number they keep playing these games sub a touchdown losing
00:15in between you know it feels like six and 12 and never covering numbers and that's where we are
00:22once again i love him that kick book in this game over 73 and a half yards averaging well over 100
00:27in the two healthy games he played where mike evans was out he's healthy to me and that kick book had
00:32played and had a team high 12 targets by the way in the matchup against detroit on monday i like
00:37book in a big spot yeah i mean his number 73 and a half he could blow right through that number and
00:42baker when he's on is going to look to him early and often especially in red zone opportunities
00:47you saw the bad game play out on that primetime matchup against detroit it was a dead under they
00:53couldn't move the football that was a testament to detroit's defense and and kelvin shepherd their dc
00:58but this is a different animal this is a game where i think baker breaks out in a big way but i love the
01:03total 46 and a half and minus 106 potentially could be a best bet on the show and i think last time
01:09these two quarterbacks got together in the dome it was almost 73 points come on rat i do i do think
01:16tess johnson we saw him break out uh again with a huge catch against detroit don't be shocked if he
01:23continues that today as well i will say in this next matchup here indianapolis and tennessee i think
01:30there's a world i end up regretting not taking a 14 and a half point number that i took i thought i was
01:34going to take all week long but i kind of just tapped out in that one no jeff simmons the titans
01:41defense is miserable the cults have are you know they've been hanging that you know whatever number they
01:46want all season long and i also had a prop i really liked in the game and i said i don't need
01:50that many titans bats give me cam ward over 20 and a half completions cam ward's completion percentage
01:55is up 20 over the last two weeks from where it was the last five and the cult see as many pass
02:02attempts as anyone in this league this season because they're always up big even if the titans
02:06hang in this not hang in this game unless they win it from start to finish cam ward's gonna throw the
02:11ball 30 to 35 maybe if not 40 times in this matchup and that's good enough for me to get
02:16over 20 and a half completions yeah the reason why you said simmons being out is why you couldn't take
02:20it is why i'm taking it yeah i'm taking the 14 and a half again i just look at indy having a gauntlet of
02:26a schedule a big game big game big game and they've answered the bell now you have the worst team in the
02:32division potentially one of the worst teams in the nfl and you're laying two and a half you know two
02:37touchdowns and a half i'll take the 14 and a half as a gift i think they run the football short in the
02:41game a little bit i i hope you're right for cam ward but the only way i believe titans can cover is if
02:48it's more of a controlled type of attack and and just get it into the fourth quarter i like the under
02:5347 and a half yep and i like the points with the titans broncos cowboys three and a half spread
02:5851 and a half total here maybe a dallas team total would probably be the sharpest way for me to play
03:03this game or at least play what i'm expecting uh in the matchup here i think this game is an under
03:0851 and a half i do think it's a i think it's a denver spot but i'm just not able to get to where
03:12this number is listed right now jk dobbins should have himself a big game yeah i'm i'm with bo nicks
03:16i'm riding the hot hand i like denver in a bounce back spot they got the wind but no cover against
03:22the giants i think they continue where they left off they came out flat that was due to travel
03:27potentially i think they're hyped up for this game and knowing that it's dac and the cowboys they're
03:31going to be you know in this early and often i do like if evan ingram again we talked about evan
03:37ingram being implemented into that offense has a short number yet again today might take them for
03:42paid dirt i'm with you though i'm under the 51 and a half i can't get there just i know dallas wants
03:48to push tempo but i think denver says you know what we're going to pull it back utilize dobbins
03:53utilize bo nicks on the ground and we're going to beat you up in the trenches i think that's how this
03:58game plays out
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