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The bitter tribalism that drove the United States into a government shutdown is putting compromise out of reach, analysts say -- and threatening to turn a staring contest between the Democrats and Donald Trump's Republicans into a protracted crisis. As the nation enters its second week with federal agencies paralyzed, multiple strategists with vivid memories of previous standoffs told that the president and his foes could be in it for the long haul.

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00:00The bitter tribalism that drove the United States into a government shutdown is putting
00:08compromise out of reach, analysts say, and threatening to turn a staring contest between
00:14the Democrats and Donald Trump's Republicans into a protracted crisis. As the nation enters
00:20its second week with federal agencies paralyzed, multiple strategists with vivid memories of
00:26previous standoffs, told AFP the president and his foes could be in it for the long haul.
00:33Andrew Konischewski, a former press secretary for Senator Chuck Schumer, the Democratic leader at
00:39the center of the latest deadlock, said, It's possible this shutdown drags on for weeks,
00:44not just days. He added, Right now, both sides are dug in and there's very little talk of compromise.
00:52At the heart of the showdown is a Democratic demand for an extension of health care subsidies that are
00:59due to expire, meaning sharply increased costs for millions of low-income Americans. On Sunday,
01:06Trump blamed minority Democrats for blocking his funding resolution, which needs a handful of their
01:12votes. They're causing it. We're ready to go back, Trump told reporters at the White House,
01:18sounding resigned to a shutdown dragging on. Trump also told reporters his administration has already
01:25started to permanently fire, not merely furlough, federal workers, again blaming his rivals for
01:32causing the loss of a lot of jobs. In March, when the threat of a shutdown last loomed, Democrats
01:39blinked first, voting for a six-month Republican resolution to keep the coffers stacked despite policy
01:45misgivings. But Schumer, the top Senate Democrat, was lambasted by the party's base and will be
01:53reluctant to cave this time around as he faces potential primary challenges from the left.
02:04For now, Senate Republicans are banking on their Democratic opponents giving in as they repeatedly
02:10force votes. Jeff Lee, a former senior official in California state politics, who negotiated with
02:17the first Trump administration, said, I could see a temporary agreement coming from both parties by the
02:24end of October. He added, anything beyond two months would halt government operations seriously
02:31and potentially impact national and homeland security considerations, casting blame on both parties.
02:38A shift in the strategy would likely depend on either side. Noticing public sentiment turning against
02:45them, analysts told AFP, polling so far has been mixed, although Republicans have been taking more
02:52flack than Democrats overall. Trump presided over the longest shutdown in history in 2018 and 2019,
03:01when federal agencies stopped work for five weeks. This time around, the president has been
03:07ratcheting up pressure by threatening liberal policy priorities and mass layoffs of public sector workers.
03:19James Druckmann, a politics professor at the University of Rochester, sees Trump's intransigence as a reason
03:26to believe this standoff could rival the 2019 record. He said,
03:31the Trump administration views itself as having an unchecked mandate and thus generally does not
03:38compromise. He added, Democrats have been critiqued for not standing strongly enough and the last
03:45compromise did not result in any positive outcome for Democrats. Thus, politically, they are inclined to
03:51stand firm. The 2018 to 2019 shutdown cost the economy $11 billion in the short term, according to the
04:01nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, and $3 billion was never recovered. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott
04:09Besant has warned that the latest shutdown could wreak its own havoc on GDP growth. For California-based
04:16financial analyst Michael Ashley Schulman, the economic realities of the shutdown may be what end up
04:22forcing compromise. He said, if Wall Street gets spooked and Treasury yields spike, even the most ideologically
04:31caffeinated will suddenly discover a deep commitment to bipartisan solutions. Not all analysts are gloomy
04:39about the prospects for a quick resolution.
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