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  • 5 months ago
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00:00Monday night football between the Ravens and the Lions.
00:03And when I say we've got ourselves a runner, that is this total.
00:07And, well, I'm chasing this thing down.
00:10I'm on the hunt here, DRS, 53 and a half.
00:12And you know me, sometimes I like to wait.
00:14But I said, man, this thing's been climbing so much.
00:16That's probably the best of the number.
00:17Let me place my wager and leave it at that.
00:20We're up to 54.
00:22I said, you know what?
00:23I'm not scared.
00:24That's going to be top of the market.
00:25I'll play 54.
00:27This thing's at 54 and a half now.
00:32And, Donnie, if this is a shootout, I might need a day off.
00:37I'm in again.
00:38I bet this total three times at three different numbers.
00:42I'm under Ravens-Lions.
00:44Love that, too.
00:45And when you get that big start, like 14-14 first quarter,
00:48you just shut it off and say, I'm just going to go to bed at this point
00:50because I know how this game ends up.
00:52But understand this.
00:53Eight out of every ten tickets here, Kevin,
00:55coming in on the over for this football game.
00:57And, look, when you look at the two offenses, there's no shortage of talent.
01:01And what's the Ravens' MO?
01:02Who cares who they play?
01:0330-plus points in the bank right away.
01:05But we see a lot of these games in Baltimore, Kevin,
01:07where you expected shootouts.
01:09The Ravens are there to provide that shootout,
01:11and their defense just comes up and punches you in the mouth.
01:14They're good at every level.
01:16This is also a dome team going outdoors, which could shake things up a bit.
01:20But it is hard.
01:21Like, there is nobody in their right mind, and maybe you're not in your right mind,
01:24that looks at this and goes, yeah, you know, it's 17-14.
01:27That seems like it should be fine.
01:29Like, Lamar just makes plays happen.
01:31Who cares who the defense is or the pass rushers?
01:33And you look at that offense, like, oh, look, Ben Johnson left town.
01:36Oh, come on.
01:37Week number one, they're terrible.
01:38Week number two, they dropped a 50 spot,
01:41which includes five touchdown passes and multiple weapons all over the place.
01:44So that's the way I look at it.
01:46But I'm with you.
01:46There is a – we've seen it so many times, Kevin.
01:50Hey, this game's headed towards an over.
01:51What happened in the second half?
01:53Similar to what you saw yesterday, if you bet that Bears over.
01:56Who would have thought that game would stay under the total
01:57after the first half you have?
01:59Crazy things happen.
02:00And when you deal with Kevin, 54-1,
02:02sometimes you're just looking at one fourth down stop,
02:06one missed field goal, and you can't catch up.
02:09Yeah, it's one of those things – like, again,
02:11maybe I'm not in my right mind, Donnie,
02:14but this is as good of a sell-high spot as we may see on a total all year.
02:19The Ravens have scored 40 in each of the first two games.
02:22Yep.
02:23You don't score 43 games in a row.
02:26That just doesn't happen.
02:27I went through, and Lamar's tenure, this – he's done it twice prior,
02:32and in the next week he scored 27 and 20, respectively, in those games.
02:38And you might think, well, he scores 27.
02:40You're done for.
02:41They would have to lose the game for me to be done for.
02:44That's well under their team total.
02:46The Detroit Lions, Donnie, last year when they scored 50,
02:49which happened twice, they scored 24 the next week each time.
02:5427-24 bust out the pillows and blankets, baby.
02:57We're tucked.
02:58We're under the number.
02:59That's just what it is.
03:00So we are – and the fact that it's running up as well,
03:05I just think, again, usually, hey, I got my 53-1,
03:08if it lands 54-55, what am I going to do?
03:11Donnie, I've liked this total since it came out.
03:14Donnie, I like – so this number started – you can probably –
03:16the first number I saw I think was 51-1.
03:18Maybe I was late to it, right?
03:20I don't know what you're seeing the opener for this number.
03:22But, Donnie, at 51-1, I knew when we got to Monday I would be betting under.
03:27I just think people – Donnie, I don't think there's going to be 75 points in this game.
03:31I'm sorry.
03:32If it was in Detroit, it'd be different.
03:34Now, here, again, you like to look at headlines, right, which I'm not going to do,
03:38but understand the perception of this, right?
03:40Oh, look at Detroit, week number one.
03:41Boy, they stink on offense.
03:42I love Ben Johnson.
03:43Wait, 51, they're back.
03:45Oh, my God, 50 points every single week.
03:47That's where we get a hold of.
03:48That's why we start out at 51-1 and a half and find ourselves at 54-1
03:51because you're looking at the options.
03:53But understand this.
03:54This isn't the Detroit Lions defensive last year.
03:57They're healthy now.
03:58This isn't a Ravens team that's depleted at the end of the year.
04:00They're good on the defensive line, linebacker, and in the secondary.
04:03They're two really good defenses in a high-stakes game.
04:06And also, like, the NFL doesn't put out every game as a 40-point total.
04:10Whoa!
04:10They're going over it.
04:12It's 54-1, half.
04:1427-24.
04:15What a great game, high scoring.
04:17Yeah, you lost your bet as well.
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