Milwaukee vs. Toronto Matchup: High Stakes MLB Preview

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00:00let's get over to toronto milwaukee and toronto two first place teams one a little bit more

00:04comfortable than the other that's the milwaukee brewers everybody breathing down the neck of the

00:08toronto blue jays here in the al east it's scherzer versus woodruff 137 start favorite here

00:13roughly a pick them overnight tom still seeing it roughly a pick them across multiple sports books

00:18right now and a total that opened up at eight and a half overnight i still see eight and a half at

00:22fan duel but the rest of the books tom have shifted down to eight here are we getting a

00:25pitching duel because by the way i like both of these lineups i like both of these lineups you

00:32know scherzer has been good as of late you know three three five era over his last 45 days however

00:37the xfip is up at four seven oh which is not good so yeah he's over before my let's call it a full run

00:43like a full run differential changes a team total changes rbi props changes the game total whatever

00:50it might be and this is what i think this is a a big tell for the blue jays because do they get

00:55swept at home when they're in first place granted it's a very good brewers team on the other side

01:00and they're going up against a very good pitcher today but that's what you have to do when you're

01:03pushing to the playoffs and into place you have to be able to beat good teams and beat good pitchers

01:07so i would side with the under despite the fact that i really do like the lineups i'm hesitant to go to

01:14this game knowing that the playoff type intensity that we could get could lead to a two-to-one game on

01:19either side really you're right about scherzer and again this is some of those you know numbers that say

01:24well yeah he's got a low era but the analytics aren't loving max scherzer right now but i tell

01:27you what he doesn't have all that much is i was looking at some of those like past 30 to 45 days

01:32like hard contact rates scherzer doesn't give up a lot of hard contact or bowel rates at that point

01:36we'll see if that plays into it today but last starts how about this each woodruff and also scherzer

01:41tom through 97 pitches one with woodruff gave up five earned runs max scherzer gave up four earned

01:47runs so not like pitchers coming in like we just talked about giolito which it doesn't matter

01:50momentum's different than teams that you play having a great start and then backing it up both

01:54of these guys looking to have a bounce back effort today if we do look at the player props because

01:59when i look at i'm telling you every time i look at the last 30 days right now in the milwaukee brewers

02:04and i just go to myself all right what's their iso power numbers let me read you some of these

02:08and these are through like 5 10 15 at bats 68 at bats for tarango 459 yell at 74 bats at 234

02:15contraria's 91 at bats at 325 freilich 179 collins 250 durbin 211 monasterio 393

02:23do you just ride these hot bats and say i don't give a damn what else is going on

02:27i think you can you take three of the interior's back and drew vaughn solid you take three of those

02:33throw them into an hrr get on the base get them over get them in you got some runs you got some

02:37you got some profits being cashed at that point my goodness man like it's a good feeling when you

02:42handicap the game it's like okay i have eight batters that should slay to this man you are

02:46living the life of this i suppose oh i hope cam and arrow can hit a home run because nobody else

02:50can do anything for tampa