Tampa Bay Rays vs. San Francisco Giants Game Analysis

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00:00the tampa bay rays taking on the san francisco giants out in san francisco today tom 977 978

00:06on the rotation a 405 start pepio going up against webb a favorite overnight minus 160s

00:12dropping like a rock 130s 135s in the marketplace even as low as a 126 a total that's listed at

00:19seven used to always bank on great starts out of logan webb over the past month month and a half

00:24tom a lot of questionable starts thrown in there for logan webb does he have the juice today because

00:29it looks like bettors are saying he's not worth that price point anymore and they're buying it down

00:35yeah this is uh this is a really tough game because i think on paper we'd all agree that logan webb is

00:40by far the better picture and on the entire season a 27 xfip not 270 area 27 xfip

00:47is unbelievable he's had some you know kind of landmine games over the past month and a half he

00:52said six four or runs wherever it might be the minus 160 is turning into minus 130 i think is

00:58extremely fair i do like the giants i would prefer to back them in the giants first five

01:04because i think logan webb can get it done but this game comes down to one thing it's the it's the giants

01:10offense which is completely inept at this point they cannot score can they get across a run because

01:16there's a chance that i lose the first five literally 1-0 like logan webb he bounces back he's at

01:22home he gets back things under control he gives up one single run and the giants literally cannot

01:27score and they lose the game 2-1 as they did yesterday so i like the giants in theory i'd like

01:32them in the first five specifically but you tell me logan webb the 27 xfit uh strike already at 26.2

01:40percent i will take that against ryan pepio who i have my concerns about and does struggle a little

01:44bit with fly balls yeah he should get through that lineup he really should by the way don't get

01:48excited once again oh wait tom there's 13 mile an hour wind blowing up the dead center field in san

01:52francisco have you ever looked at the weather in san francisco that's every single day so

01:55not as exciting as it sounds devers dominic smith and jung ho lee in the middle of that lineup i do

02:00circle for san francisco they have to get it done the one thing we know thomas pepio is not a great

02:04pitcher he does struggle with left-handed batters those are the lefties in the middle of that lineup

02:08with really good numbers over the past month against right-handed pitchers we'll see how that one does play

02:12out today let's keep moving down the list and we'll stay in the state of california and a battle

02:16between two teams in california san diego and los angeles we told you already do you know what

02:21happened yeah the dodgers won the first two games here looking for the sweep of the san diego

02:26padres you darvish on the mound versus tyler class now 959 960 on the rotation of 410 start a favorite

02:32here overnight minus 145 give or take it's actually a little bit less here at fanduel minus 138 but still

02:38at 145 at bet mgm a total that's what's at eight and a half across the board glass now trying to

02:43follow up on that appearance that we just saw from blake snell how does it go today and is this an

02:47under because i'm kind of interested why this is priced at an eight and a half so nine takes to beat

02:51you there right i know i the under would be the spots going again as i said on friday on the early

02:58line i said early show just give me the unders in all three games and at least two or three will come

03:01through you're coming out positive which we've already seen and there's no reason for me to not back

03:06the under at this spot when tyler glass now outside of this game versus cincinnati on the on july 29th

03:12when he gave up four runs he's been super solid since he came back only two earned runs at most

03:18in the other starts he's piling up the strikeouts the same thing can be said largely about you darvish

03:23since he's coming back especially the last three starts he's been pretty darn good so why not see

03:28another under in this game again a true playoff type environment i think that the uh padres their bullpen

03:34bounces back after a disaster yesterday also the fielding can't be dropping fly balls and whatnot

03:39under under under in this game and you know if i had to pick honestly i would take the plus one with

03:43the podgers at this point i just don't think they get swept hey you look at tyler glass now and again

03:48he's going to be hard to fade and this is just what you're waiting on like shohei otani continues

03:51to stretch out during the summer turns into a legitimate starting pitcher you're getting guys back

03:55you know yamamoto but also more importantly tyler glass now and then you saw blake snell if they all get in

04:00rhythm and they're healthy by playoff time that's why a lot of people are betting the dodgers not

04:04what you see now it's what you're going to see in the future but that san diego lineup does present

04:08itself well against right into pitching particularly tom over the past month tatis arise machado

04:12merrill bogarts along with laureano and chrono were off high weighted on base percentages against right

04:17into pitching nice day in la today 82 degree temperatures light wind blowing out the center field

04:22between 8 to 10 miles per hour we'll see if that makes a difference but looking at that total

04:26sitting at eight and a half it's going to take nine to beach in that one as we do like to say

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