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  • 5 months ago
On "Forbes Newsroom," Emerson Pollster Matt Taglia discussed a new poll showing who voters are supporting in the presidential primary.
Transcript
00:00And I also want to look ahead even further now, because you and I, if you can believe it, have already been talking about the 2028 Democratic primary as well as the Republican primary.
00:09When you asked Democrats and Republicans in North Carolina, who are they supporting for the presidential primary leading up to 2028?
00:17Right. Yeah. So we'll start with Democrats. And Pete Buttigieg leads here 17 percent. Harris, Kamala Harris at 12 percent.
00:29And then Governor Gavin Newsom at 10 percent. All others are at less than 10 percent with 24 percent undecided.
00:36As you said, it is very early, but we see that Buttigieg does worse among Hispanic voters and black voters.
00:44He does best among white voters and Asian voters. We've seen that trend somewhat across the country.
00:50And we definitely see that in North Carolina, where there is a higher percentage of black voters than in a lot of other states.
00:57That's something that could ultimately end up hurting him in, say, South Carolina and some of the Super Tuesday states.
01:05But again, it's early. We're speculating a little bit, but we can see that data trend is continuing here.
01:11Looking at the Republican primary, it's sort of the same story as we've talked about before.
01:15We see J.D. Vance at 53 percent and then all others are less than 10 percent.
01:21So once again, the field has sort of cleared for J.D. Vance. He appears to be the heir apparent.
01:27But again, things can change rapidly.
01:29Obviously, 2016 was a very different story between 2015 and then ultimately in the primaries in 2016.
01:40There was things changed very quickly and very drastically, too.
01:45So this is sort of the first real open contest that we've seen in quite a while.
01:50So I do expect things will change. But right now, as it stands, Vance is in the top spot.
01:55And as things change, I hope you can come back on and break down the numbers with me.
02:01Matt Taglia, per usual, thanks for joining me.
02:04Thank you, Brittany.
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