White Sox and Angels Game Analysis & Odds: New Insights

SportsGrid

Watch White Sox and Angels Game Analysis & Odds: New Insights - SportsGrid on Dailymotion

Transcript

00:00We're talking about the Chicago White Sox and the Los Angeles Angels. You get what you get

00:03sometimes out of those lineups. Friday night an all-team for the White Sox. They handled their

00:07business. Absolutely loved it. A lot of home runs in that game from them. Really didn't get that

00:11yesterday. 965-966 on the rotation. A 407 start. That's going to be Kochanowicz taking on Burke.

00:17The line of this game overnight, Tom, is a total 10s. We've now settled into 9.5s and even 9s here

00:22as we're expecting good pitching and not 10 runs today. We'll find out. 140 or so is that price

00:27point overnight? It's lower now, Tom. Let's call it minus 135. Kochanowicz is that guy that you can't

00:33really hit him hard, but boy, you should rack up runs on him and they do at times and Burke's not

00:37a very good pitcher. Do we have a bounce back with the bats today out in Anaheim? I don't know. This

00:44is like one of the games that we'll probably have throughout the final two months of the season

00:49where I'm looking at him like, I don't want to bet this game. Like, I don't want to lay money with

00:53the Angels. Like, if there's any, honestly, if there's any way to go about this, you just take

00:57the plus money. And frankly, if things were flipped, I would just take the plus money on

01:01the Angels. It's really that simple. Kochanowicz was sent up and down this season just because

01:05he's not good. He has a 491 XFIP, a 575 ERA overall. He's not a big strikeout pitcher, 15.5%.

01:11He has an 11.6% block rate. He doesn't give up a ton of home runs, but he has a 311 batting average

01:17of balls in play. So he's not a dominant pitcher on the mound. And then when he does get hit,

01:21they often get hit into play. You know, they're not home runs, but single double walk at the

01:2611.6% walk rate. It should lead to runs. Now, the same thing can be said largely about Sean

01:30Burke on the other side, but I don't trust either of these teams, either of these lineups. So it's

01:35White Sox at plus money or completely pass. I agree with you. You look at Kochanowicz too.

01:40Like I have 26 pitchers on the card today, just rating XFIP here. Kochanowicz's ERA,

01:456.3 throw over the past 45 days. Sign me up. His XFIP number, Tom, 4.9. Now let's call it

01:495. Sign me up. And then I take a look at the White Sox lineup today. It's like, oh,

01:53they probably stink. They look fantastic. Talkman, 4.01, weighted on base percentage.

01:58Sosa, 4.36. Robert, 3.73. Montgomery, 3.99. Teal, 3.76. Carroll, 4.02. And then I say to myself,

02:06all right, well, Kochanowicz must get hit hard a lot. Yeah, he does have a high hard hit percentage,

02:11but then look at the ISO against him, a 1.13, which means, all right, we're getting hard hit singles

02:15at this point. The walk rate is 15%. He should be loading up the bases. K, right, Tom? Last 30

02:20days, 11%. And then I go down and say, well, what about that barrel rate? Would you like to sort of

02:25creep into? It's like 2%. It's 0% the lefties and 3.8 the righties. It's one of those games I say to

02:31myself, I should be on the White Sox as a team total. They should get four runs today. And it goes

02:37two ways, Tom. They get none or they get nine. That's the way it feels like it.

02:41It really does. And, you know, ultimately, like, again, I don't want to trust them either. So

02:50if you get a better number on the White Sox full game in game, that might be the way to go about

02:56things. And neither of these teams should be scoring. They're just that bad. But the pitching

03:01is that bad as well. Like Burke, you want to line up some lefties against them. He says 293 ISO

03:06against over his last 45 batters. You look at that lineup today. It's like, okay,

03:09Shanuel is a 311 weighted on base percentage. Not great. Low ISO power number. Not a lot of

03:13lefties in that lineup that you actually want to back here. It's a crazy one time because we could

03:17get the one to nothing game or we can get the 10 to nine game there. And I just I feel like I'm going

03:21to miss out either way. Like when I see the White Sox with three on the board after two innings,

03:25I'm going to get upset about that. But sometimes that's just the way it goes. And no marine layer out

03:30there in the middle of the afternoon. 83 degree temperatures, seven mile an hour wind blowing out. It's

03:34perfect conditions today. But Kohano, it's on the mound. Sometimes those I'm telling you right

03:38now, the pitchers from the Angels, as slippery as they get, every one of them should get bombed

03:43every single night, but it certainly doesn't always happen. Let's set the table for the next

03:47game. It's the St. Louis Cardinals taking on the San Diego Padres. It's Palante and Dylan Cease on

03:52the mound. Cease, we were looking to see if he was going to be a trade piece. Padres hang on to him.

03:57957, 950 in a rotation of 410 start, Tom. 180s to 190s are the price point for the Padres today

04:03going up against Palante with a total of eight. Yeah, I think there's a spot where the Padres

04:08bounce back after last night's loss. They were on a six game losing streak. Randy Vasquez goes out

04:13there. Surprise, surprise. He's not good. And they lose the game. But Dylan Cease is an awesome

04:18pitcher. Like I know, again, his name was involved in the trade talks this season, but a 29.9%

04:23strikeout rate is unbelievable. Yeah, the walks are a little bit of an issue. The home runs are a little

04:27bit of an issue as they have been for his entire career, but he is significantly better pitcher

04:31compared to Palante on the other side. The lineup is better on the other side. Tatis arise, Machado,

04:37Merrill, Bogarts, O'Hearn, Laureano. Like that is the lineup that you ultimately want to be seeing

04:42and not trusting on the other side. So I like the Padres. I don't love the price. It's really simple.

Category

Transcript

Be the first to comment

Recommended