Cristopher Sanchez’s Stellar Start: Philadelphia's Edge

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00:00Today, nearly a $2 favorite as Christopher Sanchez makes the start for Philadelphia.

00:06Christopher Sanchez since the start of June.

00:09Eight starts, 55 and a third innings pitched, 52 Ks, 4-1 record, 1-6-3 ERA.

00:18He has gone at least six innings in all eight of those outings.

00:22Wonderful research there from our producer extraordinaire, Joe Frizzo.

00:25Minus 198 price in favor of the Titans.

00:29The over-understands at eight and a half.

00:32The Phillies won yesterday in 10 innings based on catcher's interference.

00:37Will it be another close call tonight?

00:40It will be another close call because you take a look at the pitching mismatch.

00:43Christopher Sanchez has been wonderful.

00:45You just take a look at his starts over the past, what, let's just go 30 days just to keep it close.

00:50A 3.7 walk percent rate.

00:52You love that.

00:52A 28% K rate.

00:53You love that.

00:54Iso power number against, which means extra base hits.

00:570-30, which is phenomenal.

00:58Weighted on base percentage against, 234.

01:00Ground ball percentage, 67%.

01:03So if the ball's not in the air and you're getting a lot of strikeouts and a lot of free

01:06passes, Ben, that's not a lot of opportunities to score runs.

01:09Just like yesterday, a very good outing and performance by Zach Wheeler and the Phillies

01:13bullpen.

01:14I expect the same things today.

01:15But from a Phillies perspective, they should be able to hit Richard Fitz.

01:18However, his last 30 days, K rate, 25%.

01:21You like that.

01:22Walk rate, under 6%.

01:23That's great.

01:24Iso against, 149.

01:25You'll take that.

01:26And this is a Phillies lineup with a lot of easy outs right now.

01:29Riomuto, Marsh, Kemp, Kepler, Stott, all wastes of space for the most part.

01:34Even though over the past 30 to 45 days, you've seen a little bit better out of JT Riomuto.

01:39Just the power numbers aren't there.

01:40So for me, I look at that total of eight and a half is, who's getting to nine runs?

01:45Like, is it multiple home runs by Bryce Harper that powers you?

01:48Maybe so.

01:49But if I look at Sanchez being a good pitcher on rest, which helped out yesterday with

01:53Zach Wheeler, and let's just say it does the same thing, he should give up what?

01:56One to two earned runs over six innings.

01:58And then from a Phillies perspective, three or four runs is a massive night, it feels like,

02:02for their offense.

02:03So instead of taking the side again, which was 200 or better yesterday, which the Phillies

02:07did win, but it took the extra innings.

02:09I look at that total again tonight at eight and a half and say, I don't see nine runs

02:13tonight.

02:13I just don't.

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