00:00all right all quiet on the atlantic front of the uh tropical season here hurricane season
00:12beginning june 1st here right now no concerns for any development in the atlantic now we always talk
00:18about this where do we look for development near the united states not in the tropical atlantic
00:24i want to show you why because when you look at tropical waves coming off africa we have them
00:29the tropical needs uh wave needs plenty of moisture and low wind shear we have neither
00:36in the atlantic right now i want to show you the saharan dust field here you can see another area
00:42of dust about ready to come off of africa right now we also have a lot of dust here extending from
00:49the caribbean all the way back uh into the tropical atlantic now this in itself would shut down
00:56production right but we have another ingredient that's not going to allow anything to develop
01:01it's called wind shear strong winds in the middle and upper part of the atmosphere here and there
01:07it is you can see you see this belt of winds in here this is all wind shear so nothing survives
01:13the atlantic right now however in the caribbean you're south of the wind shear and you're kind
01:20of south of the dry air and that's the area that we've been watching for uh development here you
01:26can see the showers and thunderstorms in the southern parts of the caribbean i i want to show
01:30you the wind shear product though and you could see though once you get to the latitude of nicaragua
01:36on north a lot of this dark purple showing you the wind shear right light purple less wind shear
01:40that's in the eastern pacific and that's the area of the watch here as some of these thunderstorms
01:46migrate over in the eastern pacific we could see development there from june 13th to the 15th
01:51by the way there's another area we've added a little later right off the mexican coast next weekend
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