00:00Max Freed, who has been sensational in his debut year in pinstripes, hopes to continue that today.
00:06The Yankees, a road favorite in Seattle, minus 142 on the money line.
00:11Limited total, the over-understands at seven.
00:14What's the play tonight in Seattle?
00:16Yeah, last night he did like some runs there.
00:18They did get there.
00:18A couple RBI props that I thought were unique yesterday were Cal Rowley.
00:22He hits a home run, so does Jorge Polanco.
00:23That worked out, but today, maybe a different story.
00:2664-degree temperatures in the Pacific Northwest.
00:28Eight-mile and everyone's blowing out to left field, so a decent hitting day there in the Pacific Northwest.
00:32But understand this, you got two good pitchers on the mound.
00:35And how about this?
00:35Of 31 pitchers on the card today with XFIP numbers, number six on that card is Brian Wu.
00:41An 85 XFIP minus a 3.25 ERA and a 3.49 XFIP number, which is great.
00:47Number 11 on the card is Max Freed.
00:49He's got an unbelievable ERA of 1.05.
00:52An 87 is an XFIP minus, which is good, and a 3.56 XFIP number.
00:56So, even as I look at the offenses here, right, going up against Brian Wu, Grisham's got great numbers.
01:01Judge has great numbers.
01:02Ben Rice has great numbers against right-handed pitching.
01:04The pitching is probably going to win out tonight.
01:06Now, if we're looking also at a Seattle lineup, it looks good.
01:09Like, Seattle never looks good over the past five years.
01:11What if I would have told you tonight the anticipated hitters coming into versus a left-handed pitcher?
01:17Seven of the nine have elevated weighted-on-base percentages.
01:19You might be thinking to yourself, yes, let's get some runs.
01:22Now, granted, 3-3 automatically gets you a push, and it doesn't sound like a lot,
01:27but I do see one of those games like 2-1 after five innings, bullpen, hold it down,
01:314-3 final maybe, which isn't enough to get you the win if you take the over,
01:35but certainly you get the push with the seven.
01:37This is a tough one.
01:38I lean under in this environment, even though, as I said, we got some pretty good hitters,
01:41but usually the pitchers will win out in a pitcher's ballpark.
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