Rangers vs. Red Sox: Pitching Duel Forecast Tonight

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00:00A 6.45 start tonight between the Rangers and the Red Sox.

00:03It's Molly versus Hawk.

00:04Opening number, minus 136.

00:06That's down now.

00:07As you see the graphic at minus 126.

00:09A total, though, we're expecting runs tonight, Joe.

00:11Nine and a half.

00:12Here's the issue that you might have.

00:14You look at Molly and say, okay, 1.19 ERA, sensational to 37 and two-thirds innings pitch,

00:20and a manageable XFIP number.

00:22Well, take a look then at Tanner Hawk, who's not far behind with XFIP numbers,

00:25but he's got a 6.38 ERA, but that doesn't compare.

00:30His expected ERA, 4.58, and an XFIP number of 3.95.

00:34Will the real Tanner Hawk please stand up?

00:37Will it be today?

00:38They're a favorite, but the money looks like it's starting to come in on Texas.

00:41Well, like, you know, we mentioned earlier, we loved Evaldi.

00:45We loved Texas in the game last night because I do think they are,

00:50the bats are waking up for Texas in this spot here.

00:54Boston is kind of reeling here.

00:56Why?

00:57Well, their bullpen is a hot mess as well there, Donnie.

01:00Not great.

01:01But you got to dive into the numbers with how,

01:04because he had one start against the Tampa Bay Rays where he gave up 12 runs,

01:09which has thrown everything out of whack there.

01:13But he has been very good at Fenway 2.13 ERA at home this year.

01:18If you throw that one outing against the Rays away and his numbers are every bit as good as Tyler Molle's.

01:25Now, is that sustainable?

01:26I don't think he's actually given up a home run through seven starts, Tyler Molle.

01:32Is that going to change today?

01:33Look at that total.

01:34Nine and a half.

01:36It's a first five under for me.

01:37I think this is an early pitchers battle here.