Michael King Battles Old Team, Yanks Face Padres on Tuesday

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00:00Tonight, Clark Schmidt gets the start for the Yanks.

00:03Michael King back in the Bronx for the Padres.

00:06It was King who was involved in the Juan Soto deal.

00:09Now, a few years ago, he gets the start against his former team in the Padres.

00:15Now, you see a pick-em price right there, DRS.

00:17An ever-so-slight favorite, minus .12 in terms of that money line.

00:20Shows a lot of respect here for San Diego, and rightfully so.

00:23Let me explain some things here where we're going to go on this game.

00:2531 pitchers on the card today that are handicapped here with XFIP numbers.

00:28You take a look at Clark Schmidt on the mound.

00:30He's 26 out of 31, which isn't going to help you.

00:3214 and two-thirds innings pitched, 5.52 ERA, but an XFIP of 4.79.

00:37Now, you might be saying he's pitching a little bit over his head

00:40and not getting the breaks there.

00:41That's one thing, but usually those things start to even out.

00:44Michael King, on the other hand, hasn't been sensational this year,

00:46but still top 10 today on the card with his XFIP numbers.

00:4938 and two-thirds innings pitched.

00:51How about a 2.09 ERA, which you love, a slightly higher XFIP of 3.31.

00:55Now, you go over to the hitting environment and say,

00:57okay, what are we getting out of Yankee Stadium today?

00:59As Ben pointed out, 61 degrees, which is okay, but the wind isn't blowing out.

01:02More of a right foul pole to left foul pole.

01:04You take a look in the lineup today for the Padres.

01:06Fernando Tatis, love them, having a sensational season.

01:09Probably should be in your lineup, but how about this?

01:11Talked about Jackson Merrill, right?

01:12Anticipated in the lineup today?

01:13Jackson Merrill there, the left-handed bat here for the San Diego Padres,

01:17which could give them a little bit of a lift.

01:18But when we focus on the bats here for the New York Yankees,

01:21it always starts and finishes with the top three, who are really good.

01:24Trent Grisham's having a sensational season as a lefty, Aaron Judge, and also Ben Rice.

01:28Those three guys, high ISO powers, high weighted on base percentages,

01:31but then again, it's going up against Michael King.

01:34156 batters he's faced this year.

01:36Take a look at his ISO against an 0.92.

01:38That's microscopic.

01:39A weighted on base percentage of 2.49.

01:41Look at the K rates here combined.

01:4230% overall, and it's equal opportunity.

01:45Like 32% to lefties, 26%, 27% to right-handed batters.

01:49He should be able to hold down the 40.

01:50Just pitch around that top three.

01:52The Padres should be able to get a victory again tonight.

01:54I agree with that line being very light.

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