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Exploring Kyler Murray's Rushing Yards Incentive Deal
SportsGrid
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1/5/2025
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Sports
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00:00
with them, what do you got?
00:01
Yes, why shouldn't we make some money?
00:04
I mean, everyone else is making money.
00:06
I want to make some money today, too.
00:07
So, so let's go ahead and do that.
00:09
Let's start with Kyler Murray,
00:11
who is certainly making a lot of money.
00:12
Does he deserve all of it?
00:13
I don't know.
00:14
We can have that conversation in the offseason,
00:16
but Kyler Murray needs more rushing yards,
00:19
50 or more today,
00:21
and the number is set at 40 and a half.
00:22
So we'll talk more about that in just a second.
00:24
But if he gets over that 50 rushing yards mark
00:28
and gets a rushing touchdown,
00:31
he will cash in a whopping $750,000.
00:36
Now, it's going to be tough for us
00:37
to make that kind of money around these parts.
00:39
However, what you got to do is keep an eye on these props
00:43
because what's going on here is things are going up on sites.
00:47
They're coming down on sites. Week 18 is struggle bus.
00:50
Everyone's working overtime in Vegas
00:53
trying to fix these lines
00:54
because number one of these incentives,
00:57
but also number two,
00:58
everything is so in flux in terms of who's in
01:00
and who's out, who's playing.
01:01
So you're going to have to wait
01:03
for the touchdown prop here for him.
01:06
I imagine it's going to look something
01:08
in that low plus 100 range.
01:10
That's what I would set it at personally,
01:12
maybe like a plus 150 for Kyler Murray today
01:15
to score a rushing touchdown because of that incentive.
01:17
But if you pair that along with this same Kyler Murray
01:21
over on the rushing total,
01:23
which is 40 and a half and he gets it,
01:25
you're going to be looking at a nice three-to-one
01:26
kind of bet.
01:27
That's basically the range.
01:30
So again, you can't get it right now.
01:32
My guess is in a couple hours from now
01:34
on Pro Football Today, you can
01:36
and you can make money off it.
01:37
Again, what you want to do is take the over
01:38
on the rushing yards, the anytime touchdown scorer.
01:41
You want to even go crazy
01:42
and go first-time touchdown scorer too.
01:44
You can really make a lot of money, not quite 750,000.
01:47
Although I don't know what Matt Stryker's bankroll
01:49
is nowadays.
01:49
However, Kyler Murray, again, there's money,
01:53
there's incentive here for him.
01:54
And I think that this is an opportunity against
01:56
a San Francisco team that he typically performs
01:58
pretty well against anyway to get that.
02:01
This is the one team where Kyler Murray typically
02:02
shows out against.
02:04
All right.
02:04
We move the conversation to Denver,
02:06
something we did not think we'd be saying
02:08
in the beginning of the season.
02:09
Yet here we are.
02:10
Courtland Sutton needs just 82.
02:13
Well, actually 83 receiving yards to cash
02:16
a $2 million bonus.
02:19
82 or more.
02:20
Does he hit it?
02:21
Has it been in his wheelhouse?
02:23
What's his game log looking like?
02:24
What's going to be today?
02:26
Yeah, I think he does.
02:28
The Chiefs, also a team that have nothing to play
02:30
for sitting there starters.
02:32
Bo Nix has shown you that Courtland Sutton's
02:34
been his guy.
02:35
I mean, it's a very simple offense and it has worked
02:39
for Courtland Sutton, for the Denver Broncos,
02:41
and most importantly for Bo Nix.
02:42
Now, here's the one thing I will say.
02:44
He hasn't come close to sniffing this number
02:47
in his last three games since the bye.
02:48
32, 50, 55.
02:50
Now, he has faced the Chargers in there,
02:53
a good defensive team.
02:54
But at the same time against the Cincinnati Bengals,
02:56
five catches for 55, a little underwhelming
02:58
in that game.
02:59
However, if you go back the two games prior
03:01
against Cleveland and Las Vegas, 97 and 102.
03:04
So, against Kansas City, I think this one is
03:06
very much in play.
03:08
Is it a lock?
03:09
No, but certainly knowing that $2 million,
03:13
not $200,000, which again is a lot of money
03:15
to all of us, but $2 million.
03:18
That's a lot of money here.
03:19
I think you're going to see him peppered with targets.
03:21
So, if you want to get away from the yardage
03:24
and just look at the receptions,
03:26
that's also an interesting way to do this
03:27
because maybe he just gets all the targets
03:29
and falls short and you could still make money
03:31
off the volume of Courtland Sutton,
03:33
even if he doesn't hit the $2 million.
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