Tuesday morning forecast 04/10/22

Met Office

4 October - National weather forecast presented by Alex Deakin.

Transcript

00:00Welcome to your national weather update.

00:02Plenty going on over the next few days.

00:04Make sure you stay up to date with the forecast.

00:07There are warnings in place.

00:09We start with one overnight tonight

00:11as the rain returns to Western Scotland.

00:13It's been a fairly soggy day.

00:14Rain easing for a time, but more rain

00:16coming in through the early hours could cause some problems.

00:18Certainly a lot of spray and surface water on the roads.

00:21Rain will also return across Northern Ireland,

00:23staying quite windy here.

00:24In fact, the breeze picking up everywhere,

00:26but staying fairly light across East Anglia and the southeast.

00:29Maybe a little bit of drizzle here and there in the south.

00:31But for most of England and Wales,

00:33it's a dry night, a fairly cloudy night, and a pretty

00:35mild night as well, with temperatures in some towns

00:38and cities remaining in the teens.

00:41On to Tuesday's details.

00:42And, well, we start pretty wet across Scotland.

00:44But quite quickly, that rain should

00:46start to clear from the west.

00:48A soggy morning, perhaps, through the central belt

00:50and for Belfast.

00:51But the rain edging away here, too.

00:53And then lingering through the day

00:54across much of West Wales.

00:56And rain also fairly persistent coming afternoon

00:58across northwest England.

01:00Trickling towards the Midlands, some

01:02getting to the east of the Pennines

01:03and northern parts of Devon and Cornwall as well.

01:06But East Anglia, the southeast, probably

01:08staying dry and reasonably bright.

01:10And it's pretty mild here, actually.

01:12Temperatures likely to get to 19, perhaps

01:14even 20 degrees Celsius.

01:16Brighter skies come the afternoon

01:18across northern Scotland, but staying fairly blustery.

01:20Temperatures for many in the mid-teens.

01:23But obviously feeling cooler than Monday

01:24through this central slice with the outbreaks of rain,

01:27which will continue into Tuesday evening.

01:30Pushing south, but then grinding to a halt.

01:32And actually, that rain then starts

01:34to push back further north as we head through Tuesday evening.

01:37Some heavy rain out west.

01:39This is a circulation.

01:40This is a developing area of low pressure.

01:44That's why it's going to get so windy on Tuesday

01:46night and Wednesday.

01:47It's been picked up and intensified by the jet stream.

01:50A bit of uncertainty about its exact track.

01:52And that will have an impact on where the strongest winds are

01:55and exactly how strong those winds are.

01:57But it's been a blustery day everywhere on Wednesday.

02:00And that low will also take heavy rain

02:02across Scotland, a band of rain sweeping

02:04across England and Wales.

02:05But those winds, as I said, a cause for concern.

02:08A large yellow warning area in place

02:11at the moment for Wednesday.

02:12Gusts of 55 to 65 miles an hour.

02:15That's the most likely scenario.

02:17But there is a chance that that low is a bit more intense

02:20and brings a smaller swathe of gusts of wind

02:22of 70 to 80 miles an hour.

02:24It could cause some more serious disruption.

02:27So that's why I say stay up to date with the forecast

02:30and the weather warnings, which, of course,

02:32you can always see on our app and on our website.

02:35Here's the chart for Wednesday.

02:36As I say, there's a bit of question mark

02:38about exactly where that track of that low goes.

02:41But heavy rain is likely across Scotland.

02:43There's that band of rain swinging

02:44across England and Wales.

02:45But it should zip through fairly smartly

02:48because of the strength of the wind.

02:49And then we'll have sunny spells following on for most

02:52come Wednesday, but also a whole raft of blustery showers

02:55packing in on those gusty, gusty winds.

02:58Temperatures, again, for a time, at least getting

03:01into the mid or even high teens, but feeling cooler

03:03with those blustery conditions.

03:05Staying fairly gusty through the rest of this week as well.

03:09For more information on that, you

03:10can watch our week ahead forecast on YouTube.

03:13And of course, as I said, check out those weather warnings

03:16that are on our app and on our website.

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