00:00A bit of sunshine, lots of showers and a few thunderstorms, it's a lively start to a pretty
00:06active week of weather. The bigger picture from space shows a swirl of clouds heading
00:12out to the west and further out west this is Hurricane Kirk, soon to be an ex-hurricane
00:19but still likely to pack a punch. The most likely track of this storm system is now to
00:25the south of the UK and across France, more on that in a moment. But let's deal with this
00:29low pressure first of all because this will dominate our weather for the next couple of
00:33days, sitting out west and just throwing showers up across the UK. Well, persistent rain across
00:37northern Scotland, dull and damp one across Aberdeenshire, Caithness and Sutherland and
00:42Orkney today but further south we should see some sunny spells for Northern Ireland, central
00:46parts of Scotland. Southern Scotland may stay fairly glum and further south for England
00:51and Wales be prepared for showers, some heavy showers moving through fairly smartly but
00:56some big downpours are possible but equally we will see some sunshine too. The sunshine
01:01tending to disappear in the far south west as we see some heavier bursts of rain coming
01:05into Cornwall later on. Temperature wise, well when the sun's out it's really unpleasant
01:10enough for the time of year, 16, 17, maybe 18 or 19 in one or two spots but feeling cooler
01:15when the showers come along and a fairly brisk gusty wind blowing around the coast of Wales
01:20and south west England. And then we see this heavier rain working its way northwards from
01:25Cornwall into Devon then into south Wales for the evening rush hour and spreading some
01:29heavy thundery showers further east as well. We do have a Met Office yellow thunderstorm
01:34warning in place, some heavy downpours likely, hail and lightning also likely to potentially
01:40cause some disruptions. So, do watch out for those thundery showers across the south and
01:46the west overnight. As we go through the evening, the showers further north should tend to fade.
01:50We'll have a zone of cloudier weather drifting north across Scotland and always across the
01:54far north, staying cloudy. Notice here the wind's coming down from the north so on the
01:59cool side here but elsewhere the wind's generally coming up from the south. So, quite a mild
02:03night with all the cloud with some clearer skies in southern Scotland. We may dip down
02:07into single figures. Still showers around though for Tuesday and again still some of
02:12them packing a punch, some heavy thundery showers. You can see the low pressure sitting
02:17out here just throwing those showers up across south Wales, southern England. Thicker cloud
02:21and more persistent rain across the east of Northern Ireland, southeast Scotland, far
02:26northeast of England. That rain could start to build up as we go through Tuesday night
02:30and into Wednesday. And the rain tended to fizzle out a little bit across northern Scotland
02:35but the northerly winds aren't fizzling out. If anything, they're getting a little bit
02:38stronger. So, southwesterly winds in the southwest, northeasterly winds in the northeast. They
02:45will be bringing the cooler air further south and temperatures struggling a little bit across
02:49northern Scotland, 11-12 at best. Further south we could again, when the sun's out between
02:54the showers, get up into the high teens but feeling cooler when the downpours come along.
03:00The northerly winds will eventually win out but we'll see more of these showers as this
03:04low pressure continues to swirl in across the UK during Tuesday evening and probably
03:09still around on Wednesday too. So, this low pressure dominating for the next few days.
03:14We do need to keep our eyes on Kirk. This won't be a hurricane by this stage but it
03:19is still packing a punch. Wet and windy conditions hitting northern Spain, northern Portugal
03:24before the low pressure system then heads its way into France bringing some very gusty
03:29winds for northern Spain, northern Portugal and then into France later in the week before
03:34it turns northwards bringing a lot of heavy rain and gusty winds across northern France
03:38and the low countries and then heading up across Germany. So, likely now to stay to
03:42the south of the UK but one thing Kirk does as it moves away is it allows northerly winds
03:47and the UK to turn quite a lot colder come Thursday and Friday. You can check out our
03:52full week ahead YouTube video. That'll be available on Monday afternoon.
Comments