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Bernstein: 'The Cubs are going to finish a star player out of the playoffs'
WSCR-AM / 670 The Score
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1 year ago
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Sports
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00:00
Matt Chapman's a five-win player.
00:03
Really?
00:04
Yeah, he's had a fantastic year.
00:06
I knew he was up, but I didn't...
00:07
He is a five-win player.
00:10
That's what you get for playing after I go to bed.
00:12
So you can think about that.
00:13
Now, how many games are the Cubs out of a wild card?
00:18
Five.
00:19
There's six.
00:20
Six, okay.
00:21
They're gonna finish like five or six out.
00:23
Yeah, probably.
00:25
My point is, they're going to finish
00:29
one way or another, a star player of value out.
00:36
Well, the idea of war,
00:38
and we think about it as this sort of independent stat,
00:40
but that's what wins above replacement means.
00:43
That's what you pay for.
00:46
Having this person instead of a replacement-level player
00:49
over the course of an entire season
00:50
means you win five more games.
00:52
A star player, a six-win player that you pay.
00:57
You pay for that.
00:58
You pay for it.
00:59
You pay for it.
01:00
And if the Cubs finish, essentially, a star out,
01:06
it's right there in front of us.
01:08
And you could sign two stars.
01:10
Is this about, though, Matt Chapman and players like him,
01:13
or is this about the guys they have on their roster
01:15
who have not become the stars
01:16
they thought they were gonna be?
01:17
It's both.
01:18
It's all of it.
01:19
Because Cody Bellinger, who...
01:20
He's had a bad year.
01:21
Yeah, he's had a bad year.
01:22
And if you went from last year and said,
01:24
just have the year you had last year,
01:25
don't have to be any better.
01:26
Just have a year around the neighborhood of last year,
01:30
how much better would the Cubs be?
01:32
They'd be significantly better.
01:34
Exactly, so...
01:35
They'd be...
01:36
You could add it up.
01:37
This is what I'm saying.
01:38
You can put it out there and add it up.
01:40
The Cubs are going to finish a star player
01:42
out of the playoffs.
01:44
Matt Chapman was right there.
01:45
So this off-season, is it as simple as,
01:49
go get a star player?
01:50
I mean, you have guys allegedly in the minor...
01:52
I mean, you can see what Pete Crow Armstrong's done
01:54
the second half of the season.
01:55
Now, if he's a six-win player next year,
01:58
we're talking about something real different.
02:04
I don't know if he's going to be a different player
02:07
than we saw the second half of the season.
02:09
Then he's a six-win player.
02:09
Okay, but what I'm saying is,
02:11
I don't know that that's enough,
02:12
based on what they've done in the back half of the season.
02:14
Agreed.
02:15
So I think they have to still go out and get more.
02:17
Agreed.
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