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00:03 Of course, San Diego State made it to a national championship game out of
00:07 the Mountain West a season ago.
00:09 That conference is loaded.
00:11 They might have six bids.
00:13 Half of their league might end up going to the NCAA tournament,
00:17 and two of those teams square off tonight in San Diego.
00:19 It's the Aztecs as a six-and-a-half point favorite
00:22 against the Lobos of New Mexico, the over-under 152-and-a-half.
00:27 This is a marquee matchup on a Friday night in Mountain West basketball.
00:31 What do you like?
00:33 Yeah, we're going to get some tempo in this one,
00:34 but it's a very interesting number here.
00:36 So you normally say, like, you know, you're playing in Viejas.
00:38 It's always a very good home court advantage for San Diego State,
00:41 but if we rewind back just a couple weeks ago,
00:43 New Mexico already thumped this basketball team pretty good.
00:47 So then you turn around and you see one of those lines.
00:49 Now, again, if you're just looking at the line itself, it's telling you.
00:52 They're begging you to take New Mexico, but I think I might fall into that trap.
00:56 You take a look at New Mexico's offense, number two overall in efficiency.
00:59 I know how good, trust me, San Diego State's defense is.
01:02 It's number one in conference play in efficiency,
01:04 but also New Mexico's defense, not a slouch either.
01:07 They actually come in at number two in efficiency in conference play.
01:10 The one thing that we do know about San Diego State,
01:12 they don't shoot the three-point shot all that well.
01:15 Now, what might come in a little bit handy for them is San Diego State is seventh
01:19 in point distribution in conference play scoring inside of the arc.
01:23 Why does that make some sense?
01:24 If you're not a great three-point shooting team, well, how about this?
01:26 New Mexico's defense, they give up more points inside the paint than anybody else
01:30 in conference play due to point distribution.
01:33 But for my money, I liked what I saw in New Mexico first time around
01:36 against San Diego State.
01:37 There's a legitimate chance they could come in and pull that upset.
01:40 Unlike Georgetown, Ben, we just talked about, I don't think they can win.
01:43 I think there's a good shot that New Mexico goes in and wins outright.
01:46 Therefore, I'll take them with the points tonight.
01:49 [music]
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