00:00 Hi there, and welcome to the Met Office forecast for the week ahead. There will be some spectacular
00:05 contrasts across the UK during the next few days. Now, most of us were in the same boat
00:11 at the weekend. We had mild air from the southwest, what we call a tropical maritime air mass
00:17 that brought a lot of cloud, temperatures in the teens in places, and it brought some
00:22 rainfall especially across the west and northwest. But colder air waits to the north and the
00:29 far north at the time of recording, that cold air bringing some snow to the far north of
00:34 Scotland, but it will try to edge further south. And this is an Arctic maritime air
00:39 mass. It's going to come increasingly from the Arctic with northerly winds bumping up
00:45 against these southwesterly winds and this really quite interesting temperature contrast
00:52 across the UK from temperatures in the teens in the far south, temperatures in the low
00:57 single figures in the far north. In between, we've got weather fronts and one weather front
01:03 in particular into Thursday will push up, again bringing a return to that mild rare
01:08 from the southwest in some places, but as it also brings a spell of rain, that rain
01:13 is likely to mix with the cold air to bring in some places the risk of disruptive snowfall
01:18 most likely across central parts of the UK whilst the far north remains in the cold air
01:24 and the far south remains in the very mild air. And it's that battleground across central
01:29 parts where we're likely to see the significant and in places disruptive snow. More on that
01:35 in a moment before eventually later in the week the cold air begins to win out most likely
01:41 into the weekend. But rewinding the clock to the time of recording and we start Tuesday
01:46 with outbreaks of rain across central parts. Northern Ireland, southern Scotland, northern
01:51 England as well as parts of north Wales seeing a wet start to the day. The rain edges south.
01:57 It's heavy and persistent over parts of Wales and northwest England for a time. The far
02:01 south stays largely dry, a lot of cloud cover, a keen southwesterly breeze bringing very
02:07 mild air. But the far north sees wintry showers, perhaps some slippery surfaces first thing
02:12 and ice warning in force until 9am. But those sleet and snow showers continue across the
02:16 north and northwest of Scotland, one or two making their way into central parts of Scotland
02:19 and it's going to feel cold with a brisk wind coming from the north and temperatures in
02:24 the mid single figures at best. But some bright weather in between and some decent sunshine
02:28 developing into the afternoon for northern Ireland, southern Scotland and northern England
02:32 after that damp start. Here's the resting place across central parts of the weather
02:37 front with outbreaks of rain at the end of Tuesday afternoon. But by the start of Wednesday
02:41 that's pushed south so that it's really across the far south we're going to see those outbreaks
02:47 of rain and staying mild. These are the temperatures at dawn on Wednesday, 7 or 8 Celsius in the
02:52 far south. But further north, clear skies, the cold air now prevalent across much of
02:57 the UK and across northern Ireland, northern England, Scotland a widespread frost with
03:02 temperatures a few degrees below freezing. And some of these wintry showers also affecting
03:06 the north and west of Scotland and increasingly parts of northern Ireland through the day
03:10 on Wednesday. Generally rain and sleet around the coast and snow inland perhaps and especially
03:15 over hills and those sleet and snow showers also affecting much of the west of Scotland
03:20 at times. But bright skies away from the showers across northern parts of the UK and even across
03:25 some of these central parts, northern England to the Midlands, Wales and East Anglia, some
03:30 bright spells emerging. But it will feel colder compared with Tuesday. Now in the far south
03:36 and south west we've got outbreaks of rain and here's where it gets interesting. Those
03:41 outbreaks of rain will try and push north again this weather front marking the boundary
03:46 between the Arctic weather and the tropical maritime weather and where these two air masses
03:51 meet, we're going to see a spell of snow. But the exact position of that snow currently
03:59 subject to a little bit of uncertainty and that will make a big difference of course
04:05 in this country when it comes to snow. Now we start Thursday with outbreaks of heavy
04:10 and persistent rain across south Wales, the south and south west of England could cause
04:14 some issues actually that wet weather continuing through much of the day. In the far north
04:19 really from the central belt northwards we're going to see a bright start, a widespread
04:23 frost but bright spells continuing through much of the day with some sleet and snow showers
04:29 in the far north and north west. It's in between across northern Ireland, southern Scotland,
04:34 northern England into the Midlands, parts of mid Wales where we're likely to see this
04:38 area of rain edging north through the day and mixing with the cold air to turn to snow
04:43 in places. But the precise location subject to some uncertainty at the moment. So the
04:50 far south very mild 11, 12, 13 Celsius. The far north staying cold but in between a spell
04:56 of rain, sleet and snow in places and what we reckon at the moment most likely area for
05:04 disruptive snow is within this yellow zone. We could see a centimetre or two at lower
05:10 levels, now centimetre or two at lower levels around Birmingham would of course cause issues
05:17 given it's a busy part of the UK but that's far from certain. The most likely area for
05:24 disruptive snow is for higher parts of this yellow zone. So the mountains of mid to north
05:30 Wales and northern England, 2 to 5 centimetres above 200 metres and 5 to 10 centimetres above
05:36 400 metres could affect some Trans-Pennine routes for example and cause some issues throughout
05:43 Thursday. But equally the snow could be a bit further north into southern Scotland and
05:49 northern Ireland if that weather front just edges slightly further north. Likewise it
05:54 could come a little bit further south as well. However at the moment it's this yellow zone
05:59 that is deemed the greatest risk of impacts from any falling and disruptive snowfall.
06:07 Either way that front does tend to stick around for some time into Friday. Again the north
06:13 south position of this is unclear and the next step whether this low pulls away and
06:19 allows the cold air to push south quite quickly into Friday or whether another low stalls
06:25 it and brings a return to milder air further north. Again this is subject to uncertainty
06:30 but this is the most likely scenario for now. We start Friday with a widespread frost across
06:35 northern parts of the UK, temperatures well below freezing where we've got some snow cover.
06:40 Further wintry showers into the north east of the UK but bright spells away from these
06:44 whilst further cloud and outbreaks of mostly rain will affect the far south with temperatures
06:50 here in the double figures. And you can see again significant temperature contrasts up
06:55 and down the country. So the position of weather fronts on Friday will be key to determining
07:02 the details for your specific location. But the general trend into the weekend is a bit
07:08 clearer actually compared with the details for Thursday and Friday. And that general
07:12 trend is for the mild air in the south to tend to slip away with colder air becoming
07:19 much more widespread up and down the UK. Mostly dry as higher pressure builds to the west
07:25 but always the chance with some wintry showers across the north and the east of the UK. Again
07:32 still some uncertainty about exactly how much the mild air will hang on to the south because
07:36 of course it's not too far away and that very sharp temperature contrast remains heading
07:43 into the weekend between the north and the south. So we'll keep updates right here. You
07:48 You can find those updates on YouTube, but for now, that's all from me.
07:51 Bye-bye.
07:52 [BLANK_AUDIO]
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