00:00 It's really hard to see that you can do anything other than just continue as he is.
00:05 That the general election, which of course will happen either in 2023 or as late as January
00:12 2035, would seem to be a foregone conclusion.
00:15 It would take a miracle for the Conservatives to win.
00:18 And in fact, when I say a miracle, I'm talking of monumental proportions.
00:23 They will probably get a surreal trouncing, indeed, if the two by-elections were translated
00:28 into a general election result, they would end up with something like 20 seats, which
00:32 of course means they'd fit into the back of a minibus.
00:35 The recent Ipsos poll revealed 37% of people believe Sakhir Starmer has improved the Labour
00:41 Party, while 37% see no change.
00:44 16% feel he's made things worse.
00:48 Only 22% think Rishi Sonak will win the next general election, with 63% doubting his chances.
00:56 Sonak, he came in with the provisor.
00:58 Remember when he stood on the steps of Down Street and said he was going to be a new administration,
01:03 going to be honest and accountable?
01:06 We've seen a lot of things happen which suggest that he's not been as honest, not handing
01:09 over his phone to the COVID inquiry.
01:12 The fact that his wife, through her business investments, has done fairly well.
01:17 There's a whole host of things like that which suggest that Sonak is not the man he once
01:23 claimed to be.
01:24 And indeed the whole reason for raising Dexter was to make the Conservative Party different
01:28 to what it was before and quite clearly people don't believe that that's happening.
01:32 So why would they vote for a party that's given them more of the same?
01:36 In the week that sees his one year premiership anniversary, there are reports published in
01:40 the Sunday Times that up to 25 Conservative MPs are considering submitting no confidence
01:46 letters following by-election losses in Tamworth and mid-Bedfordshire.
01:51 The mechanics of so doing would require over 50 MPs to declare no confidence.
01:58 There's obviously a groundswell of opinion within the Conservative Party that Sonak is
02:02 not producing the miracle that they hoped for, quite clearly after Boris Johnson and
02:06 of course the disastrously short reign of Liz Truss.
02:10 I don't see it to be honest.
02:11 I think the appetite for another change of leadership, it'll just look bad to the public.
02:18 Our confidence in Rishi Sonak's electoral ability is at its lowest since he became Prime
02:23 Minister.
02:24 It's down 27% from a year ago.
02:26 In comparison Liz Truss had 13% support in October 2023 while Boris Johnson had 30% in
02:34 June 2022.
02:36 As Conservative leader, 41% believe Sonak has made no difference, 30% thinks he's changed
02:43 things for the worse and just 20% think he's changed things for the better.
02:48 So having some degree of certainty and stability is what people really want and indeed what
02:52 they most want is for themselves and their children's prospects to improve and let's
02:57 face it, that was the big promise that was made by a certain Boris Johnson if we left
03:01 the European Union and that has not yet happened.
03:03 [BLANK_AUDIO]
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