Kevin McCarthy Kills Bipartisan Senate Bill to Avert Shutdown

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Kevin McCarthy Kills Bipartisan Senate Bill to Avert Shutdown.
Based on what we know right now, it seems exceedingly likely that the federal government is going to shut down this weekend. Full stop.

This could change. It’s a fast-moving situation with a lot of different pieces. But as of this morning, the U.S. government is nearly certain to run out of money when the clock strikes 12:01 on Sunday morning. We’ll explain why in a moment.

Weekend shutdowns aren’t really all too impactful. The full scale of the shutdown won’t be felt until Monday morning when the vast majority of federal employees begin their work week.

It’s also important to note that a government shutdown is a slow-moving crisis. The situation gets more serious each day that agencies can’t fully function and hundreds of thousands of federal employees — including the military — don’t get paid.

Yet our reporting suggests that this shutdown probably won’t be limited to this weekend.

The Senate. On Tuesday evening, we scooped the details of the Senate’s bipartisan stopgap funding bill, which would keep federal agencies open until Nov. 17. The White House-endorsed bill includes roughly $6 billion in new economic and military aid for Ukraine, plus another $6 billion for disaster relief. There is no border security money nor spending cuts that House conservatives have been incessantly demanding.

The Senate voted overwhelmingly to advance the temporary funding measure Tuesday night, 77-19. But Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) reiterated to us that he won’t give consent for speedy passage of the continuing resolution. Other conservative GOP senators may lock arms with Paul, but it only takes one to bog down this process.

That means the Senate could potentially vote on final passage of the CR as late as Sunday, which is after government funding expires. There could be a decent-sized number of “no” votes, too, with some GOP senators incensed at the inclusion of Ukraine aid in the package.

“I really can’t believe that we’re about to shut down the United States government because Senate Democrats want to spend another $6 billion on Ukraine,” Sen. J.D. Vance (R-Ohio) told us Tuesday evening. (Of course, many Republicans, including Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, want to aid Ukraine, as well.)

But other senators said it was important for the chamber to show it can pass a CR due to the chaos on the House floor last week.

“It seems to change every hour if not by the minute in the House. I don’t think they know what they can do at this point,” Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) said. “But we know what we can do, I think, and that is send over a CR and see what the speaker can do with it.”

The House. Let’s just assume for a moment that the Senate can pass it