00:03Melbourne Cup Day festivities
00:05Cheers!
00:06Dampened by an RBA rates decision that could stop the nation.
00:10A solemn looking governor acknowledged the hurt being inflicted on households.
00:15Some pain now will prevent even worse pain down the track.
00:18Inflation is too high and our forecasts suggest it will stay higher for longer.
00:23You've already raised interest rates four times this year.
00:26What makes you think this time it'll work?
00:28As you know, monetary policy does take time to flow through the economy
00:32and we think it can take 12 months or so.
00:36Households with a $750,000 mortgage would be slugged another $115 a month.
00:42Add in the other four hikes this year and that's $570 extra every month.
00:47I don't think it's the right decision at all.
00:50There has to be some other way.
00:51That's my message to the RBA. Just try something else.
00:53The Treasurer, under pressure, pointing overseas.
00:56The war in the Middle East is pushing up inflation and interest rates around the world
01:00and markets are expecting interest rate rises now in every major advanced economy.
01:05We've had five now this year. Most advanced countries have had one
01:09and it's because we have a persistent problem around government spending.
01:13The RBA now expects higher unemployment and it also doesn't see inflation returning to its target range until late next
01:20year.
01:21But some economists think we aren't headed for a recession.
01:24We've also got an AI and a renewable energy investment growth story which is actually buoying the economy.
01:32Plummeting house prices, rising unemployment and a sluggish economy.
01:37It's not a winning formula for a central bank trying to avoid recession.
01:40And with almost everything outside the RBA's control, perhaps the best it can hope for is a swift end to
01:46the Iran war
01:47and the energy crisis that's rattled the globe.
01:49Because, if necessary, it's not an Arabic.
01:50I'll say an Arabic let's say it's because of an Arabic Sá»alaur of Southires.