00:16Brazil's presidential election is heading for a nail-biting finish, with a new poll giving
00:23right-wing candidate Flávio Bolsonaro a narrow lead over incumbent president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
00:31But here's the catch. The gap is just two percentage points, and that could make Brazil's October 25 runoff far
00:40too close to call.
00:42According to a Quest poll released on Thursday, Bolsonaro has 46 percent support, compared with Lula's 44 percent.
00:51And while Bolsonaro is currently ahead, the difference falls within the poll's two percentage point margin of error.
00:59So, what does this tell us about Brazil's political mood? Let's look at how the race reached this point.
01:06In the first round of voting on October 4, Bolsonaro outperformed expectations, finishing ahead of Lula by less than two
01:15percentage points.
01:16That result came despite several polls suggesting that Lula was on track for a narrow first-round victory.
01:24But neither candidate secured the majority needed to win outright, setting up a decisive second round on October 25.
01:31And the latest numbers suggest Bolsonaro has managed to maintain his momentum.
01:38A separate Datafola poll also puts him ahead of Lula. However, his lead has narrowed significantly over the past week.
01:46Bolsonaro's support fell from 49 percent to 47 percent, while Lula's rose to 45 percent.
01:53That means the gap has shrunk from four percentage points to just two.
01:59And, with Election Day approaching, even a small shift in voter support could prove crucial.
02:06But Bolsonaro is not the only candidate trying to change the narrative.
02:11Lula has been rallying supporters following his first-round setback, holding large demonstrations and focusing his campaign on social reforms
02:20and the costs of living.
02:22One major issue is workers' rights.
02:25Brazil's Senate has approved a constitutional amendment reducing the maximum work week from 44 hours to 40 hours without cutting
02:34pay.
02:35The change is a key policy priority for Lula, who has presented it as a major victory for workers and
02:41their families.
02:43He has also proposed a constitutional amendment to guarantee free public transportation in Brazilian cities on weekends, aiming to ease
02:52everyday expenses for working-class households.
02:55Meanwhile, Bolsonaro is working to strengthen his position among conservative voters.
03:00The son of former far-right President Jair Bolsonaro has secured endorsements from right-wing and center-right parties while
03:09seeking to build a coalition that appeals to businesses and investors.
03:13However, analysts point out that he has not gained as much support from eliminated conservative candidates as some expected after
03:22the first round.
03:23And that could become a critical factor in the final stretch of the campaign.
03:27Will conservative voters unite behind Bolsonaro?
03:31Can Lula's social and economic promises bring more voters back to his side?
03:37For now, the polls show a tight contest, with Bolsonaro narrowly ahead but Lula still within striking distance.
03:45And the margin falling within the polling error, the numbers do not guarantee a victory for either candidate.
03:52On October 25th, Brazil will return to the ballot box to decide who leads Latin America's largest country.
04:00The stakes are high, and the final outcome could shape Brazil's economic priorities, social policies and political direction for years
04:10to come.
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