00:00Florida Ole Miss last week was great for the show awesome great for the show Dave was all over the
00:11game with not just Florida bets but they uh Jaden Ball bets and of course being a Gator guy I
00:18know
00:19how much fun you had watching it I it's funny it's listen again when we're right we're right
00:25when we're wrong we're wrong I my you know I really really love that total I was like well
00:31should I you know should I should I double up add a unit if you will and I went save
00:35it you'll catch
00:36it in game it's like I knew a slow start was gonna a slower start it did and then the
00:43thing was just
00:43an absolute rocket ship finishing with 80 points 52 of them belonging to Florida so we went to the
00:49break I said it's you know eyes versus the number the eyes tell me Florida roll again
00:57Gators vote whole way but the numbers say be careful because that's what the number said last
01:06week for Florida and Ole Miss these spots are tough this league is tough what was funny to me though
01:15when I went when I knew this game was coming up it's actually really similar to uh or I guess
01:22it's it's somewhat similar to Florida Ole Miss knowing that game was on deck I'm like I'm probably
01:28going to be on Florida and then it was then I saw the number I was like oh well I'm
01:33not I'm too late
01:35I can't get there you know Dave was in super early right but I was like I can't get there
01:40now right
01:40so knowing Missouri Florida was on deck I'm like perfect man and Missouri lost we're gonna catch
01:46a seven no it's almost like like so many people got burned last week on Ole Miss they knew they
01:54didn't have to you know flip a seven out there people are clicking Florida still Mizzou backers
02:01are getting in at five and a half but I've heard some respected people be like I don't understand
02:05everyone's betting Florida like we still can't clip a seven I would love a seven here with Missouri but
02:09it's not happening it's not not happening here at all I think both of us are going to bet the
02:14total
02:14in this game but what do you think about the side here Dave really big spot for the Gators
02:19yeah and I'll flat out say I'm not laying the five and a half uh I want to I want
02:24to get there but
02:25I'm not it is a road game in the SEC Missouri is no joke and I'm not not taking it
02:30because Florida
02:31has a history of losing in Missouri that's irrelevant it's different team different era it doesn't
02:35matter I haven't played there in four years I'm worried about the defense the Florida defense
02:40has given up chunks even last week Ole Miss came out of the halftime and scored two quick touchdowns
02:46so you go back to the Auburn game Florida won that game but they gave up 14 points late it
02:53was a blowout
02:54in the middle of the fourth quarter Auburn still got to 39 and Florida won by five Florida will give
03:02up
03:02points in chunks because their defense and their corners aren't great I'm on Simmons's over in his
03:08prop Simmons's prop is 240 and a half yards it's up to 245 in some places and I'm freely admitting
03:14that I am taking the Missouri quarterback Simmons over his yards total against the Florida Gators
03:21why because their secondary is a weakness and Missouri will be down all game as far as the overall total
03:27to me it's simple I expect points we've seen the numbers Florida 44 plus points in all four games
03:3350 plus and three of four second the nation scoring 50 yards they have the top quarter running back in
03:38the country in the top receiver room in the country we've seen those numbers I talked at the top of
03:43the
03:43show about how Summerall has this team thinking week to week and I left everything I see but what I
03:49really liked last week and yes they blew out Ole Miss was Ole Miss came out and scored in the
03:55third
03:55quarter on two straight drives right down the field Florida responded both times that's a team that you
04:01can get behind Ole Miss comes out third quarter we figured something out right down the field touchdown
04:07Florida right back touchdown Ole Miss touchdown Florida right back touchdown that's a team that's
04:13not giving up that's a team that's aware of what's going on I expect to see that in Missouri but
04:18if you're
04:19allowing Auburn to throw up 39 and you're allowing uh 21 to FAU and Ole Miss still got to 28
04:26that five
04:27and a hook comes into play with let's call it the back door because I fully expect Florida to win
04:32but the back door is always open I don't want to lose when Florida's up 11 with two minutes to
04:38go and
04:38they just allow you know Mississippi to go right down the field and score and they cover back door so
04:43I'm not
04:44laying it even though I think they cover I'm gonna go over I got it at 56 and a half
04:48and and the question
04:50to me Kevin I'm gonna throw it back to you because I know you're on the other side why is
04:53this number
04:55dropping we just talked about Mississippi State and Alabama going up this number was at 57 and a half I
05:01saw 58 earlier in the week it's dropped to 56 and a half so there is money coming in on
05:08the under
05:08somewhere but I look at as I'm not saying Florida's gonna score 50 if they score 40 let's just throw
05:1640
05:16out there which would be an off day for the Florida offense Missouri's only got to score 17 Missouri's
05:22gonna score 17 on this defense Florida has yet to play a game and I'm throwing out Campbell they don't
05:28count Florida has yet to play a game where both teams didn't score at least 20 points so that's 40
05:35all
05:35by itself so I like the over 56 and a half I'm just confused this why the number has dropped