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House prices have dropped for a sixth straight month and market analysts say there's more to come. Cotality's home value index fell 1.1 per cent in September taking cumulative declines to 5.2 per cent below march's peak. Across the capitals, 97 per cent of suburbs recorded value declines over the past three months. Sydney, Brisbane and Perth all recorded five per cent drops while Darwin was the only capital to record growth, up one per cent. Experts say the property market is likely to continue experiencing falls of up to 15 per cent in the coming months off the back of higher interest rates and cuts to property tax breaks. Cotality's research director Tim Lawless says the numbers show the broad-based scope of the negative housing cycle.

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00:02well interestingly enough this month it was brisbane overtaking sydney which has really
00:06led the downturn so brisbane housing values were down one and a half percent that's shaved roughly
00:12about sixteen thousand dollars off the median value of course brisbane has been trending lower
00:17for the past uh four months now sydney's been down for the last uh eight months melbourne peaked back
00:23in november so this is very much a broad-based downturn we are expecting this will be an
00:28environment of rates holding higher for longer so that's bad news for housing values it's probably
00:33good news for buyers ultimately at least when the dust settles on this rate hiking cycle because
00:39values will be lower and ultimately interest rates won't hold this high for forever but yeah it does
00:45mean that this housing downturn is probably going to be deeper than what many originally thought
00:50this is the interesting thing even though it is absolutely a buyer's market there's quite a bit
00:54of stock to choose from now because listings are about 20 higher than a year ago but sales numbers
01:00are right down and i think this really reflects the confidence in the housing market and the broader
01:05economy cost of living pressures high interest rates so for now even though it is a buyer's market
01:11the missing piece of the puzzle is actually buyers i think first home buyers will probably become more
01:16active once interest rates start to come down and given the budget changes around taxation for
01:22investors we probably won't see as much in uh competition from investors either but that still
01:28seems to be some way off before the market starts to stabilize
01:31you

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