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India and Canada are moving towards finalising a landmark bilateral trade deal by December, aiming to achieve a 70 billion dollar push in trade. Prime Minister Narendra Modi is expected to visit Canada around the middle of December, coinciding with the G20 Summit timeline to conclude the negotiations. The proposed agreement marks a reset in bilateral ties, shifting focus towards energy cooperation, defence, talent mobility, and market diversification. The two nations are seeking to move past previous diplomatic friction over the Nijjar issue to build a stronger economic partnership. Discussions highlight Canada's interest in supplying energy resources like oil and uranium to India's expanding market of 1.5 billion people. However, key challenges remain, including internal resource extraction regulations in Canada and bureaucratic hurdles in India. The potential pact follows several major trade agreements signed by India since 2021, presenting a new chapter of economic collaboration between both democracies.

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00:00India-Canada trade deal to be a reality soon.
00:03Prime Minister Modi is expected in Canada for a historic trade pact.
00:06India-Canada trade deal is likely by December.
00:10So, were the country's IAG-20 summit deadline to finalise the trade pact?
00:14$70 billion push in bilateral trade.
00:17Canada looks to India to diversify beyond the US market.
00:21So, from strain in ties to this landmark deal,
00:24the Niger death hostility is history now.
00:27Roadmap for India and Canada, defence and talent mobility.
00:31Nine major trade pacts for India since 2021.
00:34Deal with New Zealand, European Union, UK, UAE, Australia have already been done.
00:40And now what is on the cards is a deal with Canada.
00:45We are making good progress in our trade negotiations with India.
00:49It is an exceptionally important relationship on many, many levels.
00:56People-to-people levels, security levels, and also trade and economic.
01:01Our commitment to each other.
01:05Prime Minister Modi and myself, last year at the G20,
01:09was to look to conclude negotiations by the G20 this year.
01:15G20, from memory, is the middle of December, 14th, 15th of December.
01:20I believe that India just confirmed that the Prime Minister will be visiting Canada around that time.
01:30The precise date isn't out, but I very much look forward to hosting him.
01:35And we're now being joined by Daniel Boardman from Toronto.
01:41He's a journalist.
01:42He's now joining us on the story.
01:44Daniel, from strained ties between India and Canada to this new economic chapter that is on the cards,
01:52how do you look at it?
01:54Well, I think it's definitely a big positive upswing from where we were, let's say, two years ago,
02:00where we were kind of at each other's throats over, again, as you mentioned, the Nidger file,
02:05which has been mostly dealt with.
02:07And even the Calistanis in Canada have sort of removed Nidger's picture from all their different posters and whatever,
02:13and sort of gotten off that issue.
02:15So it's very good.
02:16This has been a focus of Mark Carney's tenure.
02:18I mean, Mark Carney is sort of run as the anti-American candidate, a lot of Canadians are,
02:23because Trump threatened to annex the country and then rip up the trade deal,
02:27which was a stupid deal made by stupid people, which, again, was the Trump administration 1.0 that made this
02:35deal.
02:35So now we've gotten rid of the stupid Trump deal because we're going to get an even better Trump deal.
02:39So this is what Canada's been facing.
02:41And Mark Carney kind of got off on the thing where, like, we need to diversify the markets.
02:45So this is a big push.
02:46It sells very well to Canada.
02:47Now, I'm a bit more of a realist on the grander economic strategy of this.
02:53You do need diversified markets.
02:55But America is literally the only country that borders Canada with 300 million people
03:00and the largest consumer market in the world.
03:02So getting off America is a bit of a pipe dream.
03:07But having stronger relations with other countries is very good, especially India.
03:13India has always been a country that it just made no sense to fight with.
03:17Canada and India just doing standard trade makes tons of sense.
03:22India is a democracy.
03:23Canada is a democracy.
03:24Canada has immense energy resources.
03:26India desperately needs energy resources.
03:29Uranium Canada has.
03:30India needs.
03:32So a lot of it is Canada wants this, but a lot of it's kept sort of in the ground
03:38by Canada's own internal regulations.
03:40So Mark Carney's real test, if he wants to get these resources to market, isn't that he can sign deals
03:46with Europeans or Indians.
03:47There will be a deal signed.
03:48Everyone will celebrate.
03:49And that's a good thing.
03:50The real test is how much of that can we fulfill?
03:52Because if we promise India $70 billion worth of oil and $45 billion worth of resources over 10 years in
04:00exchange for whatever.
04:01Well, if that can't come out of the ground, if there is no oil and there is no resources, kind
04:05of like what happened with our deal with the UAE, where we just couldn't get permits to build, then the
04:10whole thing falls apart.
04:11So the real question in Canada is, I do think this will get done.
04:14There's huge will on both sides.
04:15India, God bless them.
04:17They love having an economy that works.
04:19One of the few countries right now where the civilians of the country actually appreciate, you know, some basic economic
04:25understanding.
04:26Daniel, how important it is for Canada to have this greater access to the Indian markets?
04:32How significant it is for the Canadian businesses?
04:37Well, I think it's hugely significant.
04:38I mean, piercing the Indian market is a very, very important goal, I think, for both India and the West.
04:44And there's challenges on both sides.
04:46As someone who's sort of been and lived on both sides of the border, I mean, India has sort of
04:50insane protectionist and overly bureaucratic system that's left over from the old socialist days that still needs to be worked
04:59through in order to get products in.
05:02And again, bridging a lot of the cultural divides and a lot of, you know, I get Canada's in its
05:08own problems that it's discussed with its resource extraction and its sort of woke leftism stopping that, so to speak.
05:14And India has a very cumbersome bureaucracy that's very difficult to penetrate and get into market.
05:22But getting Canadian goods into market would be very, very important for Canadians and for Indians.
05:26I mean, listen, we have energy and resources.
05:28The more supply, right, the lower the price goes, the more people that can get it.
05:34And India is a country of 1.5 billion people.
05:37There's a lot of people on the margins that just a few cents off energy, a few more barrels here,
05:42a few more this and that can have massive effects down to the United.
05:45So it makes sense for both sides to trade instead of fighting over cocked up nonsense, as I would put
05:52the last couple of years.
05:53But all signs are looking good.
05:56But there's two very serious hurdles on the Canadian side and on the Indian side that I would love to
06:01see brought down for the prosperity of both people.
06:05Daniel, one last question.
06:06Has Canada moved on from the whole Niger issue on which there was a war of words and there were
06:12some allegations that Canada was leveling against India time and again?
06:16Has Canada moved on from that entire issue?
06:19Kind of.
06:20Like, it depends.
06:21He has to know who you ask.
06:22I would say the answer is closer to yes than it is no, right?
06:27A lot of this was very top down.
06:29So Canada is very top down, especially from the Liberals.
06:32So the Liberals declared that India was evil under Justin Trudeau and, you know, mass murdering all of our favorite
06:39terrorists.
06:40And then Carney became prime minister.
06:43They switched.
06:44And now we kind of threw that under the rug.
06:47And again, the Niger deal wasn't as big in Canada.
06:52There's just a few stories from the Canadian media every now and then about how evil the Indian government is
06:56or Hindutva, Hindu nationalism, whatever, whatever, and how it's a danger to the world.
07:01But that's just the general trickle.
07:05The Canadians have sort of forgotten.
07:07It was never that big of a sticking issue here.
07:09A lot of Canadians didn't even understand what was going on between India and Canada.
07:12Because our media is very centralized and very, I mean, funded by the Liberals.
07:17So they never really explain too well any scandals that have to do with the ruling party.
07:22All right, Daniel Boardman, thank you so much for joining us on the broadcast on India today.
07:26So that's the version from a Canadian journalist on the deal that is likely to be signed between India and
07:33Canada.
07:34There is a reset in ties that is also on the cards.
07:37So from strained ties to having a trade deal, that's how far both the countries have come.
07:43And as he also mentioned that Canada has almost moved on from the Niger issue.
07:48And there's a new ray of hope, there's a fresh ray of hope in the ties between the two countries.
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