00:00mind
00:30Here is a great result of the year here, or the consolidation phase, which we have seen in the past
00:39few days.
00:40This is the main result of the year.
00:44We have used our armony to support our company.
00:46Thank you so much for inviting me.
00:52What does it look like here?
00:55The Fed after this result has been so much...
01:04.
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01:07.
01:08.
01:08I think that was a good question.
01:11We already have market discounted.
01:13Because when we were in Jackson Hole,
01:15he said that the price stability is the primary factor.
01:21After that, we had a good good price.
01:25And so when the Fed had a rate hike,
01:28he had a rate from ECB,
01:30and the Bank of Japan had also gone.
01:31Then the market had understood that there was no surprise.
01:35market expected and the Fed did something else, but if it was a 50 basis point hike
01:40then the rise of the rise, but because it was already discounted in the market, the market
01:44already knew that the market reacted to the same way, and then the time was recovered
01:49in the market, and exactly the prices have bounced back from there. Now, let's see,
01:54there is a little rise in the prices, because there is a little rise in the dollar index,
01:57and if we talk about it, then it is looking at the price of 100.45,
02:02the price of the bond deal is also looking at the price of almost half a percent.
02:07So, this is the reason why gold and silver are getting to see the price of gold and silver.
02:12But, how long this price will go? It is major important.
02:17Because, see, there is a little profit booking from higher levels,
02:20and the fundamentals are also looking at work.
02:23because, see, the war situation is now completely off.
02:29And, that's why gold and silver's upside rally is getting a lot of pressure.
02:34Because, oil prices are definitely below 100 dollars, but now it is elevated.
02:39The price of 65-70 dollars is over there.
02:42Then, there will be 30 dollars up there.
02:44So, that's why gold and silver's upside rally is not able to go on one way.
02:49But, if we talk about the fall, the fall is also capped.
02:53The fall is also capped.
02:54The fall is capped.
02:54Because, there is a hope that this is a war.
02:58Every day, it will be neutralized for the market.
03:01Because, the market will have understood the market.
03:04They have to continue this fight.
03:06So, what will happen?
03:07So, what will happen?
03:08You can't stop the oil.
03:11Even after this fight or whatever war is going on,
03:13the oil supply is going on.
03:16So, this is the problem of transportation.
03:18Now, oil is a lot behind.
03:20So, there will be alternative routes.
03:22Like Saudi, Red Sea,
03:26which will increase in European and Asian countries.
03:28And, these alternative routes will increase in the absence of trade or foremost.
03:32So, when oil prices come,
03:35the inflation concerns come,
03:36the concern is ending.
03:39So, the downside of gold and silver prices,
03:41the downside of gold and silver prices,
03:42is also capped.
03:44That means, there will be a limited downside.
03:46Let's look at theidades.
03:46So, the downside will result in this manner.
03:48Now, the consolidation will be in a phase.
03:51We will go there and find the downside.
03:56We will go down.
03:59If you want to look at the downside of gold,
03:59we will come down.
04:00So, let's talk about the downside of gold.
04:02Let's talk about the factors.
04:04First, we will start to look at the risk of a.
04:07The conductivity of gold is running up at the price of gold,
04:08as well.
04:09The factor of gold also leaves the price of gold.
04:43so then it comes up
04:45we have a simple scenario, when we have otherwise, if we have no problem, we have no alternative
04:50solution to sort that, so we have no alternative solution to all countries, because the Middle
04:56East economy is majorly oil-based economy, so we can't sit by hand, so we have no alternative
05:03routes like this, the oil prices, when the war started, went up to $120, so now the situation
05:10is the same, the state of hormones is the same, so why not going up to $20, because the market
05:14has digested, that now it will work, and the intensity of it will be less, so the oil prices
05:23will be very difficult to sustain 100 dollars for oil prices, and the prices will be more
05:29neutralized, so the oil prices can come up to $65-$70, so that's why the downside of that
05:36is the same, and the upside rally will also come back, so the inflation concerns will
05:43come back, and the interest scenario is what they said that they will increase in December,
05:48the probability of it will also be less, so the oil prices will also go down, and in
05:532027 and 2028, there is no interest in it, because we can increase the interest in it, because
06:06there is no interest in it, there is no interest in it, so the factors will be around, and
06:14there will be no interest in it, so the factors that we will have to do, and we will also
06:16reduce the oil prices to $100, so we will need to keep the oil prices, then we will
06:19go down, and we will increase the price in it, so we will not say this, we will not
06:28in short term
06:29almost a year
06:36important level
06:43important level
06:46important level
06:49gold and silver
06:50for both of us.
06:51The goal is to talk about 1,520,389.
06:55When it comes to 1,520,200,
06:59then there will be no weakness.
07:011,520,200,
07:03then there will be no weakness.
07:041,520,200,
07:05then there will be no weakness.
07:061,520,000,
07:11then there will be no weakness.
07:131,520,000,
07:16then there will be no weakness.
07:18If there will be no weakness,
07:20then there will be no weakness,
07:22then there will be no weakness.
07:23Crude oil prices are up to 106,000,
07:25then we can see these levels.
07:28Otherwise, prices will rebound from here.
07:301,55,500,
07:33then we will sustain the next target
07:35will be 1,57,000.
07:38Let's move on to the silver,
07:402,37,651,
07:42from the silver,
07:43When our prices will flow
07:43So, this is the daily closing
07:43of the silver,
07:44there will be no weakness
07:47as well.
07:47But the price will not be
07:480,365,000,
07:49then it shall be 0,365,000.
07:51to the silver and the silver,
07:52to the silver and wealth.
07:54Otherwise, prices will rebound from here.
08:03and then eventually to the level of 2,50000 to go to range.
08:08So if you talk about range, then you will have to trade.
08:14Okay, so we have a special range for gold and silver, which you can invest in the future.
08:21If you are a trader, you can trade.
08:23One question about the dollar index.
08:26The dollar index is 100%.
08:28If you look at the treasury yield, it will be 5%.
08:32It will be 4.97 something.
08:35If you look at the treasury yield, it will be 5%.
08:40It will be 5.97 something.
08:42If you are quelle of the dollar index 100% sustain-selected.
08:44If you are a trader, you can see that 100% sustain-selected.
08:52And then you can get 100% sustain-selected.
08:53You can move to the treasury yield.
09:00Just to see that it will be the reverse of us.
09:28dollar index
09:31I think that the next time the rate hike is going to be a good time.
09:37This is a very temporary scenario.
09:41This week there are not going to be economic numbers.
09:44The next week the economic numbers will start coming in October.
09:48Then we will get to see the employment market, how will it perform?
09:54GDP numbers will be known as the housing stats.
09:57we will know what the situation is going to happen in December.
10:04Okay, one more question is that Trump will talk about the money.
10:12What will the impact of the US GDP and the rate cut?
10:46the
10:48trillion dollars debt to sit already, they already have 100 billion dollars in this war situation
10:56which is still now going on. So this is the trickle down coming to the common public
11:02to reach because the revenue stream of the government, taxes, the public services
11:08comes from that. And because of this war, the oil prices are increasing. So if this is the scenario
11:20and the election will be held in November, there will be a major setback because then
11:26the situation will pan out because then there will not be revenue or budget in their hands
11:33because then they will have to fully rely on whether the Democrats will pass the budget
11:39or not. The war situation will have a lot of permissions. They will not be able to pass bills
11:44according to them because they will not be held in two years or two times in the election.
11:50So this is the second term. So this is the scenario until the front will come. And then Kevin
11:56Walsh will already have no children in Donald Trump, which they already expected.
12:07So this is the scenario. So this is the scenario. So this is the scenario. But provided inflation
12:38foreign
12:50foreign
12:52foreign
12:52foreign
12:54I mean, we will understand that we will see the consolidation of the gold and silver
12:58consolidation of the trade.
13:01Right.
13:02Because as I told you, the range of gold is 51,500.
13:06It will be further weakness.
13:08It will be 1,555,000.
13:09The range of silver is 2,29,000 and 2,42,000.
13:16The range of the broader range.
13:17Okay.
13:18So, what do you want to do fresh buying here?
13:21Can you show them a good opportunity for them?
13:25Look, this is a good opportunity.
13:27Because in physical, there are discounts on the prices.
13:30There are 2,000,000 to 3,000,000 to 3,000,000 discount.
13:33So, whatever dip comes, I always say this.
13:36When you get a dip, you buy it.
13:38Because gold and silver is a commodity.
13:40Longer term, we have seen the prices from where to where.
13:42As far as I remember, because I do my jewelry background,
13:46I do my jewelry.
13:47And then, then, I started to see the prices from the morning start,
13:51To see the price of gold.
13:54We have seen the price of 3800 per 10 grams for that.
13:58We have seen the prices from there,
13:59So, today, there are 1.500,000 of the prices.
14:02So, in the longer term, gold's story continues to keep it as long.
14:11for the investment purpose for the longer term
14:16okay now let's talk about the other community
14:18let's talk about the copper
14:221,414 to trade again today 0.15 percent
14:26of the value of copper is also a better
14:36foreign
14:41foreign
14:42foreign
14:43So, we can see that in the prices, we can get a little bit of 1,400.
14:46But, if we don't have a closing of 1,400 to 7, 407,
14:52So, we have made a high, 1430.90,
14:56That will look at us further up, and we can go to 1,400.
14:59So, wait a little bit of levels, because we can get a little bit of softness.
15:04407, 408, and a good level,
15:07So, you can combine that with a stop loss of 1,400.
15:18How much do our pressures affectwo verdaderoard해요?
15:26When it grows 1,400, we get 50%,
15:31And, therefore, we have seen прос FINRAGE of the dollar,
15:34Prefer меся dingen as well,
15:38we get a lot of cropper, because cropper's major basic fundamental is strong, because demand is
15:46less and supply is less, but that's why we got a little bit of damage in prices, when
15:50we talked about interest, this was another situation, then we saw prices go to 13.56
15:54to go to 13.56, so the long term story is like that when it comes to 13.50, there
15:59is no
16:01long term weakness, prices go to 13.85 and 13.75, just go to profit booking and
16:06interest scenario and war scenario, but prices go to there, but if it comes to 14.70,
16:15if it comes to 14.70, if it comes to 14.70, if it comes to 14.70, if it
16:20comes to 14.40,
16:20if it comes to 14.40, then prices go to 14.40, very soon.
16:23Okay, so this is a great strategy for copper. Next, natural gas, 289.50,
16:57price.
16:58prices 268 and 264
17:00because the scenario of natural gas
17:03compared to seasonality
17:04it is negative because
17:05the timing of inventory is now
17:08and the demand is a little less
17:10but the demand for electricity generation
17:11is just coming out
17:14so that's why natural gas
17:16was coming up in U.S. Iran war
17:18or transportation problem
17:20it is coming up with hiccups
17:22so that's why prices
17:23are coming up after October and November
17:27it is starting to see
17:27the heating demand
17:28and the inventory is starting to fall
17:32so wait for it
17:34otherwise sell on rise
17:36strategy
17:38sell on rise
17:39I can apply
17:41a special question
17:45what should you do
17:47what should you do
17:49see
17:50I mean
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19:40and stop loss
19:42but stop loss
19:43thank you so much
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