00:00Sune ki pichlite kuch dunoh ki chal nne nivishiko ko kaafi konfuse kiya.
00:05Pahle fete ke fesle ke baad gold me tez girawet dhekne ko mili.
00:08Phir isi gold ne zordar recovery ki aur ab eek baar phir kiemeto par dbaab nazar a raha hai.
00:14Yarni short term me gold ki chal kaafi volatile hai.
00:17Lekin isi utha patak ke bich sabse bada sawal ye ki ki kya gold eek baar phir se badhi tezhi
00:23ki tiyari ka raha hai.
00:24Kyunki bade global brokerage houses aur investment institutions ki long term taswui abhi bhi puri tarha kamzor nahi dhik rahi.
00:33JP Morgan ne bhi gold ko lekar ucce target dhiye.
00:36Uske global research ke mutabik 2026 ki 4thi ti mahii tak gold kariib 6000 dollar pretty ons tak pohut saktta
00:45hai.
00:45Jabki 2027 mein 6300 dollar pretty ons ke aas paas ka istar dhekha ja saktta hai.
00:51Toh sawal صرف yeh nahi ki gold aaj oopar jayega ya níche.
00:54Bada sawal yeh hai ki agle kuchh mahinoh mein sone ke liye kónse factors kama karenge.
00:59Agar global gold price me tezhi aati hai toh bharat mein 10 gram sone ki qiemet pere iska kitna aasar
01:05pardh saktta hai.
01:06Aur kya central bank buying, dollar, US treasury yields aur geopolitical tension milkar gold ko eek baar phir nai ucceai
01:14ki taraf leja saktta hai.
01:15Toh chalye aapko is video mein yeh sare factors semchhanne ki košuš karenge.
01:19Sabse pahele toh yeh jahan lije ki baih sepambar ko gold or silver ka kya hali dikhai dhe raha hai.
01:25Toh dhekhiye MCX per gold silver me badaht dikhai dhe raha hai.
01:29Gold ka 5 October ka contract aapne pichlay close se 403 rupay ki tezhi ke saat.
01:341,43,497 rupay par open hua.
01:38Vahe silver ka 4 December wala contract aapne pichlay close se 1,212 rupay ki tezhi ke saat.
01:442,44,004 rupay ki se tar par open hua.
01:4822 September ko gold ne 1,43,005 rupay prati 10 gram ka low lagaya
01:58Sabse pahele baat karte hai filhal maujuda situation ki.
02:01Fed ke fesle ke baad gold me dabaav is liya dhekne ko mila
02:05Kyunki market ne biyazdar hoa ar age ki monetary policy ko lekar
02:08Zyada sakti ruk ko tawajh ho dhi.
02:10Jab biyazdar hoa ar US treasury yields ucci rheti hai
02:13Tho gold pa dabaav a sakti hai.
02:15Iske ek badai wajah yeh hai ki gold ko irregular interest income nahi deta.
02:19Aisamee zyadha yield wale assets nivishuko ke liye zyadha akarşak ho sakti hai.
02:24Iske alawar dollar ke charl bhi gold ke liye behad ehem hai.
02:27International market me gold ki kimaat dollar me tayo hoti hai.
02:30Aisamee agar dollar mzboot hota hai.
02:32Tho dousari currency rakhne wale kharidarho ke liye gold mehka ho jata hai.
02:36Or demand per dabaav a sakti hai.
02:38Vahe dollar me kamzori aati hai.
02:40Tho gold ko support mil sakti hai.
02:42Yehi wajahe ki filhala gold ke charl siref ek factor se tayo nahi ho rhe.
02:46Eek teraf uchi yields aur mzboot dollar dabaav bana sakti hai.
02:49Tho dousari teraf central bank demand aur geopolitical uncertainty gold ko support dhe sakti hai.
02:55Ab baat o saktor ki jisne pichle kut samay mein gold ki long term kahani ko mzboot kia.
03:00Or wo hai central bank buy.
03:02Dunia ke kai central bank apne reserves me gold ki hiztodari bada raha raha hai.
03:06Ab iska maksat صرف qiemat bharnye pere fayda kamaana nahi hai.
03:09Belki reserves ko diversify karna aur dollar sameet dousari currencies per dependency ko balance karna bhi hai.
03:16J.P. Morgan ne bhi apni gold outlook me central bank kharidari aur investor demand ko ehm supporting factor bata
03:22ya.
03:22Ab agar gold me teizhi aati hai.
03:24To bharat me iska asar kaisa dikhsakta hai ye eek bada sawaal.
03:27Maan lejye international gold kariib 4,386 dollar pretty ons ke aaspas hai.
03:32Or 5,000 dollar tuk pohuchta hai.
03:35To wahaan se lag-bhag 14 feeci di ki teizhi banti hai.
03:38Agar sirf isi anupat se bharat ke maujudah 24 karat gold ke kariib 1,53,450 rupi prati 10 gram
03:45ke bhaafu par
03:46Hisaab laga ya chayai.
03:48To kiemet lag-bhag 1,75,000 rupi prati 10 gram ke aaspas pohuchta sakti hai.
03:52Yarni maujudah is tari se kariib 21,500 rupi prati 10 gram ke badaat.
03:56Lekin yahaan eek zaruri baat samašna bhehat zaruri hai.
04:00Yeh sirf eek rough calculation hai.
04:01Bharat me sonek ki kiemet sirf international gold price setay nahi hoti.
04:06Dollar rupiya exchange rate, import duty, local premium aur gharailu market ki demand supply bhi
04:11qiemet per aasar đalti hai.
04:13Islai international gold me 14 feeci di ki teizhi ka matlab ya zaruri nahi
04:17ki bharat me bhi bilkul 14 feeci di ki hi teizhi aai.
04:20Ab aate hai sabse important question per.
04:23Aage gold ke liye aakhir risk kya hai?
04:26Sabse bada risk to dhekhiya US treasury yields or interest rates hai.
04:30Ager amerika mein mehengai uanchhi rheti hai
04:32aur bhyas daro me katoati qi umeet kamzor hooti hai
04:35to yields zyada rahsakti hai.
04:37Ise gold per dbav bana raha sakti hai.
04:39Dousra risk dollar hai.
04:41Ager dollar lagataar mzboot rhetta hai
04:43to international gold ki teizhi ciemet ho sakti hai.
04:46Tisri chunauti hai central bank
04:47aur ETF demand me sambhavit kamzori.
04:50Halki reports me bhi gold ke kuch anumahan
04:53níche kiyai gai kyunki zyada bhyas dar
04:55aur mzboot dollar naya outlook ko prabhawit kiya.
04:57Lekin dousri طرف
04:59agar US rates aur yields me narmi aati hai
05:01dollar kamzor hoota hai.
05:02Central bank kharidari banii rheti hai
05:04aur geopolitical tension bhahti hai
05:06to gold ko dhubara mzboot support mil sakti hai.
05:09Yarni gold ki kahani
05:10filhal dho hissos me bhahti hai.
05:12Short term me eunchi yields, dollar
05:13aur fed ki policy gold ko dbav me rakh sakti hai.
05:16Lekin long term me central bank buying, reserve diversification,
05:20geo-political risk
05:21aur fiscal uncertainty
05:23jiasse factors gold ke liye supportive
05:25bane hoi hai.
05:25Is liye agar gold me sif teizhi
05:28ya girawatt dhekne ke bhajae
05:29in chaart chizho pper naza rukna
05:31zharuuri hooga.
05:32Fed ki policy, US treasury yields, dollar index
05:35aur central bank buying.
05:36Kyunki inhi factors se tehe hooga
05:38ki maujudha girawatt sif e correction hai
05:40ya gold ki badei teizhi ki kahani mein
05:42abhi aur dam baqi hai.
05:44Vaisa gold aur silver ke baare mein
05:46is video mein hem ne joh kuch bhi
05:47aapko بتaaya.
05:48Woh ab tuk aai hoi brokerage reports,
05:50global banks ki rai
05:52aur abhi ke numbers ke hesaap se hai.
05:54Lekin aapko good returns ki
05:57yahi salah hai ki
05:58is tariqe ke kisi bhi nivetse se pahle
06:00aapne financial advisor ki rai leena
06:02behat zaruri hai.
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