00:00All right, we've got the Blitz singing coming up today at 10.30.
00:03In the meantime, taking your predictions, Lions and the Buffalo Bills,
00:06playing a football game tonight, and a lot of picks are coming in.
00:092, 4, 8, 5, 3, 9, 97, 97.
00:13Let's see, what do we got here?
00:15Nick in Wixom, you're next.
00:17Hello, Nick.
00:19What is up, Doug?
00:20What is up, Gator?
00:20How is everybody?
00:22We're doing well.
00:24Great, great.
00:25Thanks for having me on.
00:26Yeah, my prediction is 42 to 38, Lions win.
00:30A couple things that it's going to take to get there is I think J-Mo
00:33is going to have to have a breakout game today.
00:35I think we're going to have to beat them in the air.
00:37Our defense is going to have to play well, but we know what their offense can do.
00:42The only thing that worries me so much is, like you saw last week against Houston,
00:46they'll throw it to D.J. Moore, not in hopes that he actually catches it,
00:49but that they get the pass interference.
00:51So I'm hoping that we can play smart and stay away from that,
00:55but more so we also have to win the turnover differential on defense,
00:58and then be able to stop both Josh Allen and James Cook from running.
01:03I know it's a tough task, but I do like our front setter.
01:06Yeah, that's a big ask.
01:07There's a lot there.
01:08Yeah, well, hey, I'm just making my bold prediction,
01:11but like I said, it's going to be 42 to 38.
01:14We're going to eke out a win here and be 2-0 for the first time in a few years.
01:18So go Lions.
01:19Thanks again, guys.
01:20You know, one thing, Nick, you brought up there.
01:22Oh, shoot, Nick.
01:23Come on, man.
01:23I have a follow-up question.
01:26When you pick the score 42-38 and then say the defense has to play well,
01:31you got them giving up 38 points, man.
01:34That's winning a shootout on a day where it's hard to imagine the defense playing well.
01:38Now, if they win the turnover margin, that's one thing.
01:41Well, that's the thing.
01:41They just gave up 30 points in the game, but they had three turnovers in that game.
01:45They had five sacks.
01:46I mean, there were stages, and the large part of that game,
01:50the majority of that game, the Lions defense played well.
01:52Tyler Shuck had 85 yards passing at the half.
01:55He finished with over 400.
01:57Well, he threw the ball 56 times.
01:59I mean, you think about the difference between first and second half,
02:02the difference between the Lions defense looking competent
02:08and then just absolutely getting shredded.
02:11But, hey, look, I've said for years that when quarterbacks throw for over 400 yards,
02:17it's not exactly the worst thing in the world
02:19because the chances that they win that game, they go down significantly.
02:23You got data?
02:24I did a Google search on this the other day.
02:26Did you?
02:27And it came back with...
02:30It almost supported you?
02:32Well, no, it did, but it was a little weird.
02:34It was a little wishy-washy because it said around 40% to 45% of the games were quarterbacks.
02:41I'm like, can't this be done really simply with just knowing, hey,
02:44which quarterbacks threw for 400 yards and they win or not?
02:47It should be really easy to do the data.
02:49But it said, I think, between 40% and 45% of the quarterbacks that threw for 400 yards
02:52in a single game lost.
02:55Hmm.
02:56That sounds like marginally reliable data.
02:59Well, if it's kind of a vague answer, but...
03:01Kind of vague, but I mean, it makes sense because teams are going to throw for that many yards.
03:04Typically, they're playing very high.
03:06Dave in Roseville writes in, Lions 31, Bills 28.
03:09Lions will contain Allen enough to allow the offense to cook
03:12and then allow Bates to win it with no time on the clock.
03:16Larry Borum will hold his own like he did with the Dolphins
03:19when they played the Bills previously.
03:23248-539-9797.
03:26Let's go to Matt.
03:27You're next.
03:27Hello, Matt.
03:28Hey, how's it going, guys?
03:30What's up, Matt?
03:32I do think the Bills will win, and I'm not knocking the Lions.
03:37I just, you know, with two people out, I think the Bills will win.
03:43And I have the score 24-21.
03:46I don't think it's going to be a high-scoring game.
03:49So 24-21, Bills.
03:52But if the Lions have a chance of winning,
03:56they need to play like they did in Baltimore last year.
03:59They need to contain Josh Allen and contain Cook.
04:05And they will have a chance to win.
04:08When you say contain, what do you mean by contain?
04:10Contain Josh Allen in the run game or just not let him go off completely?
04:16Do not let him go off.
04:18Shut him down like they shut down Lamar and Derrick Henry.
04:21And then, you know, because I talked to you guys last week.
04:24I was very chesty, and I said to the Lions, I took Lions minus 10 and a half,
04:29and, ooh, I was wrong.
04:31I thought they were going to do it, but I was wrong.
04:34But I do think, yeah, 24-21 Bills, if they contain,
04:40if they shut down Allen and Cook, it could be a line.
04:43They could pull it out.
04:44Yeah, there's a path to victory.
04:46There's no question.
04:47It's not like this is an impossible task,
04:51but you're going to have to get the best version of,
04:55well, I'll tell you what they can't do.
04:57They can't make mistakes like not catching the ball when it's thrown to them.
05:03I don't know that I see a path of victory to victory tonight
05:07if J-Mo drops four passes,
05:09including one that would have set up a scoring opportunity
05:11and one other that would have kept the drive alive.
05:15Right, and it's not just him.
05:16It's anybody, right?
05:17You can't afford to make those costly mistakes
05:19where you're driving, you're ready to score,
05:21and then something that seems just normal,
05:25like throw and catch, is no longer normal.
05:29They can't, Jared Goff can't afford to turn the ball over,
05:34and neither can Jameer Gibbs.
05:36I think Gibbs is going to be a huge factor in this game
05:40with running the football
05:41because I think that would be the Lions' focus,
05:43and this is establishing the run
05:45and keeping the offense of Buffalo off the field as much as possible.
05:51Kang, what is your first look at this one?
05:53How are you feeling?
05:54I think when I feel like the whole world is picking against one team
05:58and begging me to take that team as well,
06:00I feel like taking the other side just because, quote-unquote, sports.
06:06Sometimes you can't explain things,
06:07and this isn't just like some—the Lions aren't some crazy underdog.
06:10Obviously, they have a really good team,
06:13but this week, though, with the injuries,
06:14it does back off a little bit if you feel good about the Lions.
06:18I think the injuries are what concern me the most about that offensive line
06:20because they're going to have to score some points, it seems like, right?
06:23Like Josh Allen, James Cook, DJ Moore, Kincaid, those guys can put up points.
06:29I don't want to get in a shootout with the Bills.
06:31I don't.
06:32So I think the key is going to be you're not going to shut down James Cook.
06:35I don't think you're going to shut down Josh Allen.
06:37I think it's timely turnovers, timely punting situations, you know?
06:43Momentum changers.
06:44I think that's where the Lions will have to capitalize.
06:47That's the way they win this game is winning the turnover margin.
06:50I think that's going to be that type of game where at the end,
06:52if they do pull this out, you're going to be like, well, yeah,
06:54they're plus two in the turnover margin.
06:56They're able to capitalize because you don't want to get in a shootout.
06:59I am worried about the offensive line.
07:00In the end, I can't pick the Lions confidently.
07:03It's the offensive line issues that keep me from that.
07:06So I think they lose one, but I think it's closer than people realize.
07:09I think this comes down to the end.
07:11Yeah, look, I mean, there's the fun part about it is it's not house money.
07:16I'm not going to call it that.
07:17But when everybody is picking against you, it feels like, okay,
07:22you know,
07:22the argument for the Lions being the best team in the NFL isn't a strong one,
07:27which means you're going to play games that you're an underdog.
07:30Could they be the best team in the NFL in the end?
07:32Could they be the team standing at the end?
07:34Yeah.
07:35Win or lose this game tonight.
07:36I still believe that.
07:37I do not love that.
07:40There's already already injuries up front.
07:43I can't.
07:44Part of me can't believe it,
07:45but because I think the Lions would have been underdogs fully healthy going into
07:49this game, but then you throw in the injuries and it's like, okay,
07:52now that's even now you're putting them even further behind.
07:54Yeah.
07:54I mean, they were,
07:55they were underdogs before people knew about it.
07:58So it's,
07:59it's a daunting task to win on the road in the NFL.
08:03And when you're taking on with the second leading favorite to win the AFC,
08:08and then you,
08:09you tie into it the other stuff about,
08:11Hey,
08:11we're opening up the stadium for the fans for the brand new stadium.
08:15I mean,
08:15it's,
08:15there's a lot that you're playing against.
08:17They just have to stay focused.
08:19And unfortunately in a game like this,
08:22you feel like they have to play mistake free football.
08:25Two,
08:25four,
08:25eight,
08:26five,
08:26three,
08:26nine,
08:2697,
08:2797.
08:27Jeff is next.
08:28What's up,
08:28Jeff.
08:29Hey gentlemen.
08:30So I'm going to,
08:32there's no X's and O's that I'm going to go to.
08:35This is a Dan Campbell special.
08:37If you think about it,
08:39this is Dan,
08:40this is the Legion of whom this is the world is against us.
08:44This is Larry Barone playing right tackle.
08:47This is the secondary getting shredded.
08:49This is JMO dropping passes last week.
08:52This is right into Dan Campbell's mental wheelhouse.
08:55You don't think Kelvin Shepard isn't going to go back and try to embrace that
08:59Legion of whom?
09:00I mean,
09:01it,
09:01it,
09:01the,
09:02and Buffalo,
09:03I think is ready for a letdown.
09:05They exercised the demon last week because they couldn't beat Houston to save their soul.
09:12And they finally did.
09:13And you don't think,
09:14and there's a lot more pressure on Buffalo to perform tonight.
09:17I think they exercised the demon.
09:20I think if you go back historically,
09:22look at Dan Campbell,
09:23someone's beat us four or five times in a row.
09:25He breaks it.
09:26We did it with Seattle.
09:27I just think this is a Dan Campbell special.
09:31And I think it's going to be 34-21.
09:35I think JMO's going to go off.
09:37I think he's,
09:38I think he's embarrassed about what happened last week.
09:41And I,
09:42I just think that first game back and Larry Barone out there playing right tackle.
09:47That's not my new we're putting out there.
09:50I mean,
09:50this guy is not really,
09:51he has more starts than Blake Miller.
09:53Yeah.
09:54It's a guy who was,
09:55uh,
09:55who many thought when he was signed that that that's the right tackle for the,
09:58for the lions this year.
09:59And that whoever they draft,
10:01if they draft an offensive lineman,
10:02we'll sit back and watch for a year,
10:04or at least maybe not start right away.
10:06Well,
10:07um,
10:08the good news for the lions is that Blake Miller played well enough where he was
10:10going to start right away.
10:11But the,
10:12the,
10:13the even also good news with that is that they've got an experienced guy who
10:17can play right tackle.
10:18Uh,
10:19Evan are,
10:21uh,
10:21who runs our website and our video stream track down the data from USA today.
10:27Since the AFL NFL merger quarterbacks,
10:30we've thrown for more than 400 yards.
10:31Their teams are one Oh five,
10:33one 44 and two.
10:35That is a win percentage of 42%.
10:38So,
10:39uh,
10:40there you go.
10:40It's between 40 and 45.
10:42It is,
10:42but that's the exact number.
10:44I like that.
10:44There are exact numbers.
10:45Yes.
10:46blitz thingy next Carson Anderson,
10:4897 one.
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