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India’s External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar has declared that India is destined to rise in a very turbulent world, outlining how Indian diplomacy may navigate growing global instability. Speaking at an event marking 25 years of the Indian Council of World Affairs as an institution of national importance, Jaishankar said that peace, development, dialogue and diplomacy will remain central to India’s foreign policy.

He also highlighted growing challenges from tariff volatility, technology rivalry and fragmentation of the international system, while emphasizing India’s increasing influence and responsibility on the global stage. His remarks came shortly after India hosted the BRICS Summit, underscoring New Delhi’s expanding role in international affairs.

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00:00Foreign Secretary, Ambassador Gangte, Excellencies, former Directors General of ICWA, colleagues, researchers, friends.
00:12It's a great pleasure to be with all of you once more at the end of this very memorable day.
00:19And I know I speak for all of you when I express confidence that ICWA will grow from strength to
00:27strength
00:27and live up to its responsibility of serving as an important forum of debate on foreign affairs.
00:36In delivering this valedictory, perhaps an appropriate starting point would be to assess what Indian diplomacy will face in the
00:48coming times.
00:50Let me articulate six issues, six key issues in that regard.
00:55But even while I recognize that there may be many more.
01:01And the first one, the first and foremost, I believe, will be the consequences of India's rapid growth,
01:10which promises to continue into the coming decades.
01:14In the last decade or so, our GDP, as many of you know, has doubled.
01:21And our capabilities have multiplied in many domains.
01:26We are viewed very differently by the world today.
01:30Now, this is not just a matter of figures or of size or quantity.
01:36It has a direct implication for our footprint in the world, for the intensity of our ties with other nations,
01:45and for our relevance to key global debates.
01:50We count more, we influence more, but we also have greater responsibility.
01:58Without dwelling further on that point, let me just ask you to imagine what the foreign policy dimensions of Viksit
02:09Bharat by 2047 will be,
02:12and leave you to plan for it.
02:15My second point.
02:16Every nation has its unique strengths.
02:21In our case, it is indisputably that of our human resources.
02:27One policy consequence of that is the importance that we attach to the international flow of talent and skills.
02:37A globalized era is increasingly creating a globalized workplace, and that, in turn, requires a globalized workforce.
02:49For Indian diplomacy, there is a whole host of issues which flow from that reality.
02:56Our consular services, our community welfare initiatives, our rapid response capabilities, our mobility understandings,
03:05all these, all these have a salience that they have never had before.
03:11This is definitely a more people-centric foreign policy today.
03:18Third, communication and narrative building have always been central to diplomacy.
03:27Rapid technology changes make them both particularly dynamic.
03:31In the last few decades, we moved first into the digital era, and then, in the last few years, into
03:43that of the social media.
03:45Now, they clearly require different techniques, different techniques of capturing attention and of shaping beliefs,
03:54as well as an increased speed of response.
03:59Public policy, generally speaking, may have come under more pressure to react ASAP,
04:06but foreign policy, foreign policy has its own specific issues, its own particular challenges in that regard.
04:16Now, that said, we now confront the prospect of conducting diplomacy in the era of AI.
04:24This is a debate in itself, but the short point is that our business is going to get very much
04:33more complicated.
04:35Four, statecraft may be an exercise in calculation, but sentiment still has a very powerful role in international relations.
04:57In the post-colonial era, the solidarity of nations that regained their freedom is a deeply emotional one.
05:07When India undertook the vaccine, my three during the COVID pandemic, the receiving nations needed no explanation.
05:17Others probably could not understand, even when provided with one.
05:22At a time when the world is today grappling with the 4F crisis of fuel, fertilizers, food and finance,
05:34India is taking up causes that are broader than its immediate national interest.
05:40The global south will always be a key element in our world outlook.
05:47Fifth, a multi-millennial civilization regaining its place on the global stage is an unusual occurrence.
05:58As India's rise unfolds, it will be an understandable subject of discussion and possibly even of misreading from time to
06:09time.
06:11Comparing us with the record of others is simplistic, to say the least.
06:16India will have its own character traits, it will have its own personality, and one that the world will come
06:24to appreciate.
06:25But it is up to us to communicate, to explain, and to facilitate that process.
06:33A civilizational state will naturally take the long view.
06:37Our approach to international relations, to international issues, will be considered, will be sober, and will be composed.
06:48When India advocates dialogue and diplomacy, when we stress that endless war must give way to an end to war,
06:57this is our particular way of thinking.
07:00Indian diplomacy will always have peace and development as its central agenda.
07:06Not just as an idealistic goal, but as a sensible prescription for the world order to advance progress and prosperity.
07:18And sixth, an intrinsic and fundamental feature of India's approach to world affairs is its independence stance,
07:28and it is something the panel before me also discussed.
07:41Now, many of you know, it is an outcome of our history, and it is also a characteristic, a natural
07:48characteristic of a very large nation.
07:51Discussions within India will debate the degree of our maneuverability, flexibility, and creativity.
08:01But no one really serious believes that there is an alternative to strategic autonomy.
08:07As a result, we are naturally designed for the multipolar world that awaits us all.
08:15Indeed, you would perceive that India's answer to the culture of extreme competition is to double down on multipolarity.
08:28Now, these perspectives need to be set off against a radically transformed global landscape today,
08:38one that is becoming more turbulent and uncertain by the day.
08:44That a third of the world's manufacturing is concentrated in a single geography has major consequences.
08:52Those who are witnessing an erosion in their primacy no longer believe in the rules that they themselves set.
09:01Ensuring the resilience of supply chains and mitigating the effect of market dominance have therefore become key priorities.
09:10On the demand side, tariff volatility has added to the complications of a corroded international trading system.
09:18Technology certainly remains a big factor of transformation, but the rise of big tech is an altogether new and different
09:28phenomenon.
09:29Tech rivalry threatens to fragment the international system, even as tech diffusion promises to throw up surprises.
09:40Where energy is concerned, key importers have become major exporters, and this role reversal has enormous implications.
09:51If fossil fuel has its own risks and dependency, it is no less the case with renewables.
09:59Revival of nuclear energy could also bring back its accompanying security debate.
10:05The world of finance has also got deeply enmeshed with strategic choices.
10:12Its weaponization is forcing creative responses.
10:17Connectivity is another major variable in this larger matrix.
10:22Along with resources, it has assumed the form of a new great game.
10:27In fact, the net impact of all these factors that I have laid out, these factors have made choke points
10:36a compelling feature of contemporary international affairs.
10:41This is truly a world of leverage, of weaponization, and of risk-taking.
10:47So, how does a nation like India deal with such a scenario?
10:53At one level, the answer is to de-risk and diversify.
10:58We have seen that starkly in the domain of energy, and more gradually when it comes to markets and supply
11:06chains.
11:06There is also the prospect of becoming more self-reliant, and that is why making India is so critical to
11:16our strategic autonomy.
11:17But then, there are also the concepts of trusted partners, tested pathways, French shoring, and near-shoring.
11:27These need to be built assiduously and painstakingly.
11:32Indeed, that is the very work that is under progress.
11:37And as the world goes through its current convulsions, the results may well end up creating a very different architecture.
11:45And precisely because we are staring at an uncharted path, there is a powerful case for deeper debate and discussion.
11:57Friends, a different world calls for new terminology, concepts, and even platforms.
12:05This is precisely what Indian diplomacy and what the Indian debate has undertaken in the last decade and more.
12:14We have popularized terms for better understanding and communication, both within and outside the country.
12:22We have advanced new concepts to better serve our expanding interests.
12:28And we have put forward new initiatives that serve both India and the world well.
12:35Let me share a few examples.
12:38Today, our diplomatic lexicon very prolifically uses Vasudeva Kottumbakam, Neighborhood First, Act East, and Vaccine Maitri.
12:50Each one has a message that is clear to the world.
12:56When it comes to concepts, we have subscribed to the Indo-Pacific, to Sagar and Mahasagar, to the IMEC, to
13:05Global South, and to reformed multilateralism.
13:09There is a practical intent behind each of these proposals.
13:15Similarly, India took the lead to form the International Solar Alliance, the Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure, and the Global
13:25Biofuel Alliance.
13:27Our espousal of the International Day of Yoga, the International Year of Millets, or Mission Life, they have all resonated
13:37well with the world.
13:41Now, the ICWA was created to promote a public discourse on world affairs.
13:49In the years that have passed, it has served as a platform for policy addresses as well.
13:56Given its stature, ICWA is a natural congregation point for the think tank, academic, diplomatic, and policy worlds.
14:07India is destined to rise in a very turbulent world, and the intellectual accompaniments of that process will surely be
14:17demanding.
14:18And that is where an institution like ICWA can make an effective contribution.
14:25I congratulate ICWA on this anniversary, and I wish it all the best in its future endeavors.
14:32Thank you very much.
14:32Thank you very much.
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