00:00I did see the Chargers open up as a touchdown favorite
00:03against the Raiders, Chargers at home.
00:06Not anymore.
00:07Now it's down to six.
00:09So the money has been coming in on the Raiders.
00:13So I don't know if that says more about the market thinking
00:18the Chargers in no way, shape, or form
00:20should be laying a touchdown against even the Raiders,
00:23which I find suspect that we're putting that much
00:28into the Raiders here,
00:29because I still think they can easily get blown out in this game.
00:32And I still haven't seen a three in Denver against Jacksonville.
00:37And I do believe I saw the record of one Bo Nix at home
00:43in this spot as a favorite.
00:45I think he's actually been pretty good in his career at mile high,
00:49especially as a favorite, two and a half point favorite
00:52in this game against Jacksonville, who's also won,
00:55I believe, dating back to last year, seven games in a row.
00:59They've won and they've covered here.
01:01But I don't see anybody running to push the Broncos up to minus three
01:05a field goal either.
01:07So both those lines were very interesting to me here the day after.
01:12Yeah.
01:13I'm going to guess that between, you're not going to win them all,
01:16but if you bet the Chargers, the Rams, and Denver, Chargers, Rams, and Broncos,
01:25I would guess two of those three teams bounce back and win big.
01:29And then one of them is the disappointing 0-2 team in the NFL this season,
01:34because it's not going to be a perfect mix.
01:35But that's 66% of your bets on Sunday.
01:39So I would just blindly take the, or Monday too with the Rams,
01:43I would take the Rams, I would blindly take the Chargers,
01:47and I would blindly take the Broncos,
01:49although the Broncos have a lot of very strong track record at home
01:52when they play at mile high at the beginning of the season.
01:54But I like buying the 0 for teams,
01:57because I feel like they have more to prove going in,
02:00or to show that, hey, we're not as bad as we looked in the first week of the season.
02:04So I would guess two out of those three teams win and cover,
02:08and then you'd win two out of three.
02:11That'd be my strategy.
02:13I thought the Chargers would get bet,
02:15and we'd be going seven and a half, right?
02:18We'd go eight.
02:19I did not see them sitting at six here in a lot of spots across the board.
02:24I mean, that's...
02:25It's giving too much to the Raiders.
02:27The Raiders beating the Dolphins?
02:29That's what I'm saying.
02:30I mean, Howard, listen, Kirk Cousins, he did throw two picks.
02:35But again, that's not going to hurt you against the Dolphins.
02:38But I thought Jente was great.
02:41That's good.
02:42But are we really convinced that the Raiders are undervalued this year?
02:46I like Kubiak.
02:47Don't get me wrong.
02:48But really?
02:50One point?
02:51I don't think so.
02:53And Harbaugh's the coach.
02:54The Chargers are going to bounce back and win, man.
02:56I do think that.
02:58I do think that.
02:59I think so, too.
03:00I think so, too.
03:02You're getting a point overreaction.
03:05If the Chargers just barely beat the Cardinals,
03:09this line is seven and a half.
03:11And instead, you're seeing six and a half there.
03:13You said six.
03:14Wow.
03:14That's very surprising that it would go down to that.
03:17But Chargers also banged up with some injuries.
03:20I did see they sign a wide receiver,
03:22so that's not necessarily a good sign for them as well.
03:25And by the way, when the Chargers play at home, it's not really a home game when they play there.
03:31It's going to be like a Raiders home game.
03:32That's true.
03:33That's part of it.
03:34A lot of L.A. fans are Raiders fans.
03:36But I think the Chargers are superior.
03:38But who knows?
03:39Maybe, Joe, the Chargers are that team that starts off the disappointing 0-2.
03:44Because some team has to do it.
03:45Last year, we would have played this game, and somebody's yelling at me.
03:49They're watching right now.
03:50They're like, Craig, what about the Ravens last year?
03:52Did you bet on them when they went 0-1?
03:53Because they went 0-2.
03:54Then they went 0-3.
03:55And then they went 0-4.
03:56And there's always going to be some team that's going to be disappointing.
03:59Just think if you took the majority of them and put them together, you'll get more wins and losses going
04:04into the next week.
04:06Conversely, though, I don't think Arizona's going to win again.
04:12But that's a little bit of a different scenario for me.
04:14I'm not automatically betting against Arizona.
04:17That I'm not going to do.
04:18I just want to back the teams that played bad the previous week.
Comments