00:00This winter's strong El Nino is making headlines.
00:02But experts say many forecasts are being misunderstood.
00:06NOAA expects the event to last through early spring 2027.
00:10There's a 97% chance El Nino continues all winter.
00:14And an 81% chance it becomes very strong this fall.
00:18That doesn't guarantee heavy snowfall everywhere.
00:21New Mexico and Arizona have the best odds for wetter conditions.
00:26Washington and Oregon may see warmer weather instead.
00:28Higher-elevation ski resorts are expected to fare better.
00:32History also tells a different story.
00:35The powerful 2015-16 El Nino produced the opposite of many forecasts.
00:41Scientists say El Nino explains only part of winter weather patterns.
00:45Local atmospheric conditions still play a major role.
00:49NOAA's next climate update arrives on August 13th.
00:52Until then, experts say treat seasonal forecasts as probabilities, not promises.
00:58Disclosure.
00:59This video contains stock footage and content created or enhanced using AI-assisted tools AI generated.
01:04So, this video contains the most important dataisk.
01:04If you have thought of any of events, don't know if we cannot.
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