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NOAA expects a very strong El Niño to shape the 2026-27 winter across the United States, covering December through February. The outlook favors wetter-than-average conditions across the southern tier and East Coast, while the northern US, including the Pacific Northwest and Midwest, leans warmer than average. Drought is expected to improve or end in the Southwest, Southern Great Plains and Southeast, but could worsen in the northern Rockies and eastern Washington. NOAA does not forecast snowfall totals, and the next update is due November 19.

Disclosure: This video contains stock footage and content created or enhanced using AI-assisted tools.

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00:00One ocean pattern is set to shape America's entire winter.
00:03NOAA's Winter Outlook covers December 2026 through February 2027.
00:08A very strong El Nino is expected to push the jet stream south and east.
00:13That favors stormier weather across the southern U.S.
00:16Wetter-than-average conditions are most likely across the southern tier and along the east coast.
00:21The northern U.S. leans warmer than average.
00:24That includes the Pacific Northwest, the Midwest, and much of the east.
00:28First, drought is expected to improve or end in the southwest, southern Great Plains, and southeast.
00:34But drought could develop or worsen in the northern Rockies, northeastern Oregon, and eastern Washington.
00:40Heavy rain on dry soil can also bring flash floods and mudslides.
00:44The outlook does not predict snowfall totals.
00:47The next update is due November 19th.
00:49For now, the signal is clear.
00:51A wet south and a mild north.
00:53Disclosure, this video contains stock footage and content created or enhanced using AI-assisted tools.

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