00:00What do you know that today's share market is not a game of numbers?
00:03This is a live transmission of FAIR.
00:06In Middle East, there was a tension in Iran-US war.
00:10The first shock was seen in the Asian markets.
00:14Nikkei, Hang Seng, Kospi, all the pressure.
00:17And then the weakness was also in India.
00:21When the crude oil goes up, the war headlines go and the investors go to risk-off mode.
00:25So, the Asian markets react first.
00:28Because this is the first mirror of global sentiment.
00:32So, today's video is not just a fall story.
00:36It's about the chain reaction.
00:39This is from Asia to Mumbai, BSE and NSE.
00:45In the previous sessions, Asia markets have given this signal
00:48that the tension has increased.
00:49First, the tech-heavy and export-linked indices are higher.
01:02This is where you just got to look at it.
01:03This is where you can find the focus on the markets.
01:06How much is this when you start to look at the market?
01:08Where you can see the charts for the last 12 years.
01:11And in the future, once you start to look at the market.
01:14This is where you stop this, although of the US,
01:17this is where you can see the market trading and empresas.
01:19It's where you can see the markets at the top 5-10 years.
01:21This is where you can see the trader's market markets.
01:28Asian markets usually linked with Wall Street week or global fear, risk-heavy indices
01:37first girt.
01:38This spillover is also coming to India, especially when crude oil, U.S. recession
01:43fear or geopolitical tension is active.
01:45Indian markets absorb this shock, but its response is always pure panic and selective
01:51buying.
01:52This is why you can get a different reaction from the same trigger on different days.
01:57August 2024, Nikkei 225-sharp fall and Indian market also came in heavy pressure.
02:05Reports, Sensex Intraday 2686 points and Nifty 824 points, when the global risk of sentiment
02:13opened in India.
02:15Closed basis, Sensex and Nifty, roughly around 2.7% of the year.
02:21Now, this is showing that Japan's crash was not limited to Japan.
02:25Sentiment chain reaction was also reached to India.
02:29Hang sang China's growth proxy.
02:31When the global investors are in emerging markets, when it comes to India, there will be caution
02:36increase.
02:36If we look at Indian market reaction, if we look at the 5 August 2024, global crash spillover was
02:44straight to Sensex and Nifty.
02:46Sensex Intraday low, 2686 points and Nifty 830 points down.
02:52Closed was also near about the same reaction.
02:55Now, Nifty 632 points, 24,055 points were closing.
03:00Investor wealth was a lot of loss.
03:02One day, 15,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.
03:05If we talk about the sector-wise performance, then what's the impact on the banking and financials?
03:12Because there was a lot of selling.
03:13In the risk-off, banks are the most vulnerable.
03:17The second impact on the IT sector.
03:19The pressure was created by global use.
03:22Metal, oil and gas.
03:24Reality and auto.
03:26This has also seen the impact on the crude spike and export fears.
03:29This index is the most vulnerable.
03:32Mid-caps and small-caps are affected.
03:35Now, this pattern is repeated.
03:37Gap down open, intraday high volatility, partial recovery or weak close.
03:44Now, this is the result of the recovery.
03:46But when and how did recovery come?
03:47This is another question.
03:49Panic is not long enough.
03:51In August 2024, the next day of the crash crash, 6 August,
03:54we started to see recovery signals.
03:57Nikkei has recovered more than the losses.
04:01Intraday, 10% positive bounce.
04:04In India, the next session, there was a selective buying.
04:06The first time in sectors, the recovery was the defensive sectors,
04:10such as Pharma and FMCG.
04:13The domestic demand is strong.
04:14The relative support was found.
04:18After banking, the selective banks and the infrastructure was found.
04:22The domestic fundamentals were found.
04:25Tech and IT, when the global sentiment was stabilized,
04:29there was also a bounce.
04:31Overall, the lesson is that index crash and company business reality are different.
04:36Headlines are afraid, but long-term, earnings, balance sheet and valuations matter.
04:41The typical pattern is usually in three steps.
04:45The first step is the gap down open.
04:47The first step is the gap down open.
04:47Then, the intraday volatility.
04:48Then, the partial recovery or the week close.
04:51In August 2024, the global crash was also like this.
04:54Fear was the opening week, but the panic was the cool down.
04:57But, the next session, the recovery signs were the recovery signs.
05:11The most important thing is that index crash and business reality are different.
05:15We have told you about it.
05:17Now, we need to avoid over-trading in the global fear.
05:20The experts have to say this.
05:22Because, many times, the market has a sharp rebound in the next session.
05:26In the Indian market, the patience and risk management is more important.
05:29The combined takeaway is that the crash of India is a sentiment shock and the Indian market gives immediate reaction.
05:39But, on the basis of the fundamental recovery, the recovery is also fast.
05:42If Asia is rising, India is rising.
05:44But, the final move is the global fear.
05:47The domestic strength decides more.
05:49Then, the markets are volatile.
05:51The first step is the financial advisor.
05:54The most important thing is to take the investment.
05:56See you again.
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