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Europe Today: экономика ЕС на перепутье на фоне роста глобальной напряженности

Лагард призывает ЕС укреплять экономику из‑за конфликта на Ближнем Востоке; в Брюсселе обсуждают меры, санкции по израильским поселениям и криптовалюты.

ЧИТАТЬ ДАЛЕЕ : http://ru.euronews.com/2026/07/10/europe-today-europe-at-an-economic-crossroads-as-global-tensions-rise

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04:53To go with the capital market, you need depth, you need liquidity, and you need to entice the savings of
05:02Europe onto that market.
05:04And that is, of course, ahead of the European Central Bank.
05:06And Maeve, this is a very hot topic in Brussels.
05:09And as you know, the question of joint debt is, in essence, very, very political in Europe.
05:15It is interesting, however, that she is saying, let's debate it on marriage.
05:20You'd have countries like Germany, the Dutch too, who'd say, absolutely not.
05:23We've said we would not agree that was a one-off.
05:25We do not want this to become a constant.
05:27But the debate is certainly now out there.
05:30And then the other point, just briefly, we spoke about China.
05:32The Europeans have said now, they've set out this deadline in October, we need to see a rebalancing in the
05:38trade relationship between the Chinese and the Europeans.
05:40They have posted a massive trade surplus last year, the Chinese, and the European deficit keeps getting bigger.
05:46I asked her, what happens if in October there's no deal?
05:49This is a difficult deadline because it could potentially lead to a form of retaliation.
05:54And she told me there now needs to be a serious, quote, conversation among adults when it comes to the
06:00subsidies, when it comes to the prices, when it comes to some of the practices, almost sector by sector with
06:05the Chinese, because they talk.
06:06But now they need to really walk the talk when it comes to a relationship that works for both.
06:13And another major topic you dived into, of course, the upcoming presidential elections in France next year.
06:17Look, there's a lot of speculation about the future of Christine Lagarde.
06:20There's really a lot of speculation as to what kind of role she could play in the campaign, but also
06:25what are the implications when it comes to the European Central Bank, because she will have to leave early, depart
06:30early.
06:32In theory, her term will end in the fall of 2027.
06:35But of course, the French election will happen in the spring.
06:37I asked her this question.
06:38Some would like to see you be in that European voice.
06:42And she told me she's not a candidate for anything, certainly not for the time being, but she's monitoring this
06:47election because she believes it's fundamental for France, but also Europe.
06:50Let's take a look.
06:52As a French, I have my own views.
06:54I keep them to myself.
06:55But what I very much hope is that the democratic process will continue.
07:00You know, in politics, the next, you know, eight months is eternity.
07:03So so many things can happen.
07:05We will be monitoring.
07:06We will be looking at the risk level.
07:08We will be looking at all that carefully.
07:10And we hope that reason will always prevail and that France will appreciate whoever is the leader for France, that
07:17it is one key member of Europe and that Europe is the only playground within which member states, nations, even
07:25France can actually play a significant role.
07:28I'm not a candidate for anything, but I'm very keen that Europe is protected, that Europe is the framework within
07:35which member states operate, including France.
07:37I'm not a candidate, but I am very keen and may have just briefly on this point.
07:41There's a lot of speculation also here in Brussels, because let's say if Lagarde does leave the European Central Bank
07:47earlier, there could be a question because this was a package deal.
07:50She was put at the European Central Bank.
07:53Ursula von der Leyen of Germany was obviously named head of the European Commission.
07:57But this was a package.
07:58If the head of the ECB leaves, would that have a knock-on effect on the Commission?
08:02That is a serious question, because it created a perfect balance between Germany and France.
08:06That could potentially change.
08:07So, of course, in Brussels, everyone monitors the future of Ursula von der Leyen.
08:12Some would argue it is connected in some ways with the future of Christine Lagarde, too.
08:16Okay.
08:16Maria, thank you so much for that.
08:18And, of course, you can catch that full interview with the ECB President, Christine Lagarde.
08:22It'll be broadcast straight after Europe Today, so stay tuned for that.
08:26But now, for another view coming up, we'll be joined by Roland Lescour, the French Economics and Finance Minister,
08:33an economist by trade and a very close ally of the French President Emmanuel Macron.
08:37Minister Lescour previously served as Industry Minister and chaired the National Assembly's Economic Affairs Committee.
08:42He's in Brussels today for talks with finance ministers from all across the block.
08:47So we're thrilled to have you here in the studio to give us a little insight into what's going on
08:51in that meeting before you head over.
08:53I imagine the impact the war in Iran and the Middle East is having on our economy here is kind
08:58of overshadowing the talks today.
09:00Are you preparing for a potential recession?
09:02Well, we're not there yet.
09:04Both France and, in a way, the European economies have proven quite resilient.
09:07As you know, we're not exposed directly to the crisis in the sense that there was no volume issue.
09:13We still got oil, we still got gas, we still got fertilisers.
09:18But the fact that some of the oil that was flowing is not flowing anymore to Asia has risen the
09:23prices.
09:23And obviously, this has had an impact on our consumers.
09:26You know, the oil tanks have been more expensive to fill and everything.
09:29So we've had a slow first half, for sure.
09:32But you're not in panic mode yet. You're not preparing measures yet.
09:34I mean, panic mode doesn't really serve any purpose.
09:37So what we've done is we've targeted measures that are tailored, temporary, to the people who are in need,
09:42the people who are mostly affected, people who travel a lot for their work, truck drivers, farmers.
09:48And we've tailored them.
09:50We've made sure that they didn't have a major impact on public finance, which is my job.
09:54And so far, so good.
09:56I think the economy has been resilient.
09:58But we need a recovery.
09:59I think that, hopefully, the short-term volatility that we've seen over the last couple of days will be over
10:06soon.
10:06And hopefully, we'll be, again, taking the route towards more negotiations, more peace, and then a better economy, which is
10:13very important.
10:14And as you say, we need a recovery.
10:15We've seen some interesting proposals by the Spanish government this week.
10:18They're proposing a new joint EU debt instrument worth up to 850 billion euros.
10:23Carlos Corpo, the Spanish Ministry for the Economy.
10:25He's also in Brussels, and he spoke yesterday to our Maria Tadeo.
10:28Let's just take a listen to what he had to say, and then I'd love to get your reaction.
10:32Spain is actually making a pitch or a proposal to centralise part of the national issuances within the Commission,
10:40within a specific facility that can help, without increasing the total level of debt,
10:45to reduce fragmentation and, therefore, reduce costs and integrate further our national markets,
10:51our national financial and capital markets.
10:54And that would, at the same time, as I said, reduce also costs for our firms.
10:59So it's a win-win situation, which we hope to discuss with our colleagues right now.
11:02So what's your view from France here?
11:04Is it a win-win situation?
11:05Would you support this?
11:06Well, it's an interesting proposal, because, as you know, usually people advocate more common debt on top of national debt.
11:13What Carlos Corpo is advocating is for some of the national debts to be pooled and then auctioned on the
11:20market
11:20and then lent back to the country.
11:22So it's an interesting proposal that solves some of the issues that usually debt on top of debt can address.
11:29There's one issue that concerns me.
11:31I've talked to Carlos about it, and we need to study it further.
11:34It's the moral hazard, you know, the fact that if one country transfers the debt to the whole community,
11:40that might be an incentive for that country to take more debt.
11:43So we'll have to see.
11:44But one thing is for sure.
11:46We need euro to be even stronger, even deeper, and more liquid than it is today.
11:52And the main factors behind that, to have the euro as a top-of-the-notch global currency,
12:00we need more competitiveness, we need capital market union,
12:03we need, you know, we need the whole packet.
12:06And it's not just by transferring debt that we're going to minus that,
12:08but we do need a safe asset to reassure the world that, yes,
12:11they can safely lend money to the eurozone and get it back.
12:16And you saw we had that interview with the ECB president, Christine Lagarde.
12:18I mean, she's fixated as well with the capital market union.
12:22When will we ever have this?
12:23When will it become a reality?
12:24She's fixated and I'm obsessed.
12:26I think you're Irish, right?
12:27Yes.
12:28We have a great Irish presidency starting, started yesterday for the ECOFIN.
12:32I mean, it starts today, actually.
12:34And I believe I had a talk with Simon Harris, who's now chairing the ECOFIN Council.
12:38He's really willing to nip it in the bud between now and the end of the year.
12:42Will they manage, though?
12:43That's a challenge.
12:44Well, that's what I'm going to say today.
12:45We need to do everything we can, both to have a deal and to have an ambitious deal,
12:49because there's no way we should water it down.
12:52And there's a lot they want to get done before next year,
12:54because, of course, big elections taking place in your country.
12:57How will they play out?
12:59Tell me.
13:00I don't know.
13:00It's a year away.
13:01There's still a lot of uncertainty.
13:03You know, it's going to be an interesting election.
13:04And as you said, very important for France and for Europe.
13:07I started running.
13:09I was in a completely different world 10 years ago,
13:11because we had a candidate that put the European flag in all his meetings.
13:15I do believe strongly that Europe is part of the solution, not part of the problem.
13:19We have two extremes that think otherwise.
13:21Could it be up one extreme against the other?
13:23Could that be the final ticket?
13:24Everything I can to make sure we avoid that scenario.
13:27There's a big central back in France.
13:29We need to find the right candidate to carry the flag.
13:32But I'm convinced that the absolute majority of French people want progress,
13:38want order, want unity.
13:40And we just have to make sure we convince them that that's the right person to carry that flag.
13:45And just final congrats on the football.
13:47Who's going to win the World Cup?
13:48Thank you.
13:49Well, if I didn't tell you France, you'd be different.
13:52I think we have a great team.
13:53But, you know, soccer, football is such that anything can happen between now and next time.
13:57We're keeping a close eye on it.
13:58Minister, thank you so much.
13:59Allez les bleus.
14:00Thank you so much for coming in to us today.
14:03And another topic on the table at that meeting is crypto.
14:06The European Commission has launched a consultation until the end of September
14:10in an effort to come up with new, better rules.
14:12For more on what all that means, here's our Jakubianus.
14:18If you are a crypto investor, you might know that the EU just built a massive financial fortress
14:23to tame the wild part of the markets.
14:25Brussels wanted to replace a chaotic patchwork of 27 national rules with one strict system.
14:31But here goes the surprise.
14:33The brand new rulebook might already be obsolete.
14:35Look, the entire crypto topic might be a bit complex.
14:38So your reporter will do his best to safely walk you through it.
14:42Ready?
14:45On 1st of July, the EU's landmark crypto rules took full effect.
14:49And the execution was a total bust for crypto firms, especially the foreign ones.
14:54Fewer than 1 in 5 of Europe's 1,200 registered crypto companies secured a license.
14:59And those who did not, had to shut down.
15:02But the aim wasn't to regulate for the sake of regulating.
15:05Brussels wanted to stop crypto scams and protect everyday investors.
15:10And big brands like Coinbase cleared the bar.
15:12But giants like Binance got kicked out.
15:15And while Brussels was working its domestic markets, Washington rewrote the rules.
15:20Last summer, Donald Trump signed the Genius Act to back stablecoins.
15:24Ha!
15:25And if you are a bit unsure what they are, I'm here to help.
15:28They are digital currencies designed to be safe.
15:30By pegging their value to the US dollar.
15:33Like for like.
15:34But digital.
15:35And stablecoins are not a small business.
15:3895% of these tokens are tied to American currency.
15:41And Trump is using this technology to expand American financial power.
15:46After all, money is power.
15:48But here goes the plot twist.
15:50According to Euronews' exclusive report,
15:52the new EU rules fail to regulate companies outside Europe,
15:56so foreign companies can bypass them.
15:58And EU diplomats already admit the rules must be changed next year.
16:02to better address how tokens created outside the EU are regulated.
16:06Look, I know it all sounds a bit complex,
16:08but it's worth knowing what all this crypto fuss is about.
16:11And you know, if you want to keep your money under the bed,
16:14to me it's fine.
16:15I won't judge you.
16:20And now moving on to another big story here in Brussels.
16:23The European Commission has proposed banning trade with Israeli settlements
16:27as part of a so-called options paper sent to EU capitals earlier this week.
16:32A majority of EU countries have been calling for proposals
16:35to restrict trade with the settlements
16:37in response to the deteriorating situation in the occupied West Bank.
16:41For more, I'm joined here in the studio by our correspondent,
16:43Marit Gwynne.
16:44Thanks for joining us.
16:45Good morning, Niamh.
16:45Just tell us, remind us, perhaps,
16:47why there's been increasing pressure on Brussels
16:49to restrict trade with Israeli settlements.
16:51Well, yes, Maeve, the political pressure has been increasing in recent months,
16:55particularly because of the deteriorating situation in the West Bank,
16:59violence against Palestinians there,
17:01and the way the Israeli government has also been expanding these settlements.
17:05Settlements which are, of course, considered illegal
17:07under international law and by the EU.
17:10So calls now on the Commission to really do more,
17:13to restrict trade with these settlements.
17:15This is different to the calls to ban trade with Israel,
17:19to suspend parts of the EU's trade deal with Israel.
17:22Calls that have been existing as well.
17:23We've heard plenty about them on the show, of course.
17:26This is about the settlements.
17:28So the Commission finally coming forth with a proposal on Wednesday
17:31outlining potential concrete options.
17:33We first reported this on Euronews yesterday,
17:36and essentially there are three things on the table now.
17:39First would be to oblige companies in settlements
17:42to acquire special exporting licenses.
17:45Secondly, to place more punitive tariffs on these products
17:49to make it more difficult for them to be imported into the EU.
17:53And finally, and crucially, Maeve,
17:54a proposal for a full or partial ban,
17:57which is what many governments have been pushing for for months now.
18:01This will be discussed by EU ambassadors here in Brussels
18:04when they gather for closed-door discussions today,
18:06and then, of course, by foreign ministers
18:08when they're here in Brussels next Monday.
18:10And the big question, everyone's wondering,
18:11how likely is it that this will pass?
18:13Well, this is where it gets tricky, Maeve,
18:15because on paper, any trade measures in the EU
18:18should be approved by 15 member states,
18:20representing 65% of the EU population.
18:23But the Commission has suggested in this options paper
18:27that, in fact, this is a foreign policy tool
18:29and needs the unanimous backing of all member states,
18:31which is obviously a higher bar, a higher threshold to reach.
18:34And many feel that is quite unfeasible
18:37because, of course, there are many staunch allies of Israel
18:40within the Council.
18:42This is feeding into the narrative
18:43that the Commission might be delaying
18:45or even obstructing a decision.
18:47This has been slow coming.
18:48And also, although foreign ministers
18:49will have a discussion on this on Monday,
18:51we won't hear more until they gather next in October.
18:54So don't expect a decision any time soon.
18:57OK, we'll keep a close eye on that, Mary Gwynn.
18:58Thank you so much for that.
19:00And now it's time for the World Cup.
19:07Culture France booked its ticket
19:09for the semi-final last night
19:11with a 2-0 victory over Morocco.
19:13All eyes will be on Spain against Belgium tonight,
19:16who go face-to-face at 9 local time.
19:18Whoever wins, it's clear now
19:20that at least one European team
19:22will make it to the big final.
19:24And there's more déjà vu ahead.
19:26France against Belgium
19:27would be a replay of the 2018 World Cup semi-final,
19:31the last time France won the World Cup.
19:33And France and Spain, on the other hand,
19:35clashed more recently, remember,
19:36in the semi-final of the Euro 2024
19:38with the better end for Spain.
19:41Whatever happens tonight,
19:42the mood here in Brussels is electric
19:44with multiple watch parties taking place tonight.
19:47So enjoy the games.
19:48But that does bring this edition of Europe Today to an end.
19:51Thank you so much for your company.
19:52As always, take care and see you soon on Euronews.
19:55Euronews.
19:58Euronews.
19:58Euronews.
20:00Euronews.
20:01Euronews.
20:01Euronews.
20:02Euronews.
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