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  • 7 weeks ago
Russian occupiers are reportedly fleeing Crimea as Ukrainian drone strikes, damaged logistics, and growing shortages fuel panic across the peninsula. In this video, we examine the long traffic jams on the Kerch Bridge, Ukraine’s strategy of isolating Crimea, and what these developments could mean for Russia’s military campaign. We break down the latest reports, satellite imagery, and battlefield analysis while separating verified information from claims made by the parties involved in the conflict.

⏱️ CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Russian Occupiers Flee Crimea in Record Numbers
00:42 - Kerch Bridge Traffic Jam Reaches 15 Kilometers
03:13 - Ukraine Strikes 38 Russian Targets in Crimea
04:34 - Crimea Fuel Shortage Caused by Ukraine Strikes
09:43 - Ukraine Drone Blockade Cuts Russian Crimea Logistics
12:16 - Will Ukraine Force Russia to Abandon Crimea?

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Transcript
00:00It has begun. The situation that Putin and his cronies never thought would happen is coming to
00:05pass. Russians are leaving Crimea. Scratch that, Russian occupiers are fleeing as fast as they can
00:12in record numbers as Ukraine's drone strikes make living on the illegally annexed peninsula
00:17impossible. Panic has rocked Crimea. The Kerch Bridge is now packed with cars making a beeline
00:24for the comparative safety of the Russian mainland. This is the deoccupation of Crimea happening in
00:30real time and Ukraine hasn't needed to send a single soldier onto the peninsula. Ukraine is
00:36emptying Crimea of Russians forever and it's only going to get worse for Russia from here.
00:42We head to the Kerch Bridge. You might have heard about it. Putin's multi-billion dollar monument
00:46to his perceived success in Crimea connects the Russian mainland to the occupied territory and
00:52is supposed to be key to ensuring that Crimea acts as a crucial cog in the war machine that
00:58Russia unleashed against Ukraine. Now the Kerch Bridge is anything but a key cog. It's still a
01:03symbol though, only it's a symbol of how Ukraine's genius strategy for Crimea has utterly derailed
01:09Putin's plans and has sparked the beginning of the de-Russification of the peninsula.
01:14On June 25th, United24 media revealed that a 10-kilometer traffic jam had formed on the
01:20Kerch Bridge. That massive line of vehicles stretches from the Russian-controlled checkpoint
01:25on the bridge all the way back to the village of Ivanovka and it's filled with about 1,500
01:30civilian vehicles that are all trying to do exactly the same thing. Get the hell out of Crimea.
01:35This massive log jam can be seen in satellite photos that showcase just how many Russians are
01:40trying to flee the peninsula. Shared by the Schemes Telegram channel, the photos showcase Russian
01:46occupiers panicking. Strict security measures have been instituted at the checkpoints along
01:51the Kerch Bridge. Russian occupiers in Crimea are actively writing on social media about their
01:57intentions to leave as Ukraine's strikes batter both the peninsula and all of the logistical routes
02:03leading into Crimea. Even those who are trying to get onto the Kerch Bridge aren't safe from it yet,
02:08as traffic is regularly suspended on the bridge due to missiles and drone threats from Ukraine.
02:13This is the reality that Crimea's occupiers now face and all that they can think to do is run.
02:19And it's not like we're seeing traffic jams on both ends of the bridge either. On the other side,
02:24the queue of traffic looking to head into Crimea is about a third of the size of that queue for
02:28those
02:28who are trying to get out. If we were conspiratorially minded, we'd argue that Russia is actively trying
02:34to stop occupiers from leaving Crimea. That argument could even be supported by Pravda's June 26th report
02:40of Russian authorities closing the Kerch Bridge between 11.51 PM on June 25th and 6.14 AM on June
02:4726th, which contributed to the massive traffic jam and created waiting times in excess of four hours
02:53on the Crimea side of the bridge. It's almost as though Russia hopes that closing the bridge for
02:58hours at a time will be enough to convince those attempting to flee to turn back, allowing Russia to
03:03maintain its illusion that all is going well on the peninsula. But that illusion has long been
03:08shattered and the satellite photos tell the real story. By June 26th, the new voice of Ukraine was
03:14reporting that the queue had ballooned to 15 kilometers, and there may well have been a trigger
03:18that served as the catalyst for so many occupiers deciding that now is the time to get away.
03:24June 25th saw Ukraine unleash a hellstorm of strikes inside Crimea, hitting 38 targets,
03:30including air defense systems, an oil depot in the Zhankoy region, and most importantly,
03:35a thermal power station in Simferopol, along with electrical substations in that settlement and in
03:41Sevastopol. Crimea is in a state of emergency right now, both figuratively and literally.
03:47A regional state of emergency was announced on June 26th in Sevastopol in the wake of Ukraine's
03:52drone strike, which tells you all you need to know about the state of the Russian occupation in the
03:56city that was once the home of the Black Sea Fleet before Ukraine's drones and missiles forced them to
04:01withdraw. But the other state of emergency is in the Kremlin itself, or perhaps more accurately,
04:07in whatever bunker Putin is hiding in today. Russia's leader is watching a huge crisis unfurl
04:12in Crimea. People are trying to escape in their thousands. The peninsula is being torn apart by
04:17strikes and its logistical arteries are being sliced one by one. And as he hides away and tries to pretend
04:23that none of this is happening to the biggest symbol of Russia's supposed dominance over Ukraine,
04:27Putin has to accept a simple, undeniable fact. It's only going to get worse from here.
04:34Let's take a step back for a moment. Though the 38 strikes that rocked Crimea may have been the
04:39final straw that broke the camel's back for many occupiers who are now locked into traffic jams on
04:43the Kerch Bridge as they try to escape back home, what we're really seeing here is the culmination of a
04:48campaign that has made Crimea an absolute hellscape for Russian occupiers. Ukraine has been
04:53systematically destroying the logistical roads into Crimea for weeks now, as well as targeting
04:59supply and fuel trucks that were heading into the peninsula. The effects are clear for all to see.
05:05A massive fuel shortage in Crimea has resulted from these attacks. In many cases, occupiers can't get
05:11their hands on fuel, as it's been prioritized for use by the military and the emergency services.
05:17The few gas stations that have fuel available are limiting sales to 20 liters per person,
05:22and only making their gasoline available via QR coupons. That's not exactly great for people trying to
05:27get fuel, as internet blackouts are already starting to affect Sevastopol, and could well stretch across
05:33the rest of Crimea. Then there's the food. Since early June, Ukraine has reported on shortages in
05:38staples on the supermarket shelves in Crimea, again caused by the attacks that Ukraine is conducting
05:43against Russian logistics since the peninsula. Now put yourselves in the shoes of a Crimean occupier.
05:49You're watching all of this happen around. The food in your cupboards is dwindling,
05:53and there is rarely enough fuel in your car for a trip to the supermarket. Even if there was,
05:57you can't guarantee that you'd get what you'd need. But finally you have a lucky moment. The internet
06:02comes back on, and you find a gas station selling fuel, and you can actually access your QR code.
06:08There's gas in the tank, but you can't guarantee you can do the same tomorrow, or even the next couple
06:12of days, and none of this has a chance of getting any better. What are you going to do? For
06:17at least
06:181,500 vehicles in a queue on the Kerch Bridge, the answer is to run away back to Russia, where
06:24you hope
06:24the problems aren't so bad. The hell is just beginning for the Crimean occupiers, which is why
06:29so many want to get out of Dodge. However, there's also another issue to consider, the Kerch Bridge itself.
06:35It's not just that many Russians are scared that they won't be able to access fuel so they can leave
06:39Crimea whenever they want. They're also terrified Ukraine is closing the single window of opportunity
06:44that they have to make that decision. But before we tell you what we mean by that,
06:49you are watching the military show, and we dig beyond the headlines to give you the real story.
06:53Hit subscribe if you like what you see, and now let's get back to the video.
06:58It's not just that occupiers can see the empty gas tanks and dwindling supplies on store shelves.
07:03They can also see the fires everywhere. The massive plumes of smoke rising into the sky as yet
07:08another of Ukraine's drones or missiles finds its mark. And nowhere is all of this more visible
07:13right now than near the bridge that the Russians are trying to use to get out of Crimea. Ukraine
07:18hasn't attacked that bridge directly, not for a while at least, but what it has been doing is
07:23launching successful strikes on either side of that bridge. On June 21, just a few days before the
07:29multi-kilometer queues started to form, Ukraine launched strikes against maritime logistics, an oil
07:34depot, and much more in the territories on either side of the Kerch Bridge. At times, smoke from these
07:40strikes has wafted over the Kerch Bridge to the point where it looks like the bridge itself is on
07:44fire. It isn't, but it could be, and that's the entire point. The Kerch Bridge is supposed to be one
07:50of the most protected regions in all of Crimea. We saw those defenses during Ukraine's strikes.
07:55Beyond the air defenses, there are smoke screens deployed to confuse Ukraine's drones. Chains of barges
08:01are set up to stop maritime drones from sailing past and blowing up bridge supports. Work is underway
08:06as we speak to create barriers in the waters around the Kerch Bridge to stop those same maritime
08:10drones. All of these defenses are in play, and yet Ukraine is still successful with its strikes
08:16around the Kerch Bridge region. What those strikes do is send a very clear message that the occupiers
08:21attempting to flee have picked up on. The defenses don't matter. Ukraine's drones and missiles can reach
08:26the Kerch Bridge. Valuable targets are being picked off on either side of the bridge,
08:31and it may only be a matter of time before Ukraine decides that the bridge itself becomes a target.
08:36Get out while you can. Ukraine can cripple the bridge whenever it chooses,
08:40and that will mean you'll never be able to escape.
08:43As if to reinforce that message, Ukraine has been getting creative with how it sends its warnings.
08:48On the night of June 3rd, satellite photos emerged of the Kerch Bridge defenses. That's a message in
08:54its own right. The fact that those photos exist at all, and that they're in the public domain,
08:57is a way for Ukraine to tell the occupiers that it knows exactly what Russia is trying to do to
09:02defend the bridge. Ukraine has also taken close-up photographs of the Kerch Bridge from multiple
09:07angles using reconnaissance drones, yet again proving that the weapons that Russia wants
09:12Crimean occupiers to believe will be taken out by air defenses can, in fact, penetrate and operate
09:17with impunity. Today it's taking photographs, but next time Ukraine may send drones loaded with
09:22explosives to take the bridge out of commission, leaving wannabe escapees completely stranded on
09:28a peninsula that is becoming impossible for them to live in. Crimea is being isolated. The occupiers
09:33see it all. They know that Ukraine can cut off their main route to escape, and they're now trying
09:37to get out while they still can. The queue of civilians trying to get out of Crimea is a big
09:43enough
09:43problem for Putin. It shows that the biggest symbol of Russian dominance over Ukraine is falling apart.
09:48But behind that problem lies an even bigger issue. All of this is happening because of a slice of
09:54strategic brilliance by Ukraine, as it has transformed the classic siege into a tool of
09:58modern warfare using its drones. Ukraine is doing what was once thought impossible. A country with no
10:04real navy is blockading Crimea, and it's doing it without having to put any of its soldiers at risk.
10:09Pressure is being placed on the Crimean occupiers like never before, to the point where it might
10:14eventually be possible for Ukraine to simply walk into Crimea and retake it. Ukraine has been patient.
10:20It has executed on a strategy of relentless attrition for months if not years, and now we're
10:25starting to see all of it paying off in Crimea. The isolation strategy is what set the stage for
10:30everything that we're seeing now. We mentioned it earlier, Ukraine has been destroying Russian
10:34trucks and taking out land bridges and highways in the occupied territories to make it practically
10:39impossible for Russia to deliver a steady stream of supplies and food into the peninsula. Air defenses
10:44have been circumvented or outright destroyed, and Ukraine is showing no signs of slowing down.
10:50On June 23, Ukraine struck a railway bridge that runs over the North Crimean Canal inside Crimea.
10:56That's another logistical artery down. In the village of Rosdolna, which is also inside Crimea,
11:01Ukraine launched another attack, this time on June 28, that caused a section of a bridge to collapse
11:07onto railway tracks. That attack was done alongside a second strike against the railway bridge crossing
11:12in the North Crimean Canal. Over and over, Ukraine strikes, often hitting the same targets several
11:18times. Every bridge that collapses is a route cut off, which means more delays for Crimean occupiers
11:24who are already struggling. And it's not just the civilians trying to escape across the Kerch Bridge
11:29who are panicking. Crimea has become a military liability for Putin after spending so long as an asset.
11:35After all, it's not like supplies were only flowing into Crimea. They flow out too.
11:39The isolation strategy Ukraine has created means that military supplies heading out of Crimea and
11:45into the occupied territories aren't getting to where they need to go, which is causing major
11:49problems with Russia's assaults. They're now weaker than they've been at any point in 2026,
11:54and Ukraine is making Russia pay. Territories being reclaimed and more Russian soldiers are dying,
12:00all because Crimea is being barricaded with a drone-based strategy that has never been used
12:05before. Ukraine innovated all of this, and Crimea is emptying of Russians as a result.
12:12But the occupiers fleeing across the Kerch Bridge also know that something else is coming for them
12:17if they stay. A shortage even more devastating than those already affecting the peninsula is about to
12:22follow everything that we've seen so far, and it will affect the one thing that every single person
12:27on the planet needs to live – water. Crimea isn't in a great position from a water standpoint.
12:34There isn't a lot of fresh water that occurs naturally on the peninsula, and certainly not
12:38enough to supply all of the occupiers who have made the peninsula their home since Putin's illegal
12:43annexation. Russia knew this was a problem, and according to the Center for European Policy Analysis,
12:48Putin promised $12 billion to the peninsula for major water projects by 2024. That promise came after
12:55Crimea lost $140 million to water shortages, and it hasn't been followed. That's that pesky matter of
13:01a failing invasion sucking up all of the money and resources that would make it possible. So the
13:07occupiers have to use water pumps to get their hands on fresh water. Those pumps work, however,
13:11they also require electricity. Now, do you remember some of the targets we mentioned when telling you
13:16about Ukraine's 38 strikes that helped trigger the exodus across the bridge? What did they target?
13:22Thermal power plants and electricity substations that are vital to getting fresh water into the
13:27bodies of the occupiers. The Moscow Times reported that the destabilization of the power supply that
13:32resulted from these strikes has already led to issues with water pressure in parts of Sevastopol.
13:38The occupiers on the bridge can see the writing on the wall. They know this isn't going to stop,
13:43and they can see that Ukraine's strikes are only getting deeper, stronger, and more successful.
13:48They're already being starved of fuel and food. Now water is going off the menu as Ukraine attacks
13:53the energy infrastructure that is vital for fresh water flows into Crimea. No wonder thousands of
13:59occupiers are running for the last bridge out of Crimea. If Ukraine doesn't take out the Kerch Bridge,
14:04it'll take out more electricity facilities, maybe both, and all as the logistical strikes continue,
14:09and the remaining defenses in Crimea get taken out one by one. Would you want to be a sitting duck
14:14on
14:15a patch of land that your strongman leader can no longer defend? Of course not, and neither would
14:20the occupiers, which is why they run for the hills. Now Putin has a big problem on his hands. He
14:27sees
14:27that Ukraine's strategy is working and there's nothing that he can do to stop it. Russia can't even get
14:31more air defenses onto Crimea, as Ukraine keeps cutting the logistical arteries that make doing so possible.
14:37Now Russia has to deal with an influx of what essentially amounts to refugees flooding back
14:42into the mainland. Imagine that this doesn't stop, and the 15km queues we're seeing on the Kerch Bridge
14:48open the floodgates for all of the occupiers in Crimea to run. That's around 2 million people who
14:53will be trying to head back into Russia, and that's a major infrastructure problem that the Kremlin would
14:57have to deal with. What's going to happen to all of those people? They're used to living in what is
15:02supposed to be a luxury destination for Russians, so they aren't going to be content with heading
15:07out to some far-flung region where Putin can forget about them. They'll be entering into some of the
15:11most densely populated portions of Russia right off the Kerch Bridge, and they'll want to move on to
15:16the country's more affluent areas, Moscow, St. Petersburg. These are the types of cities that
15:21would see an influx of former occupiers so large that they would be impossible to ignore. Thousands of
15:26occupier refugees would be the surest sign yet to anybody who Putin is still fooling into thinking
15:31that the Ukraine war is going well, that things have gone very, very wrong. The war will be coming
15:37home in a different way, and it might just be in a way that finally makes the Russian people want
15:42to
15:42do something about their maniacal leader. As for Putin, the crown jewel will be lost. Occupied Crimea
15:48would essentially become a massive ghost town, devoid of the Russians who thought their president could
15:52actually protect them. The great success story of Putin's quarter-century reign in Russia would end
15:57up being yet another failure, and the global perception of Russia would change for good.
16:02Putin can't even hold onto a peninsula, never mind win a war against Ukraine.
16:06We're already seeing that happen. Putin can't protect Crimea, Moscow, or anywhere else that's in
16:11the range of Ukraine's drones. The war momentum has shifted, and as the Kerch Bridge queues grow,
16:16opportunities for Ukraine and its allies to drive the knife even deeper are arising.
16:22Crimea is the symbol of Putin's power. If it crumbles and Ukraine is only just getting started,
16:27then Putin's Ukraine invasion has to end. And as if things couldn't get worse for Putin and Russia,
16:33they saw all of this coming and couldn't do a thing to stop it. Ukraine's plan is just too perfect,
16:38from concept to execution. We've touched on the plan already, but if you want a real deep dive,
16:43we have the perfect video for you. The trap has already been sprung and Russia is wriggling as it
16:48waits to die. Find out more in our video, and remember to subscribe to The Military Show
16:53for more coverage of Putin's Crimean disaster, and thank you as always for watching.
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