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US-Iran deal is 'very fragile' as conflict 'remains', says analyst

Tomi Huhtanen, Executive Director of the Wilfried Martens Centre, believes the EU should be "involved" in the peace deal. Huhtanen said the bloc needed to be "in the same group chat" when discussing potential contacts with Russia, arguing that coordination among European countries "has not worked".

READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2026/06/19/us-iran-deal-is-very-fragile-as-conflict-remains-says-analyst

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Transcript
00:00Good morning, Tommy. Good morning. Tell us, what is the view from Brussels on this U.S.-Iran deal?
00:05Well, as you said, you have very clearly two dimensions. As you mentioned, markets seem to be
00:10very happy, oil prices going down. So, you know, you have impression it's a lasting piece. But as
00:15the cancellation of the meeting in Switzerland indicates, the deal is very fragile. And the
00:23problem remains. You have the issue of, you know, Iran, nuclear capabilities, enrichments to 60%,
00:32Strait of Hormuz. And how is that going to open up? And the regional implications.
00:38And that's the thing, the fact that the U.S. vice president is no longer traveling to Switzerland
00:42for the signing, nor the talks. It's a bad sign, right?
00:45Yeah. Well, I think that there are two dimensions. They try to hurry it up. But you have
00:52the dimension with Iran, the negotiations, who is starting first, who is making the first
00:57commitment. On the other hand, you have the impression that in Washington, there's a high
01:01pressure from conservatives' side, but in overall about the deal. I think that they are going to
01:07manage that. And I think Vance is maybe trying to avoid a situation where he's kind of somehow
01:11going there and trapped. Normally in those meetings, when you go there, it's normally for signing. You
01:17need to know what's going to be agreed. And that's clearly is not the case this time.
01:21And of course, Lebanon is left out of the deal.
01:23Absolutely.
01:24What leverage do the Europeans have here?
01:26As Macron has said, you know, we need to be involved. Leverage, there's not so much. There's
01:33this discussion of 300 billion euros. Of course, that's just a framework to be agreed in upcoming
01:4060 days. Maybe that gives some leverage, but it's very clear indicates when we need to be...
01:46Lebanon is the crucial point, because as you mentioned, Israel is out of the deal and we
01:50will see how they react.
01:52And last night at the EU summit, Tommy, we saw a big fight among EU leaders regarding Antonio
01:57Costa, the president's liaisons with the Kremlin. What is your view here? Was he right to get in
02:02touch?
02:02I think what is very important, especially the European side, when we have various players,
02:08we have EU institutions, we are head of states, we are investing a lot on Ukraine and we have
02:12Ukrainians, especially as Ukraine in the future will be seen more and more as a net security
02:17provider. And clearly the coordination has not worked. You should be more or less in the same
02:23chat group on information. I think that that's the issue, because if that coordination does not
02:28happen, there's two questions there. First of all, what is the signal? Have we agreed?
02:32Are we are pushing the same message? Because you should. Secondly, is Ukraine involved?
02:36So was Antonio Costa wrong?
02:38I think it's very clear that the coordination has not worked. I think that's crucial on this
02:45issue. I think many head of states have indicated that.
02:49Okay. Topic that will be dominating again the talks here in Brussels. Tommy Houten, and thank
02:52you so much for joining us here on Europe Today.
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