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Dr Julia Roknifard, Senior Lecturer at the School of Law and Governance, discussed the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, calling the recent ceasefire meaningless as it has been continuously breached. She mentioned the possibility of a new ceasefire being negotiated, but is skeptical of a resolution due to unmet Iranian demands and the escalation of aggressive statements from the U.S. She also noted the lack of coverage on U.S. involvement in war crimes in the region. Dr. Roknifard believed that the conflict may escalate further and doubts the possibility of a deal before the U.S. midterm elections.

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00:00Let's next talk to Dr. Julia Roknifar, the Senior Lecturer at the School of Law and Governance at Taylor's University
00:07in Malaysia.
00:08Julia, welcome. The United States saying it's hit a third tanker near Oman, the strike killing three Indian sailors.
00:16Iran now calling this ceasefire meaningless, is it?
00:23I'm afraid so, but that's not the news at all.
00:27I would say that the ceasefire was pretty meaningless since the start.
00:31Of course, the parties, some of the parties in this process wanted to believe and to remain hopeless that there
00:37is some breakthrough on the diplomatic field is possible.
00:40But we've observed how this ceasefire has been continuously breached on multiple occasions.
00:47Also, how did we come to the very start of this conflict right in the midst of seemingly successful,
00:54at least to hear from the Omani counterparts, the Omani mediator, successful negotiations.
01:02And now, during the recent days, again, we are hearing from some insider sources in Qatar and Iran
01:10that there is some sort of ceasefire being negotiated again, and there is a proposal on the table.
01:16It's just what's left is to sign, and we can see Trump is ramping up, again, aggressive statements.
01:24So it doesn't seem there is an appetite to come to any sort of agreement.
01:28Besides, we've heard on multiple occasions that Iran is not ready to accept any agreement,
01:36unless certain conditions are satisfied, like the ceasefire for Lebanon and also a return of at least some of its
01:45frozen assets.
01:46So it just seems to be a continuation of the war that started in February.
01:52It's just with the difference that it has been of a low intensity.
01:56And up until now, it might escalate with more force than before.
02:02Given all of that, U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance saying that a deal could absolutely come before the
02:09U.S. midterm elections.
02:11I mean, how realistic is that?
02:15That also remains unrealistic.
02:18Possibly it's a move to calm down the market, the shipping and insurance companies,
02:23by also saying that there are some couple of hundred tankers that the United States secured.
02:28They passage through the Strait of Hormuz, which still remains much less than what used to be counted in thousands.
02:37Also, it doesn't seem to add to the conditions that Iran demands for to be satisfied on its side.
02:46There has been a lot of damage done to Iran itself, including the fact that the United States are complicit
02:57in committing war crimes during the war.
03:00I was quite surprised that not many news outlets covered this fact that some of the U.S. drones were
03:08seen, for example, around the Farz province,
03:11that's around the city of Shiraz, throwing mines among the civilian population.
03:16And some people actually died from that.
03:18And we haven't seen these being covered.
03:20So you might imagine, on the Iranian side, there is not much appetite to go for it, to come for
03:26the negotiating table
03:28and do something, sign something so meaningless that then it will start over again.
03:35Julia, thank you.
03:35Dr. Julia Roknafar, the senior lecturer in the School of Law and Governance at Taylors University in Malaysia.
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