00:05Russia's military and political leadership continues its attempts to reverse the situation
00:10in the eastern theater of military operations, initiating offensive operations in several key
00:16areas simultaneously. During their assaults, occupation forces are actively employing their
00:21traditional infiltration tactics, penetration by small infantry groups. Despite the high intensity
00:28of the fighting, neither side has yet managed to achieve any significant advancement or secure
00:34new territorial gains. This was reported by the Institute for the Study of War, or ISW.
00:40According to military analyst Konstantin Mashevets, the Russian command's master plan is to attempt
00:46a massive offensive on a broad front aimed at reaching the administrative borders of the
00:51Oskol River. However, the analyst expresses doubts about the aggressor's ability to allocate an
00:57adequate amount of strategic reserves for this large-scale task. This is due to the fact that
01:02all of Russia's primary resources and manpower are currently tied up and almost entirely absorbed
01:08by the priority Kupiansk and Lyman axes. Kupiansk-Nero's section of the front remains the most critical
01:15and tense zone. The onslaught from Russian units here never lets up, accompanied by continuous
01:21artillery and infantry attacks. The southern vector also remains a focus of increased attention
01:26for the Russian general staff. The occupiers are deliberately and methodically amassing new
01:32assault units and increasing their personnel, but all attacks are being thwarted by the Ukrainian
01:37armed forces' prepared lines, resulting in no tactical success for the enemy. According to SW experts,
01:45the Ukrainian defense forces are demonstrating high resilience, fully holding their defensive lines.
01:51Moreover, in a number of isolated areas, Ukrainian defenders have already managed to seize the strategic
01:58initiative from the advancing enemy. The Ukrainian armed forces have completely blocked the enemy's
02:04further advance and are inflicting colossal losses in manpower and equipment, with the Russian army's
02:10current casualty figures already significantly exceeding last year's figures. Analysts conclude,
02:16despite Moscow continuing to concentrate its most combat-ready reserves and strike forces on the
02:22Donetsk front, the overall operational and tactical situation on the front for the Ukrainian side
02:27is showing a gradual improvement. The first third of 2026 proved difficult for the Russian army,
02:34with only minimal advances. Considering that Ukraine managed to liberate between 400
02:40and 500 square kilometers of territory in February and March, the effectiveness of Moscow's
02:46operations can be called into question altogether. January through April 2026 became Russia's worst
02:53period since 2023, and after an active 2025, it can be described as a failure. The trend is also
03:01worsening. Russia occupied even less territory in April than in March, about 300 square kilometers in total
03:08over the two months, Ukrainian open-source intelligence project Deep State reported. The largest advance
03:15was in the Donetsk region, where Russian forces captured 53 square kilometers. For context, over the past
03:22month, Russia suffered its heaviest losses precisely in the Donetsk sector, more than 25,000 killed and wounded.
03:30That is 471 troops per square kilometer. Deep State says each square kilometer of captured territory costs
03:38Russia 36 assaults. Ukraine still controls about 7,000 square kilometers of territory in the Donetsk region.
03:46Based on April's statistics, capturing these territories would take decades and cost millions of casualties.
04:03planners wanted to leave.
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