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  • 2 days ago
In May 2026, the United States recorded just 106 confirmed tornadoes, which is under 40 percent of the historical average of 265 tornadoes, primarily due to the La Nina to El Nino atmospheric transition dampening typical tornado conditions. However, forecasters indicate that June typically sees a significant increase as the threat moves into the northern Plains, Midwest, and upper Great Lakes regions. The Storm Prediction Center has already released several Slight and Enhanced Risk forecasts for June, and Illinois has reported over 100 tornadoes this year, significantly exceeding its annual average. States such as Nebraska, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Illinois are now entering their prime tornado season.
Transcript
00:00May 2026 was one of the quietest tornado months on record.
00:04Only 106 confirmed tornadoes, less than 40% of the 265 tornado historical average.
00:11The La Nina to El Nino transition suppressed the classic storm setups, but do not celebrate yet.
00:17June is when the tornado threat corridor shifts north into Nebraska, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Illinois.
00:25The Storm Prediction Center has already issued multiple enhanced risk outlooks for these very states this week.
00:31Illinois alone has already logged over 100 tornadoes this year, far above its yearly average.
00:38June through July is peak season for the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest.
00:42The atmospheric conditions that kept May quiet are now reversing.
00:46The window of vulnerability is wide open.
00:49And every resident in these states needs a shelter plan in place before the next watch is issued.
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