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A new El Niño event is emerging in the Pacific for the summer of 2026, and federal meteorologists predict it will lead to multiple intense thunderstorm outbreaks from the Plains through the Midwest during June and July. NOAA's forecast for June highlights the Great Plains, Upper Midwest, and Great Lakes as the main areas for tornadoes and hail. AccuWeather indicates that there could be higher-than-normal tornado occurrences from the Plains to the East Coast. The shift from La Niña is causing an unstable weather pattern early in the summer across 12 states.

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00:00A new El Nino is building, and it is going to reshape severe weather across a dozen American
00:05states this summer. Federal forecasters confirm El Nino conditions are developing in the Pacific
00:11for summer 2026. NOAA's June outlook identifies the Great Plains, Upper Midwest, and Great Lakes
00:19as the primary corridors for tornadoes, hail, and damaging wind complexes over the coming months.
00:25AccuWeather warns near-to-above-average tornado counts are likely from the plains all the way
00:30to the East Coast during June and July. The pattern shift from La Nina is driving a volatile
00:35early summer setup. Severe thunderstorm outbreaks, some capable of producing derechos, are expected
00:42in repeated waves. Flash flooding is also a heightened risk, especially from Texas through
00:48the Ohio Valley. Atmospheric scientists note El Nino's grip will only strengthen through the
00:54fall, meaning the volatility may persist longer than a typical season. Residents across 12
01:00states should monitor local forecasts closely this summer.
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