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#Iran #IranVsUS #Trump #WarUpdates #WorldNews #MiddleEastCrisis
#Iran #IranVsUS #Trump #WarUpdates #WorldNews #MiddleEastCrisis
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NewsTranscript
00:00It's May 19th, 2026, in the Strait of Hormuz. You already know about the oil.
00:0520% of the world's seaborne crewed, a thousand tankers sitting in a traffic jam because Tran
00:10decided geography was its best weapon. We've covered the fast attack boats, the F-18 drilling
00:15holes, and Iranian rudders with a 20-milliliter cannon. That is pretty epic, if I don't say so
00:20myself, the blockade and the ceasefire that is kind of on life support at this point.
00:24But while every camera in the world is pointed at the waterline,
00:27Iran is pointed at something underneath it that no one else is talking about.
00:32You won't see this covered anywhere else. There are cables on the floor of the Strait of Hormuz,
00:36fiber optic cables, seven of them running between Asia, Europe, the Gulf states.
00:41And right now the IRGC is looking at those cables the same way they looked at the shipping lanes in
00:45February. Like a big piece of filet mignon as leverage they didn't know that they had until now.
00:50IRGC-linked Tasneem news agency ran the numbers. Those cables carry more than $10 trillion in
00:56financial transactions every single day. Google, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, all running traffic
01:01through Iranian-adjacent seabeds. And just last week, military spokesperson Ibrahim Zulgehari on
01:06X said, quote,
01:07We will impose fees on internet cables now. So now the mafia is going to put fees on internet cables,
01:13not just shipping. And that's not just an expost. This is a doctrine shift towards more of what Iran
01:18sees as their nuclear weapon. Strait of Hormuz, shipping, and now financial transactions.
01:24And Iran didn't even stop at saying they would take fees. State-linked media went further, suggesting
01:29that cable companies refusing to comply could face, quote, direct or indirect damage. Hmm,
01:35what could that mean? Translation, pay up or go dark with all your financial transactions.
01:41And today, we're going under the waves. We're going to cover the Gettier-class sub that Iran
01:45still has likely sitting on the bottom of the strait of Hormuz. We're going to talk about what would go
01:50up against that like the lamprey from Lougheed Martin. That's the autonomous undersea leech that latches
01:55onto submarines or ships and just weights. Also, DARPA's manorway. We'll cover that as well.
02:00And we'll see how these different systems fit into the strategic calculus that makes cutting these
02:05cables possibly the most dangerous tool that Iran hasn't used yet. And how do we prevent them from
02:10doing that? So now let's go into the operational picture, because here's exactly what's changed in
02:15the last 18 hours and how what happens next in the seabed in the Persian Gulf could change this entire
02:19conflict. And then President Trump posted this on Truth Social. This is something you need to know.
02:24He said,
02:25I have been asked by the Amir of Qatar to Minbim Hamad al-Thani, the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia,
02:31Mohammed al-Saad, and the President of the United Arab Emirates, Mohammed Zednan,
02:35to hold off on the planned military attack of the Islamic Republic of Iran, which was scheduled for
02:39tomorrow that would have been today, in that serious negotiations are now taking place,
02:43and that in their opinion, as the great leaders and allies, a deal will be made, which will be very
02:48acceptable to the United States of America, as well as the countries in the Middle East and beyond.
02:53And he goes on to say the deal will include, importantly, no nuclear weapons for Iran.
02:58So basically, the US is calling off the strikes for now. But President Trump does go on to say that
03:03the US military is locked and loaded should those talks break down. But we've seen this happen a
03:08couple different times, right? Where we'll threaten the attacks, and then the negotiations will happen,
03:13and then Iran will tap us along. So this is a little different, because we've got some other leaders
03:18involved. But hmm, it kind of seems like a snowball's chance in hell that Iran will actually come to the
03:23table with something meaningful. So the US military had some major strikes planned. So what could those
03:28be? Well, they could involve striking different locations right in and around the Strait of Hormuz,
03:34which likely would include striking the different bases of where these many subs could be, or even
03:38where they could potentially be, because we know they have underground places where they hide
03:42Shahed drones. They hide these many subs, and they hide ballistic missiles. So right now,
03:49the blockade is in full effect. So likely it would be some adaptation of keeping the blockade in effect,
03:54and then striking as many positions around the Strait of Hormuz as possible. And who knows,
03:58in the next few days we could see that happening with these talks breaking down, because supposedly
04:03there's a 14-point memorandum of understanding that's being negotiated right now. And that might
04:08include a 30-day negotiating window on the strait nuclear limits and sanctions relief. But the core
04:13sticking point, the thing that Iran doesn't want to talk about at all, nuclear weapons. And now they're
04:19calling their new nuclear weapons, cargo ships, oil tankers in the Straits of Formuz,
04:23keeping the deadlock and now potentially even threatening to snip those undersea cables.
04:27And that threat on the undersea cables didn't come out of nowhere.
04:30This is the next step and the next calculus for the mob bosses in Tran that are holding the world
04:35hostage with economic espionage on the Strait of Hormuz. Because again, it's an international
04:40waterway. Iran doesn't own the whole 21 miles. You own 13 miles from your coastline, but Iran knows
04:45that if they put maximum pressure on stopping the flow of energy and stopping the flow of financial
04:50transactions, that might actually get them to stay in power and keep the regime intact.
04:55But keep in mind, we've got massive companies now potentially being affected. Google, Meta,
05:00Microsoft, Amazon. And when some of these big companies want something to get done,
05:05sometimes we see things happen incredibly fast because of how much money is involved.
05:09And then Iranian spokesperson Zulvaghari declared,
05:12we will impose fees on internet cables and basically holding that revolver to the gun
05:17of international financial transactions. But the US military has a little something
05:21to say about that. But before we get into the US response, remember, we got to know the enemy.
05:26Like Sun Tzu says, know the enemy, know yourself, and you'll never lose a hundred battles.
05:30So let's know this enemy. Specifically, the fast attack boats that we've talked about a lot,
05:35but now enter the Gadir-class submarine. That's the weapon that nobody's briefed you on and nobody
05:39is talking about. And it's the one that would likely go in and cut these cables.
05:43The Gadir-class is a diesel electric submarine. 95ft long, 2.75 minerals beam, displaces 117 tons when
05:53it's surfaced, 125 submerged. It's only got a crew of seven. And here's the kicker. It was developed from
05:59North Korean Jano-class designs. Iran bought at least one of those North Korean subs from Pyongyang
06:04in the early 2000s, and then indigenously produced their own fleet. Hmm. Iran is stealing technology.
06:10We never saw that one coming. It's almost like they're pulling some notes out of China's playbook.
06:15Weird. But before this war, Iran had somewhere between 16 and 23 of them.
06:20US assessments suggest they may have lost approximately a dozen so far during 2026 operations,
06:25which still leaves, let's say, roughly 10 or so of these at the conservative end, potentially
06:30operational. All of them are likely assigned to the southern fleet at Bondur-Abbas port,
06:34five minutes from the Strait of Vermeuse. And here's some ways those subs are actually dangerous,
06:39and why that carrier strike group has to keep a very tight grip on those subs and know where they
06:43are at all times. So we know that the Strait of Four Moves is somewhere between 30 to 60 number
06:48deep
06:48across most of its operational area. That's perfect for the Gadir, because with a small submarine like that,
06:54the sonar performance systems can be operational and work. They're not going to work in deeper waters,
06:59because that sub doesn't quite have that capability. And here's the weapons loadout that it has.
07:04Two 533-milli-net torpedo tubes capable of firing the Valfagir torpedo. That's a torpedo that travels on
07:10a bubble of air at speeds that make evasion relatively impossible at close ranges. The Gadir has also
07:15demonstrated the ability to launch the JASC-2 underwater-fired anti-ship cruise missile with claimed ranges of 100
07:21nautical miles. Yeah, I don't know about that, but that's what Iran is claiming. It can also lay mines,
07:26and it can deploy combat divers. Special operations, IRGC Navy types, whose mission could be to go out
07:32and manually cut these cables with equipment that basically fits in a dive bag. Former Iranian
07:37Navy Commander Rear Admiral Hosn Khazadi called the Gadir quote, capable of doing what the U-Bot did
07:42in World War II. Royal Navy Commander Ryan Ramsey, who captained the nuclear sub-EHM's turbulent in the
07:47Persian Gulf said, I'm quoting here, the Gadir class are tiny submarines, but have enough torpedoes to sink a
07:53couple of ships. So the enemy is not nothing. The structural vulnerability of that thing, though,
07:58is that the Gadir is significantly noisier than modern submarines. Crew's experiences on them are
08:03limited, and Iran has not historically run any submarines in deeper waters. But it's pretty fair
08:09at this point that we can say Iran's many subs are long, hard, and full of Iranian seamen. That thing's
08:14got seven crews, two torpedoes, and 95 feet of North Korean engineering. It's small. So at this point,
08:21size is its limitation. And it's pretty clear that this is the hardest thing that Iran has to offer.
08:27So before we get to the US systems that would take this on, like the advanced lamp prey under
08:31sea leech, let's get to the global roundup section, and let's cover a few hard-hitting stories that you
08:36need to know. The first one, China's NATO satellite espionage blitz, is taking place right now. So while
08:42every camera is on the street of Hormuz, Beijing is simultaneously running a full-court espionage operation
08:47against every NATO ally simultaneously. Two Chinese agents were just caught setting up
08:51interception equipment near a French Starlink ground station going after military satellite
08:55communications. Norwegian authorities arrested a Chinese national in May for attempting to steal
09:00sensitive satellite data. The NSA, National Security Agency, for you acronym lovers, and 19 international
09:06partner agencies released a joint advisory warning the Chinese Ministry of State. They're warning the
09:12Chinese Ministry of State. They're like, stop spying, please. We see what you're doing.
09:16They warned that Chinese linked hackers have been systematically targeting consumer devices
09:20to access adversary military networks since 2021 through commercial devices. China is picking
09:26NATO's digital locks while publicly positioning itself as a peacemaker on Iran. Different theater,
09:32same playbook. It's almost like China is the zebra with its stripes and there's no chance of it changing
09:38its stripes. And in the next story, a Taiwanese F-16 went down during training off of Huynh,
09:43spotlighting the brutal operational tempo right now that Taiwan's Air Force is running.
09:47Hardline training going on right now. Simultaneously, People's Liberation Army Air Force from China
09:52aircraft went into the Taiwan ads. That's the protected airspace around Taiwan itself. But also,
09:59we've seen a malfunction of a drone swarm run by the People's Liberation Army Air Force recently.
10:03So, showing some potential problems and fractures within the Chinese military itself.
10:08But China is going to continuously test Taiwan's resolve. And as we saw at that ZTR summit,
10:14Taiwan is the number one focus for China at this point. So, now that we know the global roundup,
10:19let's step back into the targeting chain of what would go down if the US military decided to target
10:24these many subs. So, the US military is exceptional at things it can see,
10:28things it can target, and things it can blow up. So, defending the seabed infrastructure from
10:33submarines operating in acoustically cluttered shallow water is a harder problem. But the tools
10:38do exist. Some of them have been unveiled literally just over the last few months.
10:42But let's talk about Layer 1. That's the P-8 Poseidon Maritime Patrol aircraft. Modified Boeing 737
10:49turned into a flying sensor array with sonoboys, magnetic anomaly detection, surface radars, sight,
10:55and they've also got the ability to drop weapons as well. They've got upgraded acoustic processing,
11:00which is perfect for targeting these mini-subs. This thing was basically built to target these
11:04North Korean Iranian mini-subs. And we've already seen that these P-8 Poseidons have been doing
11:10operations around Bandarabas and Kashm Island, tracking every subsurface contact, building the
11:14acoustic picture. And then, enter Layer 2, MMHR-60R Sea Hawks, operating off Arleigh Burke-class
11:21destroyers in the carrier airwings. The Romeo variant carries dipping sonar, and Air launched
11:26Mk-54 torpedoes. The worst nightmare of these mini-subs. So team up the P-8 with the MH-60,
11:32and you've got a real targeting chain for these actual mini-subs. But it gets better.
11:37Layer 3, and this is the next generation. This is when you bring in the Lohade Martin Lamprey
11:42underwater unmanned vehicle, unveiled in February of 2026, six weeks before this war started.
11:47The Lamprey is an extra-large, uncrewed undersea vehicle, and it exposes those different subs from
11:52a large distance away. No large propeller, tapered hole with soft, vectored thrust. It's acoustically
11:58designed to disappear in shallow waters, just like the Persian Gulf. This thing could latch onto one
12:03of these mini-subs, and then go back to where? Actually the sub-base is where they're hiding them,
12:07potentially underground bases built into the seabed as well, and then passing that information to F-35s.
12:13F-35s could roll in with JDAM's Joint Direct Attack Munitions, or F-15E, dropping those 5,000 LB
12:20Bunker Buster Bombs. So as you can see, this entire targeting chain starts with the P-8 Poseidon,
12:25and then it makes its way to the advanced technology, also the underwater unmanned vehicle,
12:30which is called the Manta Ray. This thing is great at ISR intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance.
12:34So in my opinion, creating that little metal net underneath the ocean to detect and deter exactly what
12:40these mini-subs are doing is next level 40 chess. And that brings us to the 40 chess strategic
12:45analysis section. So we talked about the different layers to defend against the Iranian mini-subs,
12:51but Iran's focus here, layer one for them, is revenue. They're trying to get as much revenue as
12:56they can while this naval blockade is happening. However, if we bring in this advanced technology,
13:01you put Iran in a position where now they're not getting that $500 million a day,
13:05and that's going to make the mafia mid-level bosses in Iran specifically, who aren't protected from
13:10drains on the economy like this incredibly nervous. And what they do then might actually make the IRGC
13:17even more hardline as different factions fight to get power in Iran. So again, this undersea threat to
13:24severe the sea cables is the next level, a next level threat that the IRGC is going to focus on.
13:29Again,
13:30we're seeing them get more hardline. They're getting less able to negotiate. So what do you think
13:35happens? Do you think someone actually comes to the table? Or do you think the U.S. will have
13:40to unleash this entire targeting chain? And last week, Iranian military spokesperson,
13:45Ibrahim Zoligari. And last week, Iranian military spokes... And last week, Iranian military spokesperson,
13:52Ibrahim Zoligari. Not going to work here anymore. And last and last week, military spokesperson,
13:58Ibrahim Zagha Zaghafari. Dang it. And just last week, military spokesperson, Ibrahim Zaghafari. Dang it.
14:04This name is getting me so bad. Alright, I got this. And just last week, Iranian military spokesperson,
14:11Ibrahim Zola. Dang it. What's this guy's name? Okay. Alright. Alright. I got this. Alright. Here we go.
14:20I'll just pretend like I'm pulling Gs. Pressure's on. Here we go.
14:23Here we go.
14:24Here we go.
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